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What changed on this page, and why

The previous version of this page was a catalogue of ecological questions only — do states, counties or countries with more of an exposure also show more of an outcome. That is a correlation between places, and this site's own study library is overwhelmingly a record of people: a vaccination status, a prescription, a lifestyle exposure, each tied to one person's own outcome. Vaccines, drugs and modifiable risk factors now lead the page, each section reporting what the individual-level studies themselves found — not a new statistic computed here. The place-level catalogue is kept, unchanged, at the bottom.

Every count, study design, effect size, participant number, title, and link below is read directly out of our study library (or, for the geography section, the same public panels as before) at build time. Where a topic has no matching individual-level study, that is reported as a gap — not filled with a plausible-sounding number.

Where this stands

72 questions
  • 29 individual-level, topic-grouped questions (vaccines, drugs, prevention)
  • 43 place-level (ecological) questions, kept at the bottom
  • 1 report a stated gap rather than a number

The geography catalogue still has more individual rows than the topic sections above it — each of its 43 questions was already a single exposure/outcome pair before this redesign, and re-merging them would have discarded coefficients already computed independently for every one of them. What changed is prominence, not row count: the individual-level evidence now leads the page, and the geography section is boxed, captioned as weaker, and reads last.

Vaccines

3 questions

Vaccination status is recorded in an individual's own medical record, and dementia diagnosis is recorded in that same person -- an individual-level exposure and an individual-level outcome, the kind of evidence this site's library is actually built from. The strongest cards below are natural experiments; the weakest is a stated gap.

Herpes zoster (shingles) vaccination and dementia risk

13 studies

The strongest individual-level evidence this library holds on any prevention question. Three of the five studies below are natural experiments: an age or birth-date eligibility cut-off for the free shingles vaccine gave two otherwise-similar groups different vaccine access, which is the closest this evidence gets to a randomised comparison without actually randomising anyone. All five are still observational cohorts, not trials -- the biological mechanism (viral reactivation and neuroinflammation is one hypothesis) is not established, and this describes the study groups, not a guarantee for any one person.

13 studies: Meta-analysis 1, RCT / clinical trial 1, Cohort 9, Other / not reported 2.

Shingles vaccination and new dementia diagnoses, three natural experimentsWales: 3.5 percentage-point reduction (95% CI 0.6 to 7.1); Canada: 2.0 percentage-point reduction (95% CI 0.4 to 3.5); Australia: 1.8 percentage-point reduction (95% CI 0.4 to 3.3)00.511.522.533.544.555.566.577.5percentage-point reduction in new dementia diagnosesWales3.5 ppCanada2 ppAustralia1.8 ppWhisker is the study's own 95% confidence interval. Each is a natural experiment: aneligibility cut-off (age or birth date) that made vaccination available to one group andnot an otherwise-similar neighbouring group.Observational, not a randomised trial -- the mechanism is not established, and thisdescribes the study groups, not any one person's certain outcome.

This chart is wider than your screen — drag it sideways.

Source: each study's own reported effect size. Bars show the absolute drop in new dementia diagnoses for the vaccine-eligible group; whiskers are each study's own 95% confidence interval.
Herpes zoster (shingles) vaccination and dementia risk — the best-evidence studies on this topic, from our study library.
StudyYearDesign nReported effect
Association between vaccinations and risk of dementia: a systematic review and meta-analysis
Age and Ageing
2025 Meta-analysis 104,031,186 Herpes zoster vaccination RR 0.76 (95% CI 0.69-0.83) for any dementia
Herpes zoster vaccination and incident dementia in Canada: an analysis of natural experiments
The Lancet Neurology
2026 Cohort 232,124 -2.0 percentage points (95% CI -3.5 to -0.4) absolute reduction in new dementia diagnoses over 5.5 years
Herpes Zoster Vaccination and Dementia Occurrence (Australian natural experiment)
JAMA
2025 Cohort 101,219 -1.8 percentage points (95% CI -3.3 to -0.4) absolute reduction in new dementia diagnoses over 7.4 years for the vaccine-eligible group
Recombinant zoster vaccine is associated with a reduced risk of dementia
Nature Communications
2026 Cohort 65,800 aHR: 0.49
Shingles, Zostavax vaccination and risk of developing dementia: a nested case-control study-results from the UK Biobank cohort
BMJ open
2021 Cohort 2,378 OR: 1.088; OR: 0.808
A natural experiment on the effect of herpes zoster vaccination on dementia (Wales)
Nature
2025 Cohort — -3.5 percentage points (95% CI -7.1 to -0.6) in 7-year dementia diagnosis probability; 20.0% relative reduction (95% CI 6.5-33.4)
Impact of herpes zoster vaccination on incident dementia: A retrospective study in two patient cohorts
PloS one
2021 Other / not reported 136,016 4.0%; 91.2%; 20.2%
Charting the research frontier for viral infections, immunomodulation, and dementia: a perspective on synaptic biomarkers as essential clinical trial endpoints
Frontiers in Cellular and Infection Microbiology
2026 RCT / clinical trial — —
Lower risk of dementia with AS01-adjuvanted vaccination against shingles and respiratory syncytial virus infections
npj Vaccines
2025 Cohort 436,788 —
Adult Vaccination History and Plasma Biomarker Signatures in the Asymptomatic PREVENT-AD Cohort
medRxiv (preprint)
2026 Cohort 192 —
Varicella-zoster virus reactivation and the risk of dementia
Nature Medicine
2025 Cohort — —
Can the herpes zoster vaccination be a strategy against dementia?
Drug Discoveries & Therapeutics
2025 Cohort — —
Herpes zoster as risk factor for dementia: a matched cohort study over 20 years in a 10-million population in Italy
The Journal of Prevention of Alzheimer s Disease
2025 Other / not reported 132,968 —

Influenza, pneumococcal and Tdap vaccination and dementia risk

3 studies

Pooled observational evidence, from the same systematic review that covers the shingles vaccine above. The direction is consistent across every vaccine type studied, but these are not natural experiments -- a healthier person is generally more likely to get any vaccine, which can inflate an observational estimate like these.

