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Every row of the evidence table
One row per finding: what was tested, which way the result went, and how the study was built. The answer by area, and where the studies disagree, are on the main page.
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Showing 57 of 382 rows. One row per study per exposure: a study that tested two different things appears twice, once for each.
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| Exposure | Question | Direction | Outcome measured | Design | People | Effect size, as the source reported it | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Modifiable risk factors combined All modifiable factors together | Prevention |
Harm
whyDirection is for carrying the risk factors. The weighted combined estimate (32.0% for seven factors) is lower than the Lancet Commission's 45% for 14. |
Population attributable fraction of dementia | meta-analysis | not stated | Weighted combined PAF 32.0% (95% CI 26.6-37.5) for seven modifiable factors |
Lancet Healthy Longevity
2024 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 38824956 |
| Peripheral diseases combined (population attributable fraction) All modifiable factors together | Prevention |
Harm
whyDirection is for carrying the peripheral diseases: together they were related to about one-third of global dementia burden, led by periodontal disease, chronic liver disease, hearing loss, vision loss and type 2 diabetes. Attributable fractions assume the pooled associations are causal. |
Population attributable fraction of global dementia burden for 16 peripheral diseases | meta-analysis | not stated | Globally, these peripheral diseases collectively were related to a combined PAF of 33.18% (95% confidence interval (CI) 16.80-48.43) of dementia burden, corresponding to 18.8 million prevalent cases. The leading ten PAF contributors were periodontal diseases (6.10%, 95% CI 0.95-10.28), cirrhosis and other chronic liver diseases (5.51%, 95% CI 1.77-8.86), age-related and other hearing loss (4.70%, 95% CI 3.51-6.06), blindness and vision loss (4.30%, 95% CI 3.43-5.05), type 2 diabetes mellitus (3.80%, 95% CI 3.06-4.53) |
Nature human behaviour
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41559195 |
| Population burden (prevalence, incidence, lifetime risk) All modifiable factors together | Prevention |
No direction reported
whyA pooled incidence and prevalence estimate with no exposure compared, so no direction is recorded. |
Pooled incidence and prevalence of frontotemporal dementia | meta-analysis | not stated | Pooled crude incidence for FTD was 2.28 (95% CI, 1.55-3.36) per 100 000 person-years and prevalence, 9.17 (95% CI, 3.59-23.42) per 100 000 people |
JAMA Neurology
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 40920400 |
| Population burden (prevalence, incidence, lifetime risk) All modifiable factors together | Prevention |
No direction reported
whyA pooled prevalence estimate with no exposure compared, so there is no direction to record. |
Global prevalence of young-onset dementia (ages 30-64) | meta-analysis | 2,760,379 | Age-standardized prevalence estimates increased from 1.1 per 100 000 population in the group aged 30 to 34 years to 77.4 per 100 000 population in the group aged 60 to 64 years. This gives an overall global age-standardized prevalence of 119.0 per 100 000 population in the age range of 30 to 64 years, corresponding to 3.9 million people aged 30 to 64 years living with YOD in the world |
JAMA Neurology
2021 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 34279544 |
| Amyloid PET Centiloid positivity threshold Care, carers and services | Treatment |
No direction reported
whyA threshold-derivation meta-analysis: it converges on 18 Centiloids (data-driven) and 27 Centiloids (visual reads) and flags 11-26 as a range to read with caution. It compares no exposure, so no direction exists to record. |
Centiloid cutoff for amyloid PET positivity (data-driven and by visual-read correspondence) | meta-analysis | 49,227 | The data-driven GMM approach identified a bimodal distribution in 51 studies (n = 48 786), resulting in a single cutoff for positivity of 18 Centiloids (95% CI,16-19; I2 = 97%). The double-cutoff approach revealed high confidence for interpreting scans as negative when Centiloid values were lower than 11 (95% CI, 9-13; I2 = 95%) and interpreting scans as positive if Centiloid values were higher than 26 (95% CI, 24-28; I2 = 95%) ... Centiloids were highly predictive of visual positivity (Cohen κ, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.83-0.89; I2 = 96%) with a cutoff of 27 Centiloids (95% CI, 24-30; I2 = 80%) |
