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Cerebrospinal fluid YWHAG:NPTX2 ratio predicts clinical severity and future phenoconversion in frontotemporal lobar degeneration
Oh HS, Downer JD, Dietz CD, Yballa C, Marcora E, Lario-Lago A, Heuer HW, Forsberg LK et al.. bioRxiv, 2026-08-31
Topic: Plasma and spinal-fluid biomarkers
Frontotemporal lobar degeneration (FTLD) is a common cause of early-onset dementias marked by progressive declines in behavior, cognition, and/or movement. FTLD neuropathologies, including TDP-43 proteinopathies and primary tauopathies, do not have reliable fluid biomarkers for in-vivo diagnosis nor biomarkers that directly correspond to FTLD clinical features. Fluid biomarkers that forecast and track FTLD clinical progression, irrespective of pathology or clinical syndrome, are urgently needed to improve clinical trial designs. We previously identified the ratio between two cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) synaptic proteins, YWHAG and NPTX2, as a prognostic biomarker of cognitive decline in Alzheimer’s disease (AD), independent of core AD pathologies, amyloid and tau. Here, we evaluate its utility in sporadic and familial FTLD compared to other neurodegenerative diseases. Using CSF assays from four independent cohorts (UCSF-MAC, ALLFTD, GENFI, PDBP), we find CSF YWHAG:NPTX2 is substantially elevated across all sporadic and familial FTLD syndromes, AD, and dementia with Lewy bodies. CSF YWHAG:NPTX2 robustly correlates with clinical severity across sporadic and familial FTLD ( C9orf72 , GRN , or MAPT mutations), independent of current gold-standard neurodegeneration biomarker neurofilament light (NfL). In presymptomatic familial FTLD, CSF YWHAG:NPTX2 is estimated to rise roughly a decade before symptom onset and improves prediction of imminent symptomatic conversion by 1.7-fold compared to plasma NfL alone, more than halving the estimated sample size required for an FTLD prevention clinical trial. These findings underscore CSF YWHAG:NPTX2 as a cross-dementia synaptic biomarker of cognitive decline and a promising biomarker for disease staging and prognosis across the clinico-pathological continuum of FTLD.
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APA 7th
Oh, H. S., Downer, J. D., Dietz, C. D., Yballa, C., Marcora, E., Lario-Lago, A., et al. (2026). Cerebrospinal fluid YWHAG:NPTX2 ratio predicts clinical severity and future phenoconversion in frontotemporal lobar degeneration. bioRxiv. https://doi.org/10.64898/2026.08.22.746470
Vancouver
Oh HS, Downer JD, Dietz CD, Yballa C, Marcora E, Lario-Lago A, et al. Cerebrospinal fluid YWHAG:NPTX2 ratio predicts clinical severity and future phenoconversion in frontotemporal lobar degeneration. bioRxiv. 2026. doi:10.64898/2026.08.22.746470.
BibTeX
@article{oh2026-4579e717,
author = {Oh, H. S. and Downer, J. D. and Dietz, C. D. and Yballa, C. and Marcora, E. and Lario-Lago, A. and Heuer, H. W. and Forsberg, L. K. and others},
title = {{Cerebrospinal fluid YWHAG:NPTX2 ratio predicts clinical severity and future phenoconversion in frontotemporal lobar degeneration}},
journal = {bioRxiv},
year = {2026},
doi = {10.64898/2026.08.22.746470},
url = {https://doi.org/10.64898/2026.08.22.746470}
}
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Key findings
- Here, we evaluate its utility in sporadic and familial FTLD compared to other neurodegenerative diseases.
- In presymptomatic familial FTLD, CSF YWHAG:NPTX2 is estimated to rise roughly a decade before symptom onset and improves prediction of imminent symptomatic conversion by 1.7-fold compared to plasma NfL alone, more than halving the estimated sample size required for an FTLD prevention clinical trial.
- These findings underscore CSF YWHAG:NPTX2 as a cross-dementia synaptic biomarker of cognitive decline and a promising biomarker for disease staging and prognosis across the clinico-pathological continuum of FTLD.
Study details
- Evidence strengthLow
How this study scored 16/100
Preprint — not yet peer-reviewed. It scored 21 on the same rubric, but non-peer-reviewed sources are capped at 16, so it shows as 16. Scored zero for study design, sample size, effect reported, studied in people and randomised / blinded because the record does not state it. We have no data on times cited, citations per year, impact for its field and year, cited by studies here, still being cited, senior author's track record, institution's track record and multi-centre collaboration, so those were left out: it earned 13 of the 62 points we could judge it on, which is 21 out of 100.
| Component | Points | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Journal tier | 2 / 10 | Tier 4 — not a peer-reviewed journal (bioRxiv) |
| Journal's citation record | 0 / 4 | Not a journal article, so the journal's record does not count |
| Study design | 0 / 12 | No study design recorded — scores zero, not guessed (not stated in the record — scored 0) |
| Strength of evidence | 1 / 5 | Rated “low” in our summary |
| Peer-review validation | 4 / 10 | Preprint — not yet peer-reviewed. Hosted on a preprint server. |
| How recent | 5 / 5 | 2026 — within 1 year(s) of the newest study here |
| Sample size | 0 / 4 | Participant count not stated — scores zero (not stated in the record — scored 0) |
| Effect reported | 0 / 3 | No effect size reported — scores zero (not stated in the record — scored 0) |
| Studied in people | 0 / 3 | Not stated whether this was studied in people — scores zero (not stated in the record — scored 0) |
| Randomised / blinded | 0 / 2 | No randomisation or blinding stated — scores zero (not stated in the record — scored 0) |
| Times cited | — / 7 | No citation count (not found in OpenAlex) — left out of this score |
| Citations per year | — / 5 | No citation count or no year — left out of this score |
| Impact for its field and year | — / 6 | No field-weighted citation impact (OpenAlex has none yet) — left out of this score |
| Cited by studies here | — / 6 | Not yet checked against this library's citation graph — left out of this score |
| Still being cited | — / 4 | No yearly citation counts — left out of this score |
| Senior author's track record | — / 4 | Senior author's record not available — left out of this score |
| Institution's track record | — / 3 | No institution listed in OpenAlex — left out of this score |
| Multi-centre collaboration | — / 3 | Institutions not listed — left out of this score |
| Indexed in PubMed | 1 / 2 | Not in PubMed, but has a DOI |
| Free to read | 0 / 2 | Behind a paywall — scores zero |
| Points | 13 / 62 | Scored on 12 of 20 parts. We have no data for the rest, so they are left out: 13 of the 62 points we could judge it on is 21 out of 100. |
| Total | 21 / 100 | Capped to 16 because this is not a peer-reviewed article. |
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