Home › Research › Health systems and care delivery
Mortality in long-term care residents: retrospective national cohort study
Jane MacRae, Giorgio Ciminata, Claudia Geue, Ellen Lynch, Susan D Shenkin, Terence J Quinn, Jennifer Kirsty Burton. BMJ supportive & palliative care, 2025-12-23
Topic: Health services, long-term care and technology
Plain-language summary
Of 23 892 individuals moving-in to care homes, 20 250 (84.8%) died by 31 May 2020. Most deaths occurred in the care home setting (77.5%), with a fifth (20.5%) occurring in the hospital. 0.1% died the day they moved-in, 3.2% within a month, 24.2% within a year and 85% by 7 years. Dementia codes account for more than a third of all deaths (35.1%). Median survival time was shorter (701 vs 951 days; 23 vs 32 months) for those moving-in from the hospital, compared with the community. The adjusted HR for moving-in from the hospital was 1.19 (95% CI 1.15 to 1.22). Mortality is common in Scotland's care homes but varies in timing. Dementia is the most common cause. Those moving-in from the hospital are more likely to die sooner, and this evidence provides opportunities to improve support for all involved.
Cite this study APA, Vancouver, BibTeX · download .bib or .ris
APA 7th
MacRae, J., Ciminata, G., Geue, C., Lynch, E., Shenkin, S. D., Quinn, T. J., et al. (2025). Mortality in long-term care residents: retrospective national cohort study. BMJ supportive & palliative care. https://doi.org/10.1136/spcare-2024-005163
Vancouver
MacRae J, Ciminata G, Geue C, Lynch E, Shenkin SD, Quinn TJ, et al. Mortality in long-term care residents: retrospective national cohort study. BMJ supportive & palliative care. 2025. doi:10.1136/spcare-2024-005163. PMID: 39384193.
BibTeX
@article{macrae2025-39384193,
author = {MacRae, Jane and Ciminata, Giorgio and Geue, Claudia and Lynch, Ellen and Shenkin, Susan D and Quinn, Terence J and Burton, Jennifer Kirsty},
title = {{Mortality in long-term care residents: retrospective national cohort study}},
journal = {BMJ supportive \& palliative care},
year = {2025},
doi = {10.1136/spcare-2024-005163},
pmid = {39384193},
url = {https://doi.org/10.1136/spcare-2024-005163}
}
Built from the record alzhub holds for this paper, not looked up. Volume, issue and page numbers are not held in the record. The record names 7 authors; APA and Vancouver show the first six, BibTeX and the downloads carry all of them. Check the citation against the original before you use it.
Key findings
- Of 23 892 individuals moving-in to care homes, 20 250 (84.8%) died by 31 May 2020.
- Most deaths occurred in the care home setting (77.5%), with a fifth (20.5%) occurring in the hospital. 0.1% died the day they moved-in, 3.2% within a month, 24.2% within a year and 85% by 7 years.
- Dementia codes account for more than a third of all deaths (35.1%).
- Median survival time was shorter (701 vs 951 days; 23 vs 32 months) for those moving-in from the hospital, compared with the community.
- The adjusted HR for moving-in from the hospital was 1.19 (95% CI 1.15 to 1.22).
Study details
- Study designcohort study
- Participants892
- Effect size84.8%; 77.5%; 20.5%
- Evidence strengthModerate
How this study scored 71/100
Published in a peer-reviewed journal, and it is a cohort study following people over time. Scored zero for randomized / blinded because the record does not state it. We have no data on journal's citation record, times cited, citations per year, impact for its field and year, cited by studies here, still being cited, senior author's track record, institution's track record, multicenter collaboration and free to read, so those were left out: it earned 40 of the 56 points we could judge it on, which is 71 out of 100.
| Component | Points | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Journal tier | 7 / 10 | Tier 3 — peer-reviewed journal (BMJ supportive & palliative care) |
| Journal's citation record | — / 4 | No journal record from OpenAlex — left out of this score |
| Study design | 7 / 12 | A cohort study following people over time |
| Strength of evidence | 3 / 5 | Rated “moderate” in our summary |
| Peer-review validation | 10 / 10 | Peer-reviewed. Published as an article in a named peer-reviewed journal. |
| How recent | 4 / 5 | 2025 — within 3 year(s) of the newest study here |
| Sample size | 2 / 4 | 892 participants |
| Effect reported | 2 / 3 | Effect reported as a number, without an interval or test |
| Studied in people | 3 / 3 | Studied in people (participant count stated) |
| Randomized / blinded | 0 / 2 | No randomization or blinding stated — scores zero (not stated in the record — scored 0) |
| Times cited | — / 7 | No citation count (not found in OpenAlex) — left out of this score |
| Citations per year | — / 5 | No citation count or no year — left out of this score |
| Impact for its field and year | — / 6 | No field-weighted citation impact (OpenAlex has none yet) — left out of this score |
| Cited by studies here | — / 6 | Not yet checked against this library's citation graph — left out of this score |
| Still being cited | — / 4 | No yearly citation counts — left out of this score |
| Senior author's track record | — / 4 | Senior author's record not available — left out of this score |
| Institution's track record | — / 3 | No institution listed in OpenAlex — left out of this score |
| Multicenter collaboration | — / 3 | Institutions not listed — left out of this score |
| Indexed in PubMed | 2 / 2 | Indexed in PubMed (PMID 39384193) |
| Free to read | — / 2 | Access not recorded — left out of this score |
| Points | 40 / 56 | Scored on 10 of 20 parts. We have no data for the rest, so they are left out: 40 of the 56 points we could judge it on is 71 out of 100. |
| Total | 71 / 100 | — |
What each of these 20 components measures, and what this score is not →
Read the original
Free copy unknown: no free-copy check has an answer for this record yet. That does not mean it is paywalled.
Related
Studies in the library that share something with this one. The line above each title says what.
Related studies in Health systems and care delivery from nearby years
Also tagged “assisted-living”
199 studies in the library carry the topic tag “assisted-living”; these are this study's neighbours in a fixed, alphabetical-by-hash tour of them, not the closest in content. All 199 tagged studies.