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LSD-pipeline: Causal Inference of miRNA Network Effects in Alzheimer's Disease
Shi J.. bioRxiv, 2026-09-24
Topic: Genetics and APOE
MicroRNAs (miRNAs) are implicated in Alzheimer's disease (AD), but research has focused on individual miRNAs and direct targets. Existing approaches to miRNA regulation in AD identify associations rather than causal effects, and few methods estimate multi-stage chains from miRNAs through target genes to target transcription factor (TF) cascades. We developed the LSD pipeline (LASSO-SEM-DoWhy), integrating LASSO feature selection, multi-stage structural equation modeling, and DoWhy causal inference to identify and validate miRNA causal pathways in AD. Applying LSD to six blood miRNA and brain mRNA datasets, we identified four LSD-validated miRNAs (miR-30d-5p, miR-92a-3p, miR-296-5p, miR-193a-5p) as AD biomarkers, achieving >86% ROC accuracy in an independent validation cohort. Several miRNAs with no significant direct association with AD showed significant effects when estimated through their target networks, while others significant in direct analysis were not supported at the network level, underscoring the value of network-level analysis. Extending to the TF layer revealed complete miRNA → targets → TF cascades → AD causal chains, with HMGA1, NKX2-3, and PRRX2 as key intermediaries. Confirmed classic pathways converge primarily on tau pathology and synaptic dysfunction. miRNA effects were largely age-independent, suggesting miRNAs act as early initiators of AD pathogenesis. Beyond AD, the LSD pipeline provides a generalizable framework for uncovering causal regulatory mechanisms in other diseases.
Cite this study APA, Vancouver, BibTeX · download .bib or .ris
APA 7th
Shi, J. (2026). LSD-pipeline: Causal Inference of miRNA Network Effects in Alzheimer's Disease. bioRxiv. https://doi.org/10.64898/2026.09.17.747423
Vancouver
Shi J. LSD-pipeline: Causal Inference of miRNA Network Effects in Alzheimer's Disease. bioRxiv. 2026. doi:10.64898/2026.09.17.747423.
BibTeX
@article{shi2026-27bcc85b,
author = {Shi, J.},
title = {{LSD-pipeline: Causal Inference of miRNA Network Effects in Alzheimer's Disease}},
journal = {bioRxiv},
year = {2026},
doi = {10.64898/2026.09.17.747423},
url = {https://doi.org/10.64898/2026.09.17.747423}
}
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Key findings
- Several miRNAs with no significant direct association with AD showed significant effects when estimated through their target networks, while others significant in direct analysis were not supported at the network level, underscoring the value of network-level analysis.
- Extending to the TF layer revealed complete miRNA → targets → TF cascades → AD causal chains, with HMGA1, NKX2-3, and PRRX2 as key intermediaries.
Study details
- Evidence strengthModerate
How this study scored 16/100
Preprint — not yet peer-reviewed. It scored 24 on the same rubric, but non-peer-reviewed sources are capped at 16, so it shows as 16. Scored zero for study design, sample size, effect reported, studied in people and randomized / blinded because the record does not state it. We have no data on times cited, citations per year, impact for its field and year, cited by studies here, still being cited, senior author's track record, institution's track record and multicenter collaboration, so those were left out: it earned 15 of the 62 points we could judge it on, which is 24 out of 100.
| Component | Points | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Journal tier | 2 / 10 | Tier 4 — not a peer-reviewed journal (bioRxiv) |
| Journal's citation record | 0 / 4 | Not a journal article, so the journal's record does not count |
| Study design | 0 / 12 | No study design recorded — scores zero, not guessed (not stated in the record — scored 0) |
| Strength of evidence | 3 / 5 | Rated “moderate” in our summary |
| Peer-review validation | 4 / 10 | Preprint — not yet peer-reviewed. Hosted on a preprint server. |
| How recent | 5 / 5 | 2026 — within 1 year(s) of the newest study here |
| Sample size | 0 / 4 | Participant count not stated — scores zero (not stated in the record — scored 0) |
| Effect reported | 0 / 3 | No effect size reported — scores zero (not stated in the record — scored 0) |
| Studied in people | 0 / 3 | Not stated whether this was studied in people — scores zero (not stated in the record — scored 0) |
| Randomized / blinded | 0 / 2 | No randomization or blinding stated — scores zero (not stated in the record — scored 0) |
| Times cited | — / 7 | No citation count (not found in OpenAlex) — left out of this score |
| Citations per year | — / 5 | No citation count or no year — left out of this score |
| Impact for its field and year | — / 6 | No field-weighted citation impact (OpenAlex has none yet) — left out of this score |
| Cited by studies here | — / 6 | Not yet checked against this library's citation graph — left out of this score |
| Still being cited | — / 4 | No yearly citation counts — left out of this score |
| Senior author's track record | — / 4 | Senior author's record not available — left out of this score |
| Institution's track record | — / 3 | No institution listed in OpenAlex — left out of this score |
| Multicenter collaboration | — / 3 | Institutions not listed — left out of this score |
| Indexed in PubMed | 1 / 2 | Not in PubMed, but has a DOI |
| Free to read | 0 / 2 | Behind a paywall — scores zero |
| Points | 15 / 62 | Scored on 12 of 20 parts. We have no data for the rest, so they are left out: 15 of the 62 points we could judge it on is 24 out of 100. |
| Total | 24 / 100 | Capped to 16 because this is not a peer-reviewed article. |
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