3 studies: Meta-analysis 1, Cohort 2.

Relative risk of dementia by vaccine type, pooled meta-analysisHerpes zoster (dementia): RR 0.76 (95% CI 0.69-0.83); Herpes zoster (Alzheimer's disease): RR 0.53 (95% CI 0.44-0.64); Influenza (dementia): RR 0.87 (95% CI 0.77-0.99); Pneumococcal (dementia): RR 0.64 (95% CI 0.47-0.87); Tdap (dementia): RR 0.67 (95% CI 0.54-0.83)00.20.50.81.0 = no associationHerpes zoster (dementia)RR 0.8Herpes zoster (Alzheimer's disease)RR 0.5Influenza (dementia)RR 0.9Pneumococcal (dementia)RR 0.6Tdap (dementia)RR 0.7All from one pooled meta-analysis of 21 observational studies. Vaccinated and unvaccinatedadults differ in ways beyond the vaccine itself (a healthier person is more likely to getvaccinated), which can inflate an observational estimate like this one.

This chart is wider than your screen — drag it sideways.

Source: key findings reported in the meta-analysis itself. Bars run from the reported relative risk to 1.0 (no association); lower is fewer dementia diagnoses among the vaccinated.
Influenza, pneumococcal and Tdap vaccination and dementia risk — the best-evidence studies on this topic, from our study library.
StudyYearDesign nReported effect
Association between vaccinations and risk of dementia: a systematic review and meta-analysis
Age and Ageing
2025 Meta-analysis 104,031,186 Herpes zoster vaccination RR 0.76 (95% CI 0.69-0.83) for any dementia
Recombinant zoster vaccine is associated with a reduced risk of dementia
Nature Communications
2026 Cohort 65,800 aHR: 0.49
Varicella-zoster virus reactivation and the risk of dementia
Nature Medicine
2025 Cohort — —

COVID-19 vaccination and dementia risk

Gap in this library

A gap, stated plainly rather than filled with a plausible-sounding number: this library has no individual-level study measuring dementia risk by COVID-19 vaccination status. The COVID-vaccine studies it does hold measure death, hospitalisation or breakthrough infection -- real outcomes, just not this one.

Gap, stated plainly: No study in our library measures dementia risk by COVID-19 vaccination status.

Drugs

12 questions

Two FDA-approved anti-amyloid antibodies have randomised-trial evidence of slowing decline; four older drugs are approved for symptom management only; the rest are repurposed candidates under investigation, not approved for Alzheimer's. Each card says which is which before it shows a single number.

Study designs behind these topics

Study designs behind each drug, individual-level evidence onlyLecanemab and cognitive/functional decline: 111 studies: Systematic review 9, Meta-analysis 3, RCT / clinical trial 14, Cohort 7, Case-control 1, Cross-sectional 2, Other / not reported 75; Donanemab and cognitive/functional decline: 74 studies: Systematic review 9, Meta-analysis 3, RCT / clinical trial 10, Cohort 4, Other / not reported 48; Donepezil and symptom progression: 96 studies: Systematic review 4, Meta-analysis 3, RCT / clinical trial 12, Cohort 2, Cross-sectional 1, Other / not reported 74; Memantine and symptom progression: 94 studies: Systematic review 5, Meta-analysis 6, RCT / clinical trial 8, Cohort 7, Other / not reported 68; Galantamine and symptom progression: 38 studies: Systematic review 4, Meta-analysis 2, RCT / clinical trial 5, Cohort 1, Other / not reported 26; Rivastigmine and symptom progression: 42 studies: Systematic review 4, Meta-analysis 2, RCT / clinical trial 3, Other / not reported 33; Semaglutide / GLP-1 receptor agonists and dementia risk: 43 studies: Systematic review 1, Meta-analysis 4, RCT / clinical trial 5, Cohort 8, Other / not reported 25; Statins and dementia risk: 42 studies: Systematic review 3, Meta-analysis 2, RCT / clinical trial 6, Cohort 8, Case-control 1, Cross-sectional 2, Other / not reported 20; Metformin and dementia risk: 27 studies: Meta-analysis 5, Cohort 6, Case-control 1, Cross-sectional 1, Other / not reported 14; SSRIs and Alzheimer's-related outcomes: 31 studies: Systematic review 1, Meta-analysis 2, RCT / clinical trial 3, Cohort 3, Other / not reported 22; Sildenafil / PDE5 inhibitors and dementia risk: 6 studies: RCT / clinical trial 2, Other / not reported 4; NSAIDs and dementia risk: 36 studies: Systematic review 1, Meta-analysis 2, RCT / clinical trial 3, Cohort 4, Other / not reported 260%25%50%75%100%Lecanemab andcognitive/functional declinen=111Donanemab andcognitive/functional declinen=74Donepezil and symptomprogressionn=96Memantine and symptomprogressionn=94Galantamine and symptomprogressionn=38Rivastigmine and symptomprogressionn=42Semaglutide / GLP-1 receptoragonists and dementia riskn=43Statins and dementia riskn=42Metformin and dementia riskn=27SSRIs and Alzheimer's-relatedoutcomesn=31Sildenafil / PDE5 inhibitors anddementia riskn=6NSAIDs and dementia riskn=36Systematic reviewMeta-analysisRCT / clinical trialCohortCase-controlCross-sectionalOther / not reportedDarker is higher up the evidence pyramid; grey is not reported.

