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The query: title or abstract mentions "MCI" or "mild cognitive impairment" AND "conversion"/"convert" or "progression"/"progress", matched case-insensitively against each record's title and abstract (its summary field) in alzhub's library of 29,380 study records, as of 2026-11-08. Every count on this page comes from that match. The matched list as JSON.

Mild cognitive impairment is a stage in which memory or thinking has declined more than expected for a person's age and education, but everyday life is still largely independent. It is not dementia, and it has more than one cause.

A conversion or progression rate is the share of people with MCI in a study who were later diagnosed with dementia, usually given per year or over the study's follow-up. Rates differ between studies because the people, the definition of MCI, the setting (memory clinic or general population) and the length of follow-up differ. Some people with MCI stay stable and some return to normal cognition, which is why the papers below give a range rather than one number.

This page describes what published research in alzhub's library reports. It is not medical advice and does not apply to any one person: a doctor who knows the person's history is the only one who can say what a result or a treatment means for them.

What the studies report, in their own words

Whole sentences copied from the abstract or key findings of the highest-scoring matched studies, chosen because they mention the subject and give a figure. 8 of the 1,393 matched records are quoted; each links to its study page and from there to the paper.

“The clusterin (CLU) locus was an independent genetic risk factor for MCI to AD progression (CLU rs9331888: hazard ratio (HR)=1.187 (1.054-1.32); P=0.0035).”
From the abstract of Genome-wide significant risk factors for Alzheimer's disease: role in progression to dementia due to Alzheimer's disease among subjects with mild cognitive impairment · Molecular psychiatry · 2017 · meta-analysis ·
“For conversion of mild cognitive impairment to dementia, one study showed a significant association with AF (OR 4.6, 95% CI 1.7 to 12.5).”
From the abstract of Atrial fibrillation and incidence of dementia: a systematic review and meta-analysis · Neurology · 2011 · meta-analysis ·
“In disease staging, while p-tau231 showed potential in detecting early amyloidosis, p-tau217_MS was superior for identifying advanced Tau-PET pathology (P-score = 0.91) and predicting MCI-to-dementia conversion (P-score = 0.82).”
From the key findings of Diagnostic performance of plasma p-Tau217, p-Tau181, and p-Tau231 across the Alzheimer's disease continuum: a network meta-analysis · Frontiers in aging neuroscience · 2026 · systematic review ·
“Besides, mABs were associated with a slower progression of cognitive decline on CDR-SOB (-0.30 (-0.60 to -0.001)) than AChEIs, although mABs and AChEIs did not differ across safety outcomes, including acceptability, tolerability, SAE, and all-cause mortality.”
From the key findings of The efficacy and safety of anti-amyloid monoclonal antibody versus acetylcholinesterase inhibitor with an in-depth analysis across genotypes and disease stages: a systematic review and meta-analysis · The journal of prevention of Alzheimer's disease · 2025 · randomized controlled trial ·
“Lecanemab reduced the risk of progression to next stage of AD by 28 % on lecanemab as compared to the ADNI natural history cohort.”
From the abstract of Lecanemab for treatment of individuals with early Alzheimer's Disease (AD) who are apolipoprotein E ε4 (ApoE ε4) non-carriers or heterozygotes · The journal of prevention of Alzheimer's disease · 2026 · clinical trial ·
“Compared to the unexposed group, the odds ratio (OR) for conversion to dementia in A+ MCI patients was 5.18 [95% CI 3.93; 6.81].”
From the abstract of Risk of conversion to mild cognitive impairment or dementia among subjects with amyloid and tau pathology: a systematic review and meta-analysis · Alzheimer's research & therapy · 2024 · systematic review ·
“G. biloba also had no effect on the rate of progression to dementia in participants with MCI (HR, 1.13; 95% CI, 0.85-1.50; P = .39).”
From the abstract of Ginkgo biloba for prevention of dementia: a randomized controlled trial · JAMA · 2008 ·
“Results There were no differences between galantamine and placebo in 24-month conversion rates (Study 1: 22.9% [galantamine] vs 22.6% [placebo], p = 0.146; Study 2: 25.4% [galantamine] vs 31.2% [placebo], p = 0.619).”
From the abstract of Safety and efficacy of galantamine in subjects with mild cognitive impairment · Neurology · 2008 ·

What kind of evidence it is

By study design

Design (as recorded)Studies
Systematic review or meta-analysis73
Randomised controlled trial9
Other clinical trial17
Cohort or longitudinal study328
Case-control study11
Cross-sectional study66
Other recorded design13
No design recorded876

The design is the one named in alzhub's record for the study; a record with none is counted as "no design recorded".

