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Association of Lithium in Drinking Water With the Incidence of Dementia
Lars Vedel Kessing, Thomas Alexander Gerds, N. Knudsen, Lisbeth Flindt Jørgensen, Søren Munch Kristiansen, Denitza Dimitrova Voutchkova, Vibeke Ernstsen, Jörg Schullehner et al.. JAMA Psychiatry, 2017-08-25
Topic: Air pollution and environmental exposures
A total of 73 731 patients with dementia and 733 653 controls (median age, 80.3 years; interquartile range, 74.9-84.6 years; 44 760 female [60.7%] and 28 971 male [39.3%]) were included in the study. Lithium exposure was statistically significantly different between patients with a diagnosis of dementia (median, 11.5 µg/L; interquartile range, 6.5-14.9 µg/L) and controls (median, 12.2 µg/L; interquartile range, 7.3-16.0 µg/L; P < .001). A nonlinear association was observed. Compared with individuals exposed to 2.0 to 5.0 µg/L, the incidence rate ratio (IRR) of dementia was decreased in those exposed to more than 15.0 µg/L (IRR, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.81-0.85; P < .001) and 10.1 to 15.0 µg/L (IRR, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.96-1.01; P = .17) and increased with 5.1 to 10.0 µg/L (IRR, 1.22; 95% CI, 1.19-1.25; P < .001). Similar patterns were found with Alzheimer disease and vascular dementia as outcomes. Conclusions and Relevance: Long-term increased lithium exposure in drinking water may be associated with a lower incidence of dementia in a nonlinear way; however, confounding from other factors associated with municipality of residence cannot be excluded.
Key findings
- A total of 73 731 patients with dementia and 733 653 controls (median age, 80.3 years; interquartile range, 74.9-84.6 years; 44 760 female [60.7%] and 28 971 male [39.3%]) were included in the study.
- Lithium exposure was statistically significantly different between patients with a diagnosis of dementia (median, 11.5 µg/L; interquartile range, 6.5-14.9 µg/L) and controls (median, 12.2 µg/L; interquartile range, 7.3-16.0 µg/L; P < .001).
- Compared with individuals exposed to 2.0 to 5.0 µg/L, the incidence rate ratio (IRR) of dementia was decreased in those exposed to more than 15.0 µg/L (IRR, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.81-0.85; P < .001) and 10.1 to 15.0 µg/L (IRR, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.96-1.01; P = .17) and increased with 5.1 to 10.0 µg/L (IRR, 1.22; 95% CI, 1.19-1.25; P < .001).
- Similar patterns were found with Alzheimer disease and vascular dementia as outcomes.
- Conclusions and Relevance: Long-term increased lithium exposure in drinking water may be associated with a lower incidence of dementia in a nonlinear way; however, confounding from other factors associated with municipality of residence cannot be excluded.
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Study details
- Study designcase-control study
- Participants731
- Effect size60.7%; 39.3%
- Evidence strengthModerate
How this study scored 71/100
Published in a leading specialty journal, and it is a case-control study. Scored zero for randomised / blinded because the record does not state it. We have no data on journal's citation record, times cited, citations per year, impact for its field and year, cited by studies here, still being cited, senior author's track record, institution's track record and multi-centre collaboration, so those were left out: it earned 41 of the 58 points we could judge it on, which is 71 out of 100.
| Component | Points | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Journal tier | 9 / 10 | Tier 2 — leading specialty journal (JAMA Psychiatry) |
| Journal's citation record | — / 4 | No journal record from OpenAlex — left out of this score |
| Study design | 6 / 12 | A case-control study |
| Strength of evidence | 3 / 5 | Rated “moderate” in our summary |
| Peer-review validation | 10 / 10 | Peer-reviewed. Published as an article in a named peer-reviewed journal. |
| How recent | 2 / 5 | 2017 — within 10 year(s) of the newest study here |
| Sample size | 2 / 4 | 731 participants |
| Effect reported | 2 / 3 | Effect reported as a number, without an interval or test |
| Studied in people | 3 / 3 | Studied in people (participant count stated) |
| Randomised / blinded | 0 / 2 | No randomisation or blinding stated — scores zero (not stated in the record — scored 0) |
| Times cited | — / 7 | No citation count (not found in OpenAlex) — left out of this score |
| Citations per year | — / 5 | No citation count or no year — left out of this score |
| Impact for its field and year | — / 6 | No field-weighted citation impact (OpenAlex has none yet) — left out of this score |
| Cited by studies here | — / 6 | Not yet checked against this library's citation graph — left out of this score |
| Still being cited | — / 4 | No yearly citation counts — left out of this score |
| Senior author's track record | — / 4 | Senior author's record not available — left out of this score |
| Institution's track record | — / 3 | No institution listed in OpenAlex — left out of this score |
| Multi-centre collaboration | — / 3 | Institutions not listed — left out of this score |
| Indexed in PubMed | 2 / 2 | Indexed in PubMed (PMID 28832877) |
| Free to read | 2 / 2 | Free to read |
| Points | 41 / 58 | Scored on 11 of 20 parts. We have no data for the rest, so they are left out: 41 of the 58 points we could judge it on is 71 out of 100. |
| Total | 71 / 100 | — |
What each of these 20 components measures, and what this score is not →
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Cite this study APA, Vancouver, BibTeX · download .bib or .ris
Built from the record alzhub holds for this paper, not looked up. Volume, issue and page numbers are not held in the record. The record's author list ends in “et al.”, so not every author is named. Check the citation against the original before you use it.
APA 7th
Kessing, L. V., Gerds, T. A., Knudsen, N., Jørgensen, L. F., Kristiansen, S. M., Voutchkova, D. D., et al. (2017). Association of Lithium in Drinking Water With the Incidence of Dementia. JAMA Psychiatry. https://doi.org/10.1001/jamapsychiatry.2017.2362
Vancouver
Kessing LV, Gerds TA, Knudsen N, Jørgensen LF, Kristiansen SM, Voutchkova DD, et al. Association of Lithium in Drinking Water With the Incidence of Dementia. JAMA Psychiatry. 2017. doi:10.1001/jamapsychiatry.2017.2362. PMID: 28832877.
BibTeX
@article{kessing2017-28832877,
author = {Kessing, Lars Vedel and Gerds, Thomas Alexander and Knudsen, N. and Jørgensen, Lisbeth Flindt and Kristiansen, Søren Munch and Voutchkova, Denitza Dimitrova and Ernstsen, Vibeke and Schullehner, Jörg and others},
title = {{Association of Lithium in Drinking Water With the Incidence of Dementia}},
journal = {JAMA Psychiatry},
year = {2017},
doi = {10.1001/jamapsychiatry.2017.2362},
pmid = {28832877},
url = {https://doi.org/10.1001/jamapsychiatry.2017.2362}
}
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