This chart is wider than your screen — drag it sideways.

Source: the study design each matching record states. Darker segments are higher up the evidence pyramid.

Lecanemab and cognitive/functional decline

111 studies

Approved (FDA, 2023) — anti-amyloid monoclonal antibody

Approved on the strength of randomised trials showing a modest slowing of decline versus placebo in early Alzheimer's disease. Carries a boxed safety warning for brain swelling or bleeding (ARIA), monitored by MRI during treatment.

111 studies: Systematic review 9, Meta-analysis 3, RCT / clinical trial 14, Cohort 7, Case-control 1, Cross-sectional 2, Other / not reported 75.

Lecanemab and cognitive/functional decline — the best-evidence studies on this topic, from our study library.
StudyYearDesign nReported effect
Amyloid-Related Imaging Abnormalities (ARIA) in Anti-Amyloid Therapies for Alzheimer's Disease: An Update from the Alzheimer's Association ARIA Workgroup
Alzheimer's & Dementia
2026 Systematic review — ARIA-E/ARIA-H rates: ~12.6%/17.3% (lecanemab) vs. ~24%/31% (donanemab) in pivotal trials; ApoE4 homozygotes ~2.5-5x higher risk
Cost-effectiveness of traditional and novel neurotherapeutic agents for Alzheimer's disease: A systematic review
Journal of Alzheimer's Disease
2026 Systematic review — Anti-amyloid antibodies not cost-effective in any of 23 studies; value-based prices below $5,960-$33,700 per year at $150,000/QALY
Anti-Amyloid Monoclonal Antibodies and Amyloid-Related Imaging Abnormalities in Early Alzheimer Disease
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
2026 Systematic review — 12.6%
Anti-Amyloid Monoclonal Antibodies and Amyloid-Related Imaging Abnormalities in Early Alzheimer Disease
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
2026 Systematic review — 12.6%
Clinically Important Benefits and Harms of Monoclonal Antibodies Targeting Amyloid for the Treatment of Alzheimer Disease: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis
Annals of Family Medicine
2024 Meta-analysis 23,202 CDR-SB mean difference -0.18 (95% CI -0.34 to -0.03), below the MCID; ARIA-oedema NNH 9

Showing the 5 best-evidence studies of 111 in our library matching this topic, ranked by whether the record reports an effect size, then by study design, then by sample size.

Donanemab and cognitive/functional decline

74 studies

Approved (FDA, 2024) — anti-amyloid monoclonal antibody

Approved on the same basis as lecanemab: randomised trials showing a modest slowing of decline in early Alzheimer's disease, with the same ARIA monitoring requirement.

74 studies: Systematic review 9, Meta-analysis 3, RCT / clinical trial 10, Cohort 4, Other / not reported 48.

Donanemab and cognitive/functional decline — the best-evidence studies on this topic, from our study library.
StudyYearDesign nReported effect
Amyloid-Related Imaging Abnormalities (ARIA) in Anti-Amyloid Therapies for Alzheimer's Disease: An Update from the Alzheimer's Association ARIA Workgroup
Alzheimer's & Dementia
2026 Systematic review — ARIA-E/ARIA-H rates: ~12.6%/17.3% (lecanemab) vs. ~24%/31% (donanemab) in pivotal trials; ApoE4 homozygotes ~2.5-5x higher risk
Cost-effectiveness of traditional and novel neurotherapeutic agents for Alzheimer's disease: A systematic review
Journal of Alzheimer's Disease
2026 Systematic review — Anti-amyloid antibodies not cost-effective in any of 23 studies; value-based prices below $5,960-$33,700 per year at $150,000/QALY
Anti-Amyloid Monoclonal Antibodies and Amyloid-Related Imaging Abnormalities in Early Alzheimer Disease
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
2026 Systematic review — 12.6%
Anti-Amyloid Monoclonal Antibodies and Amyloid-Related Imaging Abnormalities in Early Alzheimer Disease
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
2026 Systematic review — 12.6%
Clinically Important Benefits and Harms of Monoclonal Antibodies Targeting Amyloid for the Treatment of Alzheimer Disease: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis
Annals of Family Medicine
2024 Meta-analysis 23,202 CDR-SB mean difference -0.18 (95% CI -0.34 to -0.03), below the MCID; ARIA-oedema NNH 9

Showing the 5 best-evidence studies of 74 in our library matching this topic, ranked by whether the record reports an effect size, then by study design, then by sample size.

Donepezil and symptom progression

96 studies

Approved (FDA, 1996) — cholinesterase inhibitor

Long-approved for symptomatic treatment: it can improve or stabilise symptoms for a period, but it does not modify the underlying disease course.

96 studies: Systematic review 4, Meta-analysis 3, RCT / clinical trial 12, Cohort 2, Cross-sectional 1, Other / not reported 74.

Donepezil and symptom progression — the best-evidence studies on this topic, from our study library.
StudyYearDesign nReported effect
Cost-effectiveness of traditional and novel neurotherapeutic agents for Alzheimer's disease: A systematic review
Journal of Alzheimer's Disease
2026 Systematic review — Anti-amyloid antibodies not cost-effective in any of 23 studies; value-based prices below $5,960-$33,700 per year at $150,000/QALY
Donepezil for dementia due to Alzheimer's disease
The Cochrane database of systematic reviews
2018 Meta-analysis 8,257 OR 1.25; OR 1.59
Cholinesterase inhibitors for vascular dementia and other vascular cognitive impairments: a network meta-analysis
The Cochrane database of systematic reviews
2021 Meta-analysis 2,193 OR 1.95; OR 3.21; OR 1.57
Test-retest reliability of memory task functional magnetic resonance imaging in Alzheimer disease clinical trials
Archives of neurology
2011 RCT / clinical trial 24 25.0% to 50.0%; 80.0%
Effect of a CYP2D6 polymorphism on the efficacy of donepezil in patients with Alzheimer disease
Neurology
2009 Cohort 115 58.7%; 34.8%

Showing the 5 best-evidence studies of 96 in our library matching this topic, ranked by whether the record reports an effect size, then by study design, then by sample size.

