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Die Entwicklung der geschätzten Anzahl an Demenz erkrankter Menschen auf Kreisebene in Deutschland für 2030
Jochen René Thyrian, Ulrike Stentzel. Psychiatrische Praxis, 2020-09-01
Topic: Risk, prevention and care in population studies
In 2030 it is expected that approx. 2.170.000 PwD above age 65 are living in Germany. The development differs strongly between counties ranging between no change up to an increase of 50 %. The proportion of PwD in the population is 2.61 % nationally, but varies by county between 1.75 % and 4,18 %. Regional prognoses are helpful to plan health care and support for the coming 10 years at an early stage and evidence-based. The population of PwD is growing as important group in all counties in Germany.
Key findings
- In 2030 it is expected that approx. 2.170.000 PwD above age 65 are living in Germany.
- The development differs strongly between counties ranging between no change up to an increase of 50 %.
- The proportion of PwD in the population is 2.61 % nationally, but varies by county between 1.75 % and 4,18 %.
- Regional prognoses are helpful to plan health care and support for the coming 10 years at an early stage and evidence-based.
- The population of PwD is growing as important group in all counties in Germany.
Why it matters
This study estimated that about 2.17 million people over age 65 in Germany will have dementia in 2030, with the change varying widely between counties. It does not test any treatment, cure or prevention, but provides regional forecasts intended to help plan health care and support.
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Study details
- Participants401
- Evidence strengthLow
How this study scored 34/100
Published in a peer-reviewed journal. Scored zero for study design, effect reported and randomised / blinded because the record does not state it.
| Component | Points | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Journal tier | 7 / 10 | Tier 3 — peer-reviewed journal (Psychiatrische Praxis) |
| Journal's citation record | 0 / 4 | Psychiatrische Praxis: journal h-index 43 (OpenAlex, 2026-10-29) |
| Study design | 0 / 12 | No study design recorded — scores zero, not guessed (not stated in the record — scored 0) |
| Strength of evidence | 1 / 5 | Rated “low” in our summary |
| Peer-review validation | 10 / 10 | Peer-reviewed. Published as an article in a named peer-reviewed journal. |
| How recent | 2 / 5 | 2020 — within 10 year(s) of the newest study here |
| Sample size | 2 / 4 | 401 participants |
| Effect reported | 0 / 3 | No effect size reported — scores zero (not stated in the record — scored 0) |
| Studied in people | 3 / 3 | Studied in people (participant count stated) |
| Randomised / blinded | 0 / 2 | No randomisation or blinding stated — scores zero (not stated in the record — scored 0) |
| Times cited | 2 / 7 | Cited 9 times (OpenAlex, 2026-10-10) |
| Citations per year | 1 / 5 | 1.1 citations a year over 8 year(s) since 2020 |
| Impact for its field and year | 2 / 6 | Cited 1.3× the average for papers of its field and year (OpenAlex FWCI) |
| Cited by studies here | 0 / 6 | No other study in this library cites it |
| Still being cited | 0 / 4 | Cited 1 times in 2024–2026 (2026 still in progress; OpenAlex) |
| Senior author's track record | 1 / 4 | Last-listed author Ulrike Stentzel: h-index 13 (OpenAlex, whole career) |
| Institution's track record | 0 / 3 | Universität Greifswald: institution h-index 631 (OpenAlex) |
| Multi-centre collaboration | 1 / 3 | OpenAlex lists 3 institution(s) in 1 country |
| Indexed in PubMed | 2 / 2 | Indexed in PubMed (PMID 32871599) |
| Free to read | 0 / 2 | Behind a paywall — scores zero |
| Total | 34 / 100 | — |
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Read the original
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Cite this study APA, Vancouver, BibTeX · download .bib or .ris
Built from the record alzhub holds for this paper, not looked up. Volume, issue and page numbers are not held in the record. Check the citation against the original before you use it.
APA 7th
Thyrian, J. R., & Stentzel, U. (2020). Die Entwicklung der geschätzten Anzahl an Demenz erkrankter Menschen auf Kreisebene in Deutschland für 2030. Psychiatrische Praxis. https://doi.org/10.1055/a-1228-4974
Vancouver
Thyrian JR, Stentzel U. Die Entwicklung der geschätzten Anzahl an Demenz erkrankter Menschen auf Kreisebene in Deutschland für 2030. Psychiatrische Praxis. 2020. doi:10.1055/a-1228-4974. PMID: 32871599.
BibTeX
@article{thyrian2020-32871599,
author = {Thyrian, Jochen René and Stentzel, Ulrike},
title = {{Die Entwicklung der geschätzten Anzahl an Demenz erkrankter Menschen auf Kreisebene in Deutschland für 2030}},
journal = {Psychiatrische Praxis},
year = {2020},
doi = {10.1055/a-1228-4974},
pmid = {32871599},
url = {https://doi.org/10.1055/a-1228-4974}
}
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