By year

YearStudiesShare
2026100
2025213
202443
202349
202249
202168
202060
201962
201857
201752
2016 and earlier640

Other counts within the matched set

Peer-reviewed articles1,358
Marked open access in the record523
Rated "high" evidence strength in alzhub's summary133
Rated "moderate" evidence strength in alzhub's summary501
Rated "low" evidence strength in alzhub's summary754
No evidence-strength rating5
Records stating a participant count653
Median participants (those records)177
Largest participant count508,107

Within the 1,393 matched studies

Studies…CountRule
…that also report an annual or per-year rate92the abstract also contains "per year", "annual" or "per annum"
…that also mention amyloid status382the abstract also contains "amyloid"
…that also mention reversion to normal cognition25the abstract also contains "revert" or "reversion"

The 10 highest-scoring matched studies

Title matches first, then by alzhub's usefulness score, which rates a study's design, journal, evidence and recency, not whether its result is good news.

  1. Genome-wide significant risk factors for Alzheimer's disease: role in progression to dementia due to Alzheimer's disease among subjects with mild cognitive impairment Molecular psychiatry · 2017 · meta-analysis · 853 participants · · Peer-reviewed
  2. Risk of conversion to mild cognitive impairment or dementia among subjects with amyloid and tau pathology: a systematic review and meta-analysis Alzheimer's research & therapy · 2024 · systematic review · 7,793 participants · · Peer-reviewed
  3. Combining plasma phospho-tau and accessible measures to evaluate progression to Alzheimer's dementia in mild cognitive impairment patients Alzheimer's research & therapy · 2022 · 110 participants · · Peer-reviewed
  4. Risk factors for predicting progression from mild cognitive impairment to Alzheimer's disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis of cohort studies Journal of neurology, neurosurgery, and psychiatry · 2016 · meta-analysis · 14,821 participants · · Peer-reviewed
  5. Effects of intensive lifestyle changes on the progression of mild cognitive impairment or early dementia due to Alzheimer's disease: a randomized, controlled clinical trial Alzheimer's research & therapy · 2024 · clinical trial · · Peer-reviewed
  6. Sex-specific brain reserve and progression from mild cognitive impairment to Alzheimer's disease dementia Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association · 2026 · longitudinal study · 593 participants · · Peer-reviewed
  7. Comparing predictors of conversion and decline in mild cognitive impairment Neurology · 2010 · longitudinal study · 85 participants · · Peer-reviewed
  8. Rate of progression of mild cognitive impairment to dementia--meta-analysis of 41 robust inception cohort studies Acta psychiatrica Scandinavica · 2009 · meta-analysis · · Peer-reviewed
  9. Vascular risk factors, incidence of MCI, and rates of progression to dementia Neurology · 2004 · longitudinal study · 2,963 participants · · Peer-reviewed
  10. Predicting the progression of mild cognitive impairment using machine learning: A systematic, quantitative and critical review Medical image analysis · 2021 · systematic review · 172 participants · · Peer-reviewed

Systematic reviews and meta-analyses in the set

73 of the matched records are recorded as a systematic review, meta-analysis or umbrella review; the highest-scoring not already listed above:

Newest matched studies

Journals with the most matched studies

JournalStudies
Neurology112
Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association62
Journal of Alzheimer's disease : JAD53
Alzheimer's research & therapy38
Brain : a journal of neurology33

Questions

What is mild cognitive impairment?
A measurable decline in memory or another thinking skill that is greater than expected for the person's age, while daily activities remain largely independent. It is a clinical stage, not a single disease: Alzheimer's is one cause among several.
Does everyone with MCI go on to develop dementia?
No. Follow-up studies find three groups: people who progress to dementia, people who stay stable, and people whose test scores return to the normal range. The share in each group depends on who was studied and for how long, which is why the papers quoted on this page report a range.
How many studies on mci to dementia conversion rate does alzhub hold?
1,393 of the 29,380 study records in alzhub's library match the query "title or abstract mentions "MCI" or "mild cognitive impairment" AND "conversion"/"convert" or "progression"/"progress""; 231 of them name it in the title. Counted from the records when this page was built.
What kinds of study are they?
73 systematic review or meta-analysis, 9 randomised controlled trials, 17 other clinical trials, 328 cohort or longitudinal studys, 11 case-control studys, 66 cross-sectional studys; 876 record no design.
What is the most recent study in the set?
"Paths of Aging Minds: Health Journeys of Older Adults with Mild Cognitive Impairment" (Research Square, 2026), the newest by publication date among the matched records.
Which journals publish most on it?
Neurology (112); Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association (62); Journal of Alzheimer's disease : JAD (53), counted across the matched records.

Read on

Library subjects these studies are filed under

All answer pages →