Memantine and symptom progression

94 studies

Approved (FDA, 2003) — NMDA-receptor antagonist

Approved for moderate-to-severe Alzheimer's, usually alongside a cholinesterase inhibitor. Symptomatic, not disease-modifying.

94 studies: Systematic review 5, Meta-analysis 6, RCT / clinical trial 8, Cohort 7, Other / not reported 68.

Memantine and symptom progression — the best-evidence studies on this topic, from our study library.
StudyYearDesign nReported effect
Cost-effectiveness of traditional and novel neurotherapeutic agents for Alzheimer's disease: A systematic review
Journal of Alzheimer's Disease
2026 Systematic review — Anti-amyloid antibodies not cost-effective in any of 23 studies; value-based prices below $5,960-$33,700 per year at $150,000/QALY
Efficacy and safety of cholinesterase inhibitors and memantine in cognitive impairment in Parkinson's disease, Parkinson's disease dementia, and dementia with Lewy bodies: systematic review with meta-analysis and trial sequential analysis
Journal of neurology, neurosurgery, and psychiatry
2015 Meta-analysis — RR 1.19
Dementia medications and risk of falls, syncope, and related adverse events: meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials
Journal of the American Geriatrics Society
2011 Meta-analysis — OR=0.88; OR=1.39; OR=1.13
Tramiprosate in mild-to-moderate Alzheimer's disease - a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, multi-centre study (the Alphase Study)
Archives of medical science : AMS
2011 RCT / clinical trial 1,052 75.1%
A randomized pilot clinical trial of the safety of pioglitazone in treatment of patients with Alzheimer disease
Archives of neurology
2011 RCT / clinical trial 29 28.6%

Showing the 5 best-evidence studies of 94 in our library matching this topic, ranked by whether the record reports an effect size, then by study design, then by sample size.

Prevention & modifiable risk factors

14 questions

Twelve of these fourteen topics are the modifiable risk factors named in the Lancet Commission's dementia-prevention framework (education, hearing loss, traumatic brain injury, hypertension, alcohol, obesity, smoking, depression, social isolation, physical inactivity, diabetes, air pollution), plus diet and sleep. Every count below is an individual-level study -- a person's own exposure, a person's own outcome -- not a place-level average.

Study designs behind these topics

Study designs behind each modifiable risk factorPhysical activity / exercise: 134 studies: Systematic review 4, Meta-analysis 16, RCT / clinical trial 11, Cohort 24, Case-control 4, Cross-sectional 10, Other / not reported 65; Diet, including the Mediterranean/MIND diet: 122 studies: Systematic review 10, Meta-analysis 8, RCT / clinical trial 8, Cohort 22, Case-control 3, Cross-sectional 4, Other / not reported 67; Sleep: 82 studies: Systematic review 2, Meta-analysis 6, Cohort 11, Case-control 1, Cross-sectional 11, Other / not reported 51; Smoking: 89 studies: Systematic review 6, Meta-analysis 7, RCT / clinical trial 3, Cohort 21, Case-control 5, Cross-sectional 8, Other / not reported 39; Alcohol use: 67 studies: Systematic review 3, Meta-analysis 3, RCT / clinical trial 2, Cohort 19, Case-control 6, Cross-sectional 5, Other / not reported 29; Hearing loss and hearing aids: 50 studies: Systematic review 4, Meta-analysis 3, RCT / clinical trial 4, Cohort 18, Cross-sectional 4, Other / not reported 17; Social isolation and engagement: 45 studies: Systematic review 3, Meta-analysis 5, RCT / clinical trial 2, Cohort 9, Case-control 1, Cross-sectional 2, Other / not reported 23; Diabetes: 192 studies: Systematic review 4, Meta-analysis 13, RCT / clinical trial 4, Cohort 39, Case-control 6, Cross-sectional 9, Other / not reported 117; Hypertension / blood pressure: 157 studies: Systematic review 5, Meta-analysis 12, RCT / clinical trial 7, Cohort 33, Case-control 6, Cross-sectional 8, Other / not reported 86; Obesity / body mass index: 104 studies: Systematic review 2, Meta-analysis 11, RCT / clinical trial 4, Cohort 23, Case-control 2, Cross-sectional 7, Other / not reported 55; Depression: 116 studies: Systematic review 3, Meta-analysis 14, RCT / clinical trial 4, Cohort 26, Case-control 1, Cross-sectional 8, Other / not reported 60; Traumatic brain injury: 12 studies: Systematic review 2, RCT / clinical trial 1, Cohort 5, Case-control 1, Cross-sectional 2, Other / not reported 1; Education and cognitive reserve: 196 studies: Systematic review 5, Meta-analysis 12, RCT / clinical trial 8, Cohort 42, Case-control 6, Cross-sectional 19, Other / not reported 104; Air pollution (individual-level exposure): 26 studies: Systematic review 2, Meta-analysis 3, RCT / clinical trial 1, Cohort 4, Cross-sectional 3, Other / not reported 130%25%50%75%100%Physical activity / exercisen=134Diet, including theMediterranean/MIND dietn=122Sleepn=82Smokingn=89Alcohol usen=67Hearing loss and hearing aidsn=50Social isolation and engagementn=45Diabetesn=192Hypertension / blood pressuren=157Obesity / body mass indexn=104Depressionn=116Traumatic brain injuryn=12Education and cognitive reserven=196Air pollution (individual-levelexposure)n=26Systematic reviewMeta-analysisRCT / clinical trialCohortCase-controlCross-sectionalOther / not reportedDarker is higher up the evidence pyramid; grey is not reported.

