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Prediction of Longitudinal Cognitive Decline in Preclinical Alzheimer Disease Using Plasma Biomarkers
Mattsson-Carlgren N, Salvadó G, Ashton NJ, Tideman P, Stomrud E, Zetterberg H, Ossenkoppele R, Betthauser TJ et al.. JAMA neurology, 2023-04-01
Topic: Amyloid, tau and blood-test diagnosis
Plain-language summary
Results Among 171 Aβ-positive CU participants included in the main analyses, 119 (mean [SD] age, 73.0 [5.4] years; 60.5% female) were from the BioFINDER-1 study, and 52 (mean [SD] age, 64.4 [4.6] years; 65.4% female) were from the WRAP study. These findings suggest that plasma P-tau217 may be used as a complement to CSF or PET for participant selection in clinical trials of novel disease-modifying treatments.
What this study adds
Evidence grade: Moderate
This is a follow-up (cohort) study of 564 participants. This study followed people from two research cohorts, BioFINDER-1 and WRAP, who had amyloid in the brain but were described as cognitively unimpaired: 171 people in the main analyses. Reported effect size: 60.5%; 65.4%.
Taken from this record’s own fields, not from reading the paper. The grade is assigned from the abstract’s wording; what that means.
Cite this study APA, Vancouver, BibTeX · download .bib or .ris
APA 7th
Mattsson-Carlgren, N., Salvadó, G., Ashton, N. J., Tideman, P., Stomrud, E., Zetterberg, H., et al. (2023). Prediction of Longitudinal Cognitive Decline in Preclinical Alzheimer Disease Using Plasma Biomarkers. JAMA neurology. https://doi.org/10.1001/jamaneurol.2022.5272
Vancouver
Mattsson-Carlgren N, Salvadó G, Ashton NJ, Tideman P, Stomrud E, Zetterberg H, et al. Prediction of Longitudinal Cognitive Decline in Preclinical Alzheimer Disease Using Plasma Biomarkers. JAMA neurology. 2023. doi:10.1001/jamaneurol.2022.5272. PMID: 36745413.
BibTeX
@article{mattssoncarlgren2023-36745413,
author = {Mattsson-Carlgren, N. and Salvadó, G. and Ashton, N. J. and Tideman, P. and Stomrud, E. and Zetterberg, H. and Ossenkoppele, R. and Betthauser, T. J. and others},
title = {{Prediction of Longitudinal Cognitive Decline in Preclinical Alzheimer Disease Using Plasma Biomarkers}},
journal = {JAMA neurology},
year = {2023},
doi = {10.1001/jamaneurol.2022.5272},
pmid = {36745413},
url = {https://doi.org/10.1001/jamaneurol.2022.5272}
}
Built from the record alzhub holds for this paper, not looked up. Volume, issue and page numbers are not held in the record. The record's author list ends in “et al.”, so not every author is named. Check the citation against the original before you use it.
Key findings
- Results Among 171 Aβ-positive CU participants included in the main analyses, 119 (mean [SD] age, 73.0 [5.4] years; 60.5% female) were from the BioFINDER-1 study, and 52 (mean [SD] age, 64.4 [4.6] years; 65.4% female) were from the WRAP study.
- These findings suggest that plasma P-tau217 may be used as a complement to CSF or PET for participant selection in clinical trials of novel disease-modifying treatments.
Why it matters
This study followed people from two research cohorts, BioFINDER-1 and WRAP, who had amyloid in the brain but were described as cognitively unimpaired: 171 people in the main analyses. It asked whether blood markers predict later memory and thinking decline at this "preclinical" stage. The authors conclude that the blood test plasma P-tau217 "may be used as a complement to CSF or PET" when choosing participants for trials of new disease-modifying treatments. That is a finding about trial recruitment, not about a treatment, and our record does not include the figures showing how well the test predicted decline.
New to this subject? Start with our plain-English guide: Blood tests & biomarkers →
Study details
- Study designcohort study
- Participants564
- Effect size60.5%; 65.4%
- Evidence strengthModerate
How this study scored 79/100
Published in a leading specialty journal, and it is a cohort study following people over time. Scored zero for randomized / blinded because the record does not state it.
| Component | Points | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Journal tier | 9 / 10 | Tier 2 — leading specialty journal (JAMA neurology) |
| Journal's citation record | 2 / 4 | JAMA Neurology: journal h-index 235 (OpenAlex, 2026-10-29) |
| Study design | 7 / 12 | A cohort study following people over time |
| Strength of evidence | 3 / 5 | Rated “moderate” in our summary |
| Peer-review validation | 10 / 10 | Peer-reviewed. Published as an article in a named peer-reviewed journal. |
| How recent | 3 / 5 | 2023 — within 6 year(s) of the newest study here |
| Sample size | 2 / 4 | 564 participants |
| Effect reported | 2 / 3 | Effect reported as a number, without an interval or test |
| Studied in people | 3 / 3 | Studied in people (participant count stated) |
| Randomized / blinded | 0 / 2 | No randomization or blinding stated — scores zero (not stated in the record — scored 0) |
| Times cited | 6 / 7 | Cited 308 times (OpenAlex, 2026-10-10) |
| Citations per year | 5 / 5 | 61.6 citations a year over 5 year(s) since 2023 |
| Impact for its field and year | 6 / 6 | Cited 55.5× the average for papers of its field and year (OpenAlex FWCI) |
| Cited by studies here | 4 / 6 | Cited by 43 other studies in this library |
| Still being cited | 4 / 4 | Cited 280 times in 2024–2026 (2026 still in progress; OpenAlex) |
| Senior author's track record | 4 / 4 | Last-listed author Oskar Hansson: h-index 148 (OpenAlex, whole career) |
| Institution's track record | 2 / 3 | University College London: institution h-index 2,029 (OpenAlex) |
| Multicenter collaboration | 3 / 3 | OpenAlex lists 14 institution(s) in 5 countries |
| Indexed in PubMed | 2 / 2 | Indexed in PubMed (PMID 36745413) |
| Free to read | 2 / 2 | Free to read |
| Total | 79 / 100 | — |
What each of these 20 components measures, and what this score is not →
Read the original
- DOI: 10.1001/jamaneurol.2022.5272
- PubMed: 36745413
- Original source →
- Free full text: PubMed Central →
Full text: free to read — PubMed Central lists this copy as free to read: the link above (checked 10 Oct 2026).
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