JAMA
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 42441390 |
| Blood biomarker test (p-tau217 / amyloid ratio) Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Benefit
whyDirection is for the test's accuracy against the reference standard; an accuracy result, not a health outcome. Plasma p-tau217 detected amyloid PET positivity with 82% sensitivity and 86% specificity, comparable to CSF p-tau217; less sensitive for tau PET. |
Sensitivity and specificity for amyloid and tau PET positivity (pooled) | meta-analysis | not stated | Plasma p-tau217 showed 82% sensitivity for detecting amyloid and 83% for tau, with 86% and 83% specificity, respectively. CSF p-tau217 had 79% sensitivity for amyloid and 91% for tau, with 91% and 84% specificity |
Alzheimer's & Dementia
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 39711334 |
| Blood biomarker test (p-tau217 / amyloid ratio) Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Benefit
whyDirection is for the test's accuracy against the reference standard; an accuracy result, not a health outcome. Plasma p-tau217 was the best-performing marker (88.1% sensitivity, 88.7% specificity, AUROC 91.1%, moderate certainty), ahead of p-tau181 and p-tau231; about 90% of studies were at high risk of bias. |
Pooled sensitivity, specificity and AUROC for biologically defined Alzheimer's disease | meta-analysis | 29,625 | Plasma p-tau217 was the highest-performing biomarker for identifying biologically defined Alzheimer's disease, with pooled sensitivity of 88·1% (95% CI 86·7-89·5, moderate certainty of evidence), specificity of 88·7% (87·4-89·9, moderate certainty of evidence), area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 91·1% (88·9-92·4, moderate certainty of evidence), and diagnostic odds ratio of 50·7 (40·6-63·4). p-tau181 pooled sensitivity was 80·5% (78·4-82·4, low certainty of evidence), specificity was 76·4% (74·1-78·6, low certainty of evidence), AUROC was 81·5% (80·2-82·9, low certainty of evidence) |
The Lancet Neurology
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 40818474 |
| Blood biomarker test (p-tau217 / amyloid ratio) Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Mixed
whyDirection is for the test's accuracy against the reference standard; an accuracy result, not a health outcome. Performance varied widely across tests, from 49.3% to 91.4% pooled sensitivity and 61.5% to 96.7% pooled specificity at a single cut-point, with most studies at high risk of bias. |
Pooled sensitivity and specificity of 31 blood-based biomarker tests for Alzheimer pathology in cognitively impaired people | meta-analysis | not stated | the pooled sensitivity ranged from 49.3% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 41.2-57.4) to 91.4% (95% CI: 86.6-94.6), and the pooled specificity ranged from 61.5% (95% CI: 45.6-75.3) to 96.7% (95% CI: 87.8-99.2) |
Alzheimer's & Dementia
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41193403 |
| Caregiving itself (exposure to the carer) Care, carers and services | Treatment |
No direction reported
whyA pooled prevalence among carers (50.8% lonely, 37.1% socially isolated) with no non-carer comparison, so no direction for the effect of caregiving can be recorded. |
Prevalence of loneliness and social isolation among informal carers | meta-analysis | 11,134 | The pooled prevalence of loneliness among informal carers of individuals with dementia was 50.8% (95% CI: 41.8%-59.8%), while the pooled prevalence of social isolation was 37.1% (95% CI: 26.7%-47.6%) |
International Journal of Geriatric Psychiatry
2024 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 38752797 |
| Caregiving itself (exposure to the carer) Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Harm
whyDirection is for BEING a carer: carers were worse off than non-carers on every domain, with the largest gaps in depression and stress. |
Carer depression, stress, well-being and physical health | meta-analysis | not stated | Depression g=0.58; stress g=0.55; self-efficacy g=-0.54; well-being g=-0.40; physical health g=0.18 |
Psychology and Aging
2003 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 12825775 |
| Carer psychosocial / skills intervention Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Benefit
whyBenefit was larger for younger, male and non-spousal carers. The largest single effect (training the person with dementia) rests on 10 observations and the authors call it promising rather than definitive. |