This chart is wider than your screen — drag it sideways.

Source: the study design each matching record states, for records filed under prevention or risk factors.

Physical activity / exercise

134 studies

134 studies: Systematic review 4, Meta-analysis 16, RCT / clinical trial 11, Cohort 24, Case-control 4, Cross-sectional 10, Other / not reported 65.

Physical activity / exercise — the best-evidence studies on this topic, from our study library.
StudyYearDesign nReported effect
Domain-specific physical activity levels and risk of dementia: a systematic review and meta-analysis
The Lancet. Public health
2026 Meta-analysis 4,227,297 RR 0.80 (95% CI 0.75-0.86) for all-cause dementia with high vs low physical activity; leisure-time RR 0.76 (0.65-0.88); occupational RR 1.20 (1.01-1.42)
Effect of physical activity on risk of Alzheimer's disease: A systematic review and meta-analysis of twenty-nine prospective cohort studies
Ageing Research Reviews
2023 Meta-analysis 2,068,519 Pooled HR 0.72 (95% CI 0.65-0.80) overall; HR 0.85 (95% CI 0.79-0.91) after maximal confounder adjustment; high-intensity activity HR 0.56 (95% CI 0.45-0.68); moderate-intensity HR 0.85 (95% CI 0.80-0.93); low-intensity HR 0.94 (95% CI 0.77-1.15, not significant)
Physical Activity and Cognitive Decline Among Older Adults: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis
JAMA Network Open
2024 Meta-analysis 341,471 Pooled RR 0.97 (95% CI 0.97-0.99) for cognitive impairment/decline; no association beyond 10 years of follow-up
Physical activity as a protective factor for dementia and Alzheimer's disease: systematic review, meta-analysis and quality assessment of cohort and case-control studies
British Journal of Sports Medicine
2022 Meta-analysis 257,983 Pooled RR 0.80 (95% CI 0.77-0.84) for all-cause dementia
Determinants of cognitive performance and decline in 20 diverse ethno-regional groups: A COSMIC collaboration cohort study
PLoS medicine
2019 Meta-analysis 48,522 58.4%

Showing the 5 best-evidence studies of 134 in our library matching this topic, ranked by whether the record reports an effect size, then by study design, then by sample size.

Diet, including the Mediterranean/MIND diet

122 studies

122 studies: Systematic review 10, Meta-analysis 8, RCT / clinical trial 8, Cohort 22, Case-control 3, Cross-sectional 4, Other / not reported 67.

Diet, including the Mediterranean/MIND diet — the best-evidence studies on this topic, from our study library.
StudyYearDesign nReported effect
Association of mediterranean diet with mild cognitive impairment and Alzheimer's disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis
Journal of Alzheimer's disease : JAD
2014 Systematic review — HR = 0.67
Association of the Mediterranean Dietary Approaches to Stop Hypertension Intervention for Neurodegenerative Delay (MIND) Diet With the Risk of Dementia
JAMA Psychiatry
2023 Meta-analysis 224,049 HR 0.83 per 3-point MIND-score increment (95% CI 0.72-0.95); highest vs lowest tertile HR 0.83 (0.76-0.90)
Association between plant-based diets and incident dementia: results from prospective cohort studies and a meta-analysis
The journal of prevention of Alzheimer's disease
2026 Meta-analysis 207,981 Pooled HR for dementia, highest vs lowest tertile: overall PDI 0.70 (95% CI 0.53-0.92); unhealthful PDI 1.42 (95% CI 1.19-1.70)
Association between Mediterranean diet and dementia and Alzheimer disease: a systematic review with meta-analysis
Aging Clinical and Experimental Research
2024 Meta-analysis 65,955 Pooled OR 0.89 (95% CI 0.84-0.94) for dementia; cohort HR 0.84 (0.76-0.94); Alzheimer's OR 0.73 (0.62-0.85)
Effect of the Mediterranean diet on cognition and brain morphology and function: a systematic review of randomized controlled trials
The American journal of clinical nutrition
2018 Meta-analysis 1,888 12.1%; reduced by 78%; OR = 0.22

Showing the 5 best-evidence studies of 122 in our library matching this topic, ranked by whether the record reports an effect size, then by study design, then by sample size.

Sleep

82 studies

82 studies: Systematic review 2, Meta-analysis 6, Cohort 11, Case-control 1, Cross-sectional 11, Other / not reported 51.

Sleep — the best-evidence studies on this topic, from our study library.
StudyYearDesign nReported effect
Insomnia and risk of dementia in older adults: Systematic review and meta-analysis
Journal of psychiatric research
2016 Systematic review — RR = 1.53
Sleep apnea and the risk of dementia: A systematic review and meta-analysis
Journal of Sleep Research
2022 Meta-analysis 1,333,424 HR 1.43 (95% CI 1.26-1.62) for any neurocognitive disorder; Alzheimer's HR 1.28 (1.16-1.41)
Sleep disorders and the risk of cognitive decline or dementia: an updated systematic review and meta-analysis of longitudinal studies
Journal of Neurology
2025 Meta-analysis — Excessive daytime sleepiness RR 1.41 for all-cause dementia; long sleep RR 1.66 for Alzheimer's disease
Sex differences in modifiable risk factors of dementia and their associations with cognition
Biology of Sex Differences
2026 Cohort 17,182 59.2%
Association of sleep duration in middle and old age with incidence of dementia
Nature Communications
2021 Cohort 7,959 HR ~1.22 (age 50) and ~1.37 (age 60) for short vs. 7-hour sleep; persistent short sleep across ages 50/60/70 ~30% higher risk

Showing the 5 best-evidence studies of 82 in our library matching this topic, ranked by whether the record reports an effect size, then by study design, then by sample size.

