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Every row of the evidence table
One row per finding: what was tested, which way the result went, and how the study was built. The answer by area, and where the studies disagree, are on the main page.
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Showing 12 of 382 rows. One row per study per exposure: a study that tested two different things appears twice, once for each.
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| Exposure | Question | Direction | Outcome measured | Design | People | Effect size, as the source reported it | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population burden (prevalence, incidence, lifetime risk) All modifiable factors together | Prevention |
No direction reported
whyA burden-of-disease decomposition: age-standardised rates rose slightly and population growth was the largest driver of the rise in cases. It compares no exposure, so no direction is recorded. |
Global prevalence, incidence, mortality and DALYs of young-onset dementia, 1990-2021 | modelling study | not stated | Global age standardized prevalence and incidence of dementia among people under 65 years increased from 93.39 and 16.24 per 100,000 persons in 1990 to 96.09 and 17.16 per 100,000 persons in 2021; mortality increased from 0.89 per 100,000 population to 0.91 per 100,000 population; and age standardized DALYs increased from 45.60 per 100,000 persons to 46.78 per 100,000 persons |
Translational Psychiatry
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 39966345 |
| Population burden (prevalence, incidence, lifetime risk) All modifiable factors together | Prevention |
No direction reported
whyA prevalence estimate and forecast: cases are projected to rise from 57.4 million to 152.8 million while age-standardised prevalence stays flat, with the rise attributed to population growth and ageing. It compares no exposure, so there is no direction to record. |
Number of people with dementia worldwide, 2019 and forecast to 2050 | modelling study | not stated | We estimated that the number of people with dementia would increase from 57·4 (95% uncertainty interval 50·4-65·1) million cases globally in 2019 to 152·8 (130·8-175·9) million cases in 2050. Despite large increases in the projected number of people living with dementia, age-standardised both-sex prevalence remained stable between 2019 and 2050 (global percentage change of 0·1% [-7·5 to 10·8]) |
The Lancet Public Health
2022 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 34998485 |
| Blood biomarker test (p-tau217 / amyloid ratio) Care, carers and services | Treatment |
No direction reported
whyA price-threshold model: it estimates the test price at which diagnostic cost per true-positive case equals standard care ($290-$1,950 depending on use), and compares no actual price against it, so there is no direction to record. |
Value-based price of a blood test for AD pathology as a triage or confirmatory test in primary and specialty care, and projected reduction in PET/CSF use | modelling study | not stated | If used in primary care, the value-based price would be $290 for a triage and $1150 for a confirmatory test, respectively, as use of PET or CSF testing would decline by 47 % and 86 %, respectively. If used in specialty care, i.e., after confirmation of early-stage cognitive impairment, the overall number of blood tests would decline. Consequently, the value-based price would increase to $450 for a triage test and $1950 for a confirmatory test |
Journal of Prevention of Alzheimer's Disease
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 40494736 |
| Cost of dementia care Care, carers and services | Treatment |
No direction reported
whyA cost estimate ($818 billion, 80% of it borne by families through unpaid care, earnings losses, out-of-pocket costs and quality-of-life losses) with no exposure compared, so no direction is recorded. |
Total cost of dementia in the United States in 2026 | modelling study | not stated | In 2026, 5.7 million (95% confidence interval [CI] [5.6, 6.0]) US adults aged 51 and older are living with dementia, supported by 5.2 million (95% CI [4.9, 5.5]) care partners. Total costs are $818 billion (B, 95% CI [759, 866]), driven by quality-of-life losses for persons with dementia ($320B, 95% CI [269, 363]) and care partners ($15B 95% CI [6, 25]). Unpaid care ($237B, 95% CI [220, 253]), earnings losses ($23B), and out-of-pocket costs combined with quality-of-life losses account for 80% of costs and are borne by families |
Alzheimer's & Dementia
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 42340126 |
| Cost of dementia care Care, carers and services | Treatment |
No direction reported
whyA cost projection: total burden is estimated at $344 billion in 2020 rising to over $3 trillion in 2060, with African American and Latino families projected to bear a disproportionate share. It compares spending shares between groups but tests no exposure, so no direction is recorded. |
Total US economic burden of dementia by race and ethnicity, 2020 to 2060 | modelling study | 31,028 | The total estimated economic burden of ADRD was close to $344 billion in 2020 and was projected to increase to over $3 trillion in 2060. African American and Latino adults bore one-third ($113 billion) of it in 2020, with projections rising to $1.7 trillion by 2060, surpassing the economic burden for White adults, which was projected to grow from $231 billion to $1.4 trillion |
JAMA Network Open
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 40471578 |
| Cost of dementia care Care, carers and services | Treatment |
No direction reported
whyA cost estimate with no exposure compared, so there is no direction to record. Higher unpaid-care costs went with lower medical spending on nursing facility care. |