Carer anxiety and depression | meta-analysis | not stated | "Interventions generally showed a significant reduction in anxiety and depression with varied effects on SWB [subjective well-being]" across 175 studies and 342 intervention treatments |
Dementia and Geriatric Cognitive Disorders
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 40550226 |
| Carer psychosocial / skills intervention Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Benefit
whyDigital psychological interventions reduced caregiver burden and improved self-efficacy and quality of life; the effect on depressive symptoms was not statistically significant (P = .06). |
Caregiver burden (primary); depression, self-efficacy and quality of life | meta-analysis | 750 | digital psychological interventions significantly reduced caregiver burden [Standardized mean difference (SMD) = -0.21, 95% CI: -0.35 to -0.07; P = .003] and improved self-efficacy (SMD = 0.38, 95% CI: 0.15 to 0.61, P = .001) and quality of life (SMD = 0.59, 95% CI: 0.27 to 0.91, P < .001). But digital psychological interventions have no statistically significant in alleviating depressive symptoms (P = .06) |
Age and ageing
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41505195 |
| Carer psychosocial / skills intervention Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Mixed
whyPeer support reduced distress to behavioural symptoms and increased social support and quality of life immediately after the intervention, but had no effect on depression/anxiety, loneliness, burden or competence, and no outcome was sustained at follow-up. |
Caregiver distress, social support, health-related quality of life, depression/anxiety, loneliness, burden and competence after peer support | meta-analysis | 1,680 | Peer support interventions significantly reduced caregiver distress to behavioral symptoms (standardized mean difference [SMD], -0.28; 95% confidence interval [CI], -0.55 to -0.02; p = 0.03), increased social support (SMD, 0.37; 95% CI, 0.06 to 0.67; p = 0.02), and HRQoL (SMD, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.07 to 1.46; p = 0.03) postintervention. However, no significant effects were observed on depression/anxiety, loneliness, caregiving burden, and caregiving competence/knowledge postintervention. None of the outcomes showed sustained effects at follow up |
Archives of gerontology and geriatrics
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41690252 |
| Cognitive screening instrument accuracy Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Benefit
whyDirection is for the test's accuracy against the reference standard; an accuracy result, not a health outcome. Pooled sensitivity 76% and specificity 83% for dementia, with 73% / 84% in primary care; the authors call it a practical screening tool while noting high or unclear risk of bias in patient selection and timing. |
Pooled sensitivity and specificity of the Mini-Cog for dementia, MCI and cognitive impairment | meta-analysis | not stated | To detect dementia (six studies, n = 4772), the Mini-Cog showed 76% sensitivity and 83% specificity. To detect MCI (two studies, n = 270), it showed 84% sensitivity and 79% specificity. To detect CI (eight studies, n = 2152), it had 67% sensitivity and 83% specificity. In the primary care setting, to detect either MCI, dementia, or CI (eight studies, n = 5620), the Mini-Cog demonstrated 73% sensitivity and 84% specificity |
PLOS ONE
2024 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 38483857 |
| Palliative / advance care planning Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Mixed
whyAdvance care planning strongly increased DNR documentation (OR 14.12) but did not change whether residents died in the nursing home (OR 1.62, 95% CI 0.72-3.66). Evidence on other end-of-life outcomes was limited and inconsistent, and no study came from a non-Western setting. |
Do-not-resuscitate documentation; place of death | meta-analysis | not stated | DNR documentation OR 14.12 (95% CI 3.95-50.47); nursing home death OR 1.62 (95% CI 0.72-3.66, not significant) |
Journal of the American Medical Directors Association
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41198038 |
| Prognosis after dementia diagnosis (survival, nursing home admission) Care, carers and services | Treatment |
No direction reported
whyA prognosis meta-analysis: it pools time to death and to nursing home admission and compares no exposure. Women's shorter survival was attributable to later age at diagnosis. |