Smoking

89 studies

89 studies: Systematic review 6, Meta-analysis 7, RCT / clinical trial 3, Cohort 21, Case-control 5, Cross-sectional 8, Other / not reported 39.

Smoking — the best-evidence studies on this topic, from our study library.
StudyYearDesign nReported effect
Association of the Mediterranean Dietary Approaches to Stop Hypertension Intervention for Neurodegenerative Delay (MIND) Diet With the Risk of Dementia
JAMA Psychiatry
2023 Meta-analysis 224,049 HR 0.83 per 3-point MIND-score increment (95% CI 0.72-0.95); highest vs lowest tertile HR 0.83 (0.76-0.90)
Determinants of cognitive performance and decline in 20 diverse ethno-regional groups: A COSMIC collaboration cohort study
PLoS medicine
2019 Meta-analysis 48,522 58.4%
Risk Factors Associated With Alzheimer Disease and Related Dementias by Sex and Race and Ethnicity in the US
JAMA neurology
2022 Meta-analysis 378 48.7%; 21.1%; 0.9%
Dietary Patterns and Risk of Dementia: a Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Cohort Studies
Molecular neurobiology
2016 Meta-analysis — RR: 0.84; RR: 0.87; RR: 0.72
Virgin olive oil supplementation and long-term cognition: the PREDIMED-NAVARRA randomized, trial
The journal of nutrition, health & aging
2013 RCT / clinical trial 285 44.8%; OR=0.34

Showing the 5 best-evidence studies of 89 in our library matching this topic, ranked by whether the record reports an effect size, then by study design, then by sample size.

Geography (a weaker, separate class of evidence)

43 questions

Everything below this line compares PLACES, not people: do states, counties or countries with more of an exposure also show more of an outcome. A correlation between places is not a statement about a person -- it cannot tell you that living somewhere changes your own risk, only that two averages move together. It is also frequently a correlation about measurement rather than disease: under-diagnosis and genuinely lower disease look identical in this kind of data, because both produce a lower recorded rate. These 43 questions are kept, unchanged, at the bottom of this page because the panels behind them are real and the arithmetic is real -- but they are a weaker form of evidence than anything above, and should be read that way.

A correlation between places is not a statement about a person. It cannot tell you that living somewhere changes your own risk — only that two averages move together, for reasons the data below cannot separate. It is also frequently a correlation about measurement: under-diagnosis and genuinely lower disease look identical in this kind of data, because both produce a lower recorded rate.

S1 Do states with higher fine-particulate air pollution carry higher Alzheimer's mortality rates?

Ready
  • Level: state
  • Units: 51
  • Analysed: 51
  • Pearson r: -0.0 (p = 0.999)
  • Spearman ρ: 0.072 (p = 0.613)
  • Partial r: -0.097 (controlling for median household income, primary-care physicians per 100,000)

PM2.5 is a live candidate environmental risk factor. State-level pollution averages vary enough to give the comparison range, and the mortality outcome is complete at this level.

Design. Ecological cross-section, 51 states and DC.

What it might actually be measuring. Recorded-cause mortality tracks diagnostic and coding capacity, so Test 1 matters most here: correlate the outcome against income and physician supply first. If mortality tracks those hard, the pollution correlation is partly measuring health-system intensity.

Verdict. Raw negligible negative association (r=-0.00, n=51, p=0.999, not distinguishable from zero at p<0.05). Because the raw association was not significant to begin with, the partial r=-0.10 (p=0.497) controlling for median household income + primary-care physicians per 100,000 has no real baseline effect to explain away -- reported for completeness, not as a finding. Ecological correlation only: does not show the exposure causes or prevents Alzheimer's at the individual level.

S1 — the two columns, and where each comes from.
RoleColumnWhat it is FilledSource
Exposure pm25_avg_ugm3 Average annual fine particulate matter (PM2.5) concentration
Reported as a 2022-2024 multi-year average by the source; year recorded as the midpoint (2023).
100.0% America's Health Rankings, Air Pollution (source: EPA), 2022-2024 average
Outcome alz_deaths_per_100k Unadjusted (not age-adjusted) annual Alzheimer's death rate per 100,000 population
Report explicitly presents UNADJUSTED rates (not age-adjusted) so that larger/older-population states aren't penalized in the comparison; do not treat as age-standardized.
100.0% Alzheimer's Association 2025 Facts and Figures, Table 6 (NCHS)

S2 Is state-level hearing-loss prevalence associated with Alzheimer's prevalence?

Ready
  • Level: state
  • Units: 51
  • Analysed: 51
  • Pearson r: -0.611 (p = 0.0)
  • Spearman ρ: -0.595 (p = 0.0)
  • Partial r: -0.587 (controlling for the share aged 65+)

Hearing loss is one of the best-supported modifiable risk factors in the Lancet Commission work, so it is the strongest prior for a positive finding - which is exactly why a null would be informative.

Design. Ecological cross-section, 51 states and DC.

What it might actually be measuring. Prevalence is modelled from an age structure, so it will track the share aged 65+ almost by construction. Adjust for age structure before reading the exposure; if the association vanishes, it was demography.

Verdict. Raw strong negative association (r=-0.61, n=51, p=1.93e-06). Controlling for the share aged 65+, the partial r is -0.59 (p=5.89e-06) and the association SURVIVES -- not explained away by the share aged 65+ alone, though this remains an ecological (group-level) association, not evidence of an individual-level effect. SIGN FLIP vs. established literature (hearing loss is a well-established (Lancet Commission) modifiable risk factor; more hearing loss is expected to track with more dementia, not less) -- read this as a measurement/diagnostic-capacity finding about the data, not a discovery about risk. Ecological correlation only: does not show the exposure causes or prevents Alzheimer's at the individual level.