Annual cost of care attributable to dementia per case in 2019 and the unpaid-care share of total cost by US state | modelling study | not stated | The annual cost of care attributable to dementia in 2019 was $53,502 (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 46,135-60,594) per case. The contribution of unpaid care to total costs varied by state, ranging from 70.2% (95% UI 64.3-75.4) in the District of Columbia to 89.9% (95% UI 87.8-91.5) in Arizona |
Journal of Alzheimer's Disease
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 40111940 |
| Cost of dementia care Care, carers and services | Treatment |
No direction reported
whyA cost projection with no exposure compared, so there is no direction to record. Dementia's share of replacement cost is projected to rise from 44% to 53%. |
Replacement cost of unpaid family care and opportunity cost of forgone earnings for older Americans with and without dementia, now and projected to 2060 | modelling study | not stated | Current annual replacement cost of unpaid family care is between $96 and $182 billion, 44% of which is accounted for by dementia caregiving. By 2060, it will increase to $277-571 billion, and 53% will be for dementia caregiving. The opportunity costs of forgone earnings and productivity loss, however, will grow faster, increasing from current levels of $107 billion and $26 billion to $380 billion and $102 billion, respectively, in 2060 |
Innovation in Aging
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 40662057 |
| Cost of dementia care Care, carers and services | Treatment |
No direction reported
whyA cost estimate with no exposure compared, so there is no direction to record. |
Annual indirect cost of Alzheimer's disease per person by severity, and total US indirect cost | modelling study | not stated | $36 934 for mild cognitive impairment owing to AD, $65 565 for mild AD, $103 717 for moderate AD, and $145 250 for severe AD (2024 United States Dollars [USD]). Considering the current distribution of prevalent patients across severity stages, the total annual indirect cost was estimated at $832 billion, which includes $599 billion in unpaid caregiving costs and $233 billion in productivity losses |
Value in Health
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 39571734 |
| Cost of dementia care Care, carers and services | Treatment |
No direction reported
whyA cost estimate and projection with no exposure compared, so there is no direction to record. |
Per-patient cost of care in 2016 and aggregate US cost projected 2020-2060 | modelling study | not stated | In 2016, the estimated per patient cost of formal care was $28,078 (95% confidence interval [CI]: $25,893-$30,433), and informal care cost valued in terms of replacement cost and forgone wages was $36,667 ($34,025-$39,473) and $15,792 ($12,980-$18,713), respectively. Aggregate formal care cost and formal plus informal care cost using replacement cost and forgone wage methods were $196 billion (95% uncertainty range [UR]: $179-$213 billion), $450 billion ($424-$478 billion), and $305 billion ($278-$333 billion), respectively, in 2020. These were projected to increase to $1.4 trillion ($837 billion-$2.2 trillion), $3.3 trillion ($1.9-$5.1 trillion), and $2.2 trillion ($1.3-$3.5 trillion), respectively, in 2060 |
npj Aging
2024 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 38331952 |
| Cost of dementia care Care, carers and services | Treatment |
No direction reported
whyA cost estimation across 204 countries with no exposure compared, so there is no direction to record. |
Global direct health care spending and informal care cost attributable to dementia, 2019, with projection to 2050 | modelling study | not stated | in 2019, the direct health care spending attributable to ADRD across 204 countries reached $260.6 billion (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 131.6-420.4) and the cost of informal ADRD care was $354.1 billion (95% UI 190.0-544.1). On average, informal care represents 57% (95% UI 38-75%) of the total cost of care. We estimated that direct health care spending attributable to ADRD will reach $1.6 trillion (95% UI 0.6-3.3) in 2050, or 9.4% (95% UI 3.9-19.6%) of projected health spending worldwide |
Journal of Alzheimer's Disease
2024 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 39150827 |
| Cost-effectiveness of anti-amyloid antibody Care, carers and services | Treatment |
No direction reported
whyA threshold analysis estimating what each country should be willing to pay (from $4-$18 a year in low-income countries to $254-$9,434 for lecanemab and $387-$13,964 for donanemab in high-income countries). It sets no price against an actual list price, so there is no direction to record. |
Incremental QALYs versus usual care and value-based annual prices for lecanemab and donanemab across 174 countries | modelling study | not stated | Compared to usual care, lecanemab and donanemab respectively increased average QALYs by 0.38 and 0.51. By country income status, VBPs for lecanemab and donanemab respectively ranged between $254 to $9434 and $387 to $13,964 (high income), $90 to $1025 and $137 to $1507 (upper middle income), $11 to $623 and $21 to $956 (lower middle income) and $4 to $18 and $9 to $32 (low income) |
Alzheimer's & Dementia
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 42125995 |
| Cost-effectiveness of anti-amyloid antibody Care, carers and services | Treatment |
No direction reported
whyA cost-effectiveness model reporting ICERs of JPY 8.5 million and 7.9 million per QALY without stating a threshold or a verdict; the authors argue that narrow value assessments understate social value. No direction is recorded. |
Incremental QALYs (patient plus caregiver) and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of lecanemab added to standard care in Japan | modelling study | not stated | The incremental QALYs were 1.31 QALYs for MCI due to AD and 0.85 QALYs for mild AD-D, and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were JPY 8.5 million /QALY and JPY 7.9 million /QALY ($1 = JPY 150), respectively |
Journal of Alzheimer's Disease
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 42108615 |