Median survival and time to nursing home admission after diagnosis | meta-analysis | 5,553,960 | Median survival from diagnosis appeared to be strongly dependent on age, ranging from 8.9 years at mean age 60 for women to 2.2 years at mean age 85 for men ... Median time to nursing home admission was 3.3 years (interquartile range 1.9 to 4.0). 13% of people were admitted in the first year after diagnosis, increasing to 57% at five years |
BMJ
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 39778977 |
| Sleep EEG brain age index (digital marker) Care, carers and services | Prevention |
Harm
whyDirection is for an older-than-chronological sleep EEG brain age: each 10-year increase in the index was associated with a 39% higher risk of incident dementia, consistent across sex and age groups. |
Incident dementia per 10-year increase in sleep-EEG brain age index | meta-analysis | 7,105 | each 10-year increase in BAI was associated with a 39% higher risk of incident dementia (hazard ratio [HR], 1.39 [95% CI, 1.21-1.59]; P < .001) after adjustment for covariates. These associations remained after additional adjustment for comorbidities and apnea-hypopnea index scores (HR, 1.31 [95% CI, 1.14-1.50]; P < .001) and apolipoprotein E ε4 (HR, 1.22 [95% CI, 1.02-1.45]; P = .03) |
JAMA network open
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41854616 |
| Dietary pattern (general) Diet and supplements | Prevention |
Benefit
whyDirection is for a healthier plant-based diet: higher overall and healthful plant-based diet scores were associated with lower dementia risk, while a higher unhealthful plant-based diet score was associated with higher risk (pooled HR 1.42). |
Incident dementia by plant-based diet index (overall, healthful and unhealthful) | meta-analysis | 207,981 | higher scores in PDI and hPDI were associated with lower risk of dementia (highest vs. lowest tertile: pooled HR for PDI = 0.70, 95% CI, 0.53-0.92, p for trend <0.001; pooled HR for hPDI = 0.71, 0.48-1.06, p for trend = 0.03) ... higher uPDI was associated with higher dementia risk (highest vs. lowest tertile: pooled HR = 1.42, 1.19-1.70, p for trend <0.001). In the meta-analysis, individuals in the highest hPDI tertile had 21% lower dementia risk, and those in the highest uPDI tertile had 24% higher risk |
The journal of prevention of Alzheimer's disease
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41564649 |
| Dietary pattern (general) Diet and supplements | Prevention |
Benefit
whyPooled observational studies only. |
Dementia and Alzheimer's disease | meta-analysis | 65,955 | Pooled OR 0.89 (95% CI 0.84-0.94) for dementia; cohort HR 0.84 (0.76-0.94); Alzheimer's OR 0.73 (0.62-0.85) |
Aging Clinical and Experimental Research
2024 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 38519775 |
| Dietary pattern (general) Diet and supplements | Prevention |
Benefit
whyObservational. Points the opposite way to the randomised MIND diet trial. |
Incident dementia | meta-analysis | 224,049 | HR 0.83 per 3-point MIND-score increment (95% CI 0.72-0.95); highest vs lowest tertile HR 0.83 (0.76-0.90) |
JAMA Psychiatry
2023 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 37133875 |
| Ginkgo biloba Diet and supplements | Treatment |
Mixed
whyIn dementia there may be small-to-moderate benefits at six months (low-certainty evidence, I2 88-96%); in MCI ginkgo probably has little or no effect (moderate certainty); in subjective cognitive complaints the effect is very uncertain. Adverse events were similar to placebo. |
Global clinical status, cognition and activities of daily living at 6 months in dementia and in MCI; adverse events | meta-analysis | 10,613 | Dementia Thirteen studies (3288 participants) compared ginkgo with placebo for dementia. At six months, low-certainty evidence suggests that people taking ginkgo may have better global clinical status on a six-point Likert scale (lower is better; MD -0.06, 95% CI -1.00 to -0.20; I² = 88%; 5 studies, 1359 participants), better cognition measured by decreases on a short cognitive performance test (Syndrom-Kurztest; MD -1.86, 95% CI -3.48 to -0.24; I² = 96%; 9 studies, 2801 participants) ... Mild cognitive impairment ... moderate-certainty evidence suggests that ginkgo probably has little to no effect on global clinical status measured on the Clinical Dementia Rating Scale (MD -0.03, 95% CI -0.06 to 0.01; 3 studies, 631 participants; I² = 0%) |
The Cochrane database of systematic reviews
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41641880 |
| MIND diet Diet and supplements | Prevention |
Benefit
whyObservational. Points the opposite way to the randomised MIND diet trial. |