S2 — the two columns, and where each comes from.
RoleColumnWhat it is FilledSource
Exposure pct_hearing_loss Percent of adults with any hearing loss
Oldest data-year in the risk-factor block (2014-2016 pooled); no newer full 51-state BRFSS hearing-loss table was locatable in this session.
100.0% CDC/NCHS, Any Hearing Loss by State, National Health Interview Survey 2014-2016 (Blackwell & Norris)
Outcome alz_prevalence_65plus_pct Estimated percentage of the population age 65+ living with Alzheimer's dementia
Modeled estimate based on 2020 age/sex/race population distributions, not a direct case count or registry; published in the 2025 F&F report.
100.0% Alzheimer's Association 2025 Alzheimer's Disease Facts and Figures, Table 5 (data from Dhana et al., state/county prevalence model)

S3 Is state-level diabetes prevalence associated with Alzheimer's prevalence?

Ready
  • Level: state
  • Units: 51
  • Analysed: 50
  • Pearson r: 0.134 (p = 0.352)
  • Spearman ρ: 0.399 (p = 0.004)
  • Partial r: 0.237 (controlling for the obesity rate, the hypertension rate, the physical inactivity rate)

Midlife diabetes is an established risk factor. Both columns are complete, making this the cleanest first test of the whole panel.

Design. Ecological cross-section, 51 states and DC.

What it might actually be measuring. Diabetes, obesity, inactivity and hypertension are mutually correlated, so a single-exposure model will not isolate any one of them. Run the exposures together and report which survive; a lone 'significant' predictor among four collinear ones is not a finding.

Flagged: Pearson and Spearman disagree materially on this pair, which usually means a non-linear relationship or a few outlying units. Neither figure should be read on its own.

Verdict. Raw weak positive association (r=0.13, n=50, p=0.352, not distinguishable from zero at p<0.05). Pearson (r=0.13) and Spearman (rho=0.40) disagree materially -- likely non-linear or outlier-driven; neither number should be read alone. Because the raw association was not significant to begin with, the partial r=0.24 (p=0.105) controlling for the obesity rate + the hypertension rate + the physical inactivity rate has no real baseline effect to explain away -- reported for completeness, not as a finding. Ecological correlation only: does not show the exposure causes or prevents Alzheimer's at the individual level.

S3 — the two columns, and where each comes from.
RoleColumnWhat it is FilledSource
Exposure pct_diabetes Percent of adults with diagnosed diabetes
Tennessee blank: TN did not submit sufficient 2024 BRFSS sample for KFF to report a value.
98.0% KFF State Health Facts, Adults with Diagnosed Diabetes (CDC BRFSS)
Outcome alz_prevalence_65plus_pct Estimated percentage of the population age 65+ living with Alzheimer's dementia
Modeled estimate based on 2020 age/sex/race population distributions, not a direct case count or registry; published in the 2025 F&F report.
100.0% Alzheimer's Association 2025 Alzheimer's Disease Facts and Figures, Table 5 (data from Dhana et al., state/county prevalence model)

S4 Do more-educated states record higher Alzheimer's mortality?

Ready
  • Level: state
  • Units: 51
  • Analysed: 51
  • Pearson r: -0.58 (p = 0.0)
  • Spearman ρ: -0.427 (p = 0.002)
  • Partial r: -0.255 (controlling for the share aged 65+, median household income)

A sign flip is the highest-value signal in an ecological analysis. Education is protective at the individual level, so if it correlates POSITIVELY with recorded mortality at state level that is almost certainly a diagnostic-capacity artifact - and demonstrating it is a real result.

Design. Ecological cross-section, 51 states and DC.

What it might actually be measuring. This is the designed artifact test. Expect a positive sign. Run the full four-step triage: Test 1 against wealth, Test 2 stratified into income quartiles, Test 3 against the modelled prevalence outcome, Test 4 partial on age and income together. Publishing the triage, not the coefficient, is the deliverable.

Verdict. Raw strong negative association (r=-0.58, n=51, p=8.14e-06). Controlling for the share aged 65+ + median household income, the partial r falls to -0.25 (p=0.0711) -- well under half the raw value, so the raw association largely COLLAPSES and is consistent with it measuring the share aged 65+ + median household income rather than the share with a bachelor's degree itself. Ecological correlation only: does not show the exposure causes or prevents Alzheimer's at the individual level.

S4 — the two columns, and where each comes from.
RoleColumnWhat it is FilledSource
Exposure pct_bachelors_plus Percent of population 25+ with a bachelor's degree or higher 100.0% U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 2023 1-Year Estimates, GCT1502
Outcome alz_deaths_per_100k Unadjusted (not age-adjusted) annual Alzheimer's death rate per 100,000 population
Report explicitly presents UNADJUSTED rates (not age-adjusted) so that larger/older-population states aren't penalized in the comparison; do not treat as age-standardized.
100.0% Alzheimer's Association 2025 Facts and Figures, Table 6 (NCHS)

S5 Do states with more neurologists per capita identify more Alzheimer's cases?

Ready
  • Level: state
  • Units: 51
  • Analysed: 51
  • Pearson r: 0.01 (p = 0.947)
  • Spearman ρ: 0.207 (p = 0.145)
  • Partial r: 0.119 (controlling for total population)

A direct measure of diagnostic supply against a case count. It quantifies how much of the geography of Alzheimer's is a geography of who gets diagnosed.

