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Every row of the evidence table
One row per finding: what was tested, which way the result went, and how the study was built. The answer by area, and where the studies disagree, are on the main page.
Every row
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Showing 5 of 382 rows. One row per study per exposure: a study that tested two different things appears twice, once for each.
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| Exposure | Question | Direction | Outcome measured | Design | People | Effect size, as the source reported it | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Herpes zoster / shingles vaccination Infection and vaccination | Prevention | Benefit | New dementia diagnoses over 5.5 years | cohort study | 232,124 | -2.0 percentage points (95% CI -3.5 to -0.4) absolute reduction in new dementia diagnoses over 5.5 years |
The Lancet Neurology
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41579903 |
| Herpes zoster / shingles vaccination Infection and vaccination | Prevention |
Benefit
whyRegression discontinuity across a birth-date eligibility threshold, which makes confounding by health-seeking behaviour less likely than in a plain cohort comparison. Eligibility did not change uptake of other preventive services or other chronic-disease diagnoses, which is the check that makes the design convincing. |
New dementia diagnoses over 7.4 years | cohort study | 101,219 | "eligibility for HZ vaccination (ie, being born shortly after vs shortly before November 2, 1936) decreased the probability of receiving a new dementia diagnosis during 7.4 years by 1.8 percentage points (95% CI, 0.4-3.3 percentage points; P = .01)"; vaccination uptake rose 16.4 percentage points (95% CI 13.2-19.5) across the threshold |
JAMA
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 40267506 |
| Herpes zoster / shingles vaccination Infection and vaccination | Prevention |
Benefit
whyRegression discontinuity across the 2 September 1933 eligibility threshold; stronger in women than men. |
Probability of a new dementia diagnosis over 7 years | cohort study | not stated | -3.5 percentage points (95% CI 0.6 to 7.1, P = 0.019) in 7-year dementia diagnosis probability; 20.0% relative reduction (95% CI 6.5-33.4) |
Nature
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 40175543 |
| Other vaccination (influenza, pneumococcal, general) Infection and vaccination | Prevention |
Benefit
whyPooled observational studies, so open to the confounding the natural-experiment studies were designed to avoid. |
Any dementia | meta-analysis | 104,031,186 | Influenza vaccination RR 0.87 (95% CI 0.77-0.99) for any dementia; pneumococcal vaccination RR 0.64 (95% CI 0.47-0.87) for Alzheimer's disease |
Age and Ageing
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41269248 |
| Severe (hospital-treated) infection Infection and vaccination | Prevention |
Harm
whyDirection is for a hospital-treated infection: the raised dementia hazard (1.54) was barely attenuated by adjustment for frailty (1.49) and persisted among non-frail participants (1.34), so pre-existing frailty and comorbidity did not explain it. |
Incident dementia after a 5-year exposure window and 2-year washout, adjusted for frailty and comorbidity | cohort study | 449,223 | Adjustment for frailty resulted in no statistically significant attenuation of the infection and dementia association (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 1·54 [95% CI 1·43-1·67] for presence vs absence of severe infections before adjustment for frailty and 1·49 [1·37-1·61] after adjustment). The association was also evident within a subgroup of non-frail participants (1·34 [1·18-1·53]) |
The lancet. Healthy longevity
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41969011 |