Design. Ecological cross-section, 51 states and DC.

What it might actually be measuring. Counts are denominators-inflated: a large state has more cases for reasons unrelated to supply. Model the RATE not the count, or include population as an offset - otherwise the correlation restates population.

Verdict. Raw negligible positive association (r=0.01, n=51, p=0.947, not distinguishable from zero at p<0.05). Because the raw association was not significant to begin with, the partial r=0.12 (p=0.406) controlling for total population has no real baseline effect to explain away -- reported for completeness, not as a finding. Ecological correlation only: does not show the exposure causes or prevents Alzheimer's at the individual level.

S5 — the two columns, and where each comes from.
RoleColumnWhat it is FilledSource
Exposure neurologists_per_100k Neurologists per 100,000 population
Based on AAN membership records, not a full practitioner census; likely a modest, roughly uniform undercount of true neurologist supply.
100.0% American Academy of Neurology, 2025 Member Demographics Report, Table 10b
Outcome alz_count_65plus Estimated number of people age 65+ living with Alzheimer's dementia
Report gives this in thousands (1 decimal); value here is that figure x1000, rounded to nearest integer. Same modeled-estimate caveat as alz_prevalence_65plus_pct.
100.0% Alzheimer's Association 2025 Alzheimer's Disease Facts and Figures, Table 5

S6 Is geriatrician supply associated with Alzheimer's mortality at state level?

Ready
  • Level: state
  • Units: 51
  • Analysed: 51
  • Pearson r: -0.285 (p = 0.043)
  • Spearman ρ: -0.271 (p = 0.055)
  • Partial r: -0.409 (controlling for total population)

Tests whether specialist workforce tracks recorded outcomes, the same confound structure as S5 but with a different workforce series, so the two can be compared.

Design. Ecological cross-section, 51 states and DC.

What it might actually be measuring. Geriatrician counts are raw counts, so they track state size. Rate-adjust first. If S5 and S6 disagree in sign, that disagreement is itself the finding about how unstable workforce measures are at this level.

Verdict. Raw weak negative association (r=-0.28, n=51, p=0.0428). Controlling for total population, the partial r is -0.41 (p=0.00286) and the association SURVIVES -- not explained away by total population alone, though this remains an ecological (group-level) association, not evidence of an individual-level effect. Ecological correlation only: does not show the exposure causes or prevents Alzheimer's at the individual level.

S6 — the two columns, and where each comes from.
RoleColumnWhat it is FilledSource
Exposure geriatricians_count Number of board-certified geriatricians practicing in the state (bonus column, not in required spec)
2021 is the most recent year available in the source report; included as a bonus workforce-supply column alongside primary_care_physicians_per_100k and neurologists_per_100k.
100.0% Alzheimer's Association 2025 Facts and Figures, Table 14, citing American Geriatrics Society
Outcome alz_deaths_per_100k Unadjusted (not age-adjusted) annual Alzheimer's death rate per 100,000 population
Report explicitly presents UNADJUSTED rates (not age-adjusted) so that larger/older-population states aren't penalized in the comparison; do not treat as age-standardized.
100.0% Alzheimer's Association 2025 Facts and Figures, Table 6 (NCHS)

S11 Do states with more unpaid caregiving hours have more Alzheimer's cases?

Ready
  • Level: state
  • Units: 51
  • Analysed: 51
  • Pearson r: 0.944 (p = 0.0)
  • Spearman ρ: 0.967 (p = 0.0)
  • Partial r: -0.046 (controlling for total population)

Both are burden measures. Useful as a consistency check between an independent caregiver-burden series and the case count.

Design. Ecological cross-section, 51 states and DC.

What it might actually be measuring. Both columns scale with state population. Normalise both per capita or the correlation is a population correlation wearing a caregiving label.

Verdict. Raw strong positive association (r=0.94, n=51, p=2.61e-25). Controlling for total population, the partial r falls to -0.05 (p=0.75) -- well under half the raw value, so the raw association largely COLLAPSES and is consistent with it measuring total population rather than unpaid caregiving hours itself. Ecological correlation only: does not show the exposure causes or prevents Alzheimer's at the individual level.

S11 — the two columns, and where each comes from.
RoleColumnWhat it is FilledSource
Exposure unpaid_caregiver_hours_millions Hours of unpaid care provided by family/other caregivers
US total 19,161 million hours (~19.2 billion).
100.0% Alzheimer's Association 2025 Facts and Figures, Table 10
Outcome alz_count_65plus Estimated number of people age 65+ living with Alzheimer's dementia
Report gives this in thousands (1 decimal); value here is that figure x1000, rounded to nearest integer. Same modeled-estimate caveat as alz_prevalence_65plus_pct.
100.0% Alzheimer's Association 2025 Alzheimer's Disease Facts and Figures, Table 5

A7 Do states where more adults 65+ report functional consequences from subjective cognitive decline have higher Alzheimer's mortality?

Ready

How to read this page

Study counts and designs come straight from the study design each matching record in our library states. Reported effect is whatever the study itself reported — a relative risk, a percentage-point difference, an odds ratio — left blank when the record does not carry one. Nothing on the vaccine, drug or prevention sections is a coefficient computed by this site; that work belongs to the studies cited.

Pearson r and Spearman ρ, in the geography section only, run from −1 to +1 and measure how tightly two columns move together (Spearman on ranks, so it survives a few extreme values that would distort r). Partial r re-runs that correlation after removing the influence of a named confounder.

Observational means the study watched what happened without assigning who got the exposure; randomised (RCT) means it did. An observational association, however large, is not proof that the exposure caused the outcome — people who choose an exposure (a vaccine, a drug, an exercise habit) differ from people who do not in ways a study can rarely fully account for. None of this is medical advice.

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