Incident dementia | meta-analysis | 224,049 | HR 0.83 per 3-point MIND-score increment (95% CI 0.72-0.95); highest vs lowest tertile HR 0.83 (0.76-0.90) |
JAMA Psychiatry
2023 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 37133875 |
| Mediterranean diet Diet and supplements | Prevention |
Benefit
whyPooled observational studies only. |
Dementia and Alzheimer's disease | meta-analysis | 65,955 | Pooled OR 0.89 (95% CI 0.84-0.94) for dementia; cohort HR 0.84 (0.76-0.94); Alzheimer's OR 0.73 (0.62-0.85) |
Aging Clinical and Experimental Research
2024 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 38519775 |
| Omega-3 / fish and fish oil Diet and supplements | Prevention |
Benefit
whyDietary intake and blood levels, pooled from observational cohorts. The much larger supplement estimate (HR 0.36) comes from one cohort's self-selected supplement users, not from a trial. |
All-cause dementia or cognitive decline | meta-analysis | 103,651 | Dietary DHA intake RR 0.82 for dementia or cognitive decline; ADNI supplement users HR 0.36 (95% CI 0.18-0.72) for Alzheimer's |
American Journal of Clinical Nutrition
2023 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 37028557 |
| Ultra-processed food Diet and supplements | Prevention |
Harm
whyHeterogeneity was extreme (I-squared 97%), so the pooled figure hides large differences between the 10 studies. |
Dementia | meta-analysis | 867,316 | Pooled RR 1.44 (95% CI 1.09-1.90) for high vs low ultra-processed food intake |
Journal of Neurology
2024 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 37831127 |
| Air pollution Environment | Prevention |
Harm
whyHeterogeneity was high (I-squared 95%). Reaches a firmer conclusion than the earlier BMJ meta-analysis of largely the same literature. |
Incident dementia | meta-analysis | 24,030,527 | PM2.5 HR 1.08 per 5 ug/m3 (95% CI 1.02-1.14); NO2 HR 1.03 per 10 ug/m3 (1.01-1.05) |
Lancet Planetary Health
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 40716448 |
| Air pollution Environment | Prevention |
Mixed
whyThe overall PM2.5 estimate includes no effect (HR 1.04, 95% CI 0.99-1.09). Only the studies that actively assessed everyone for dementia showed a clear effect (HR 1.42, 95% CI 1.00-2.02). Most studies were at high risk of bias. |
Clinically diagnosed dementia | meta-analysis | not stated | PM2.5 HR 1.04 per 2 ug/m3 (95% CI 0.99-1.09) overall; 1.42 (1.00-2.02) with active case ascertainment |
BMJ
2023 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 37019461 |
| Physical activity (general / dose) Exercise and activity | Prevention |
Mixed
whyHigh overall and leisure-time activity were associated with lower dementia risk, but occupational and commuting activity were associated with higher risk. Certainty of evidence was very low to low. |
All-cause dementia, Alzheimer's disease and vascular dementia by physical activity domain | meta-analysis | 4,227,297 | high physical activity levels were associated with reduced risks of all-cause dementia (n=146 effect sizes; RR 0·80 [95% CI 0·75-0·86]; I2=97·4%), Alzheimer's disease (n=59; 0·79 [0·70-0·90]; I2=91·3%), and vascular dementia (n=21; 0·71 [0·58-0·87]; I2=77·5%); however, associations varied by domain. Leisure-time (k=20 studies; n=33 effect sizes; RR 0·76 [95% CI 0·65-0·88]; I2=96·6%) and household (k=1; 0·85 [0·74-0·98]) physical activity were associated with a reduced risk of all-cause dementia. By contrast, occupational (k=5; 1·20 [1·01-1·42]; I2=85·6%) and commuting (k=2; 1·10 [1·03-1·18]; I2=0·0%) physical activity were associated with an increased risk |
The Lancet. Public health
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 42612650 |
| Physical activity (general / dose) Exercise and activity | Prevention |
Benefit
whyThe authors call the association weak (RR 0.97), and it was absent beyond 10 years of follow-up. |
Cognitive impairment or decline | meta-analysis | 341,471 | Pooled RR 0.97 (95% CI 0.97-0.99) for cognitive impairment/decline; no association beyond 10 years of follow-up |
JAMA Network Open
2024 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 38300618 |
| Physical activity (general / dose) Exercise and activity | Prevention |
Benefit
whyPooled across 29 cohorts. The association weakened to HR 0.85 after maximal confounder adjustment and was not significant for low-intensity activity. |
Incident Alzheimer's disease | meta-analysis | 2,068,519 | Pooled HR 0.72 (95% CI 0.65-0.80) overall; HR 0.85 (95% CI 0.79-0.91) after maximal confounder adjustment; high-intensity activity HR 0.56 (95% CI 0.45-0.68); moderate-intensity HR 0.85 (95% CI 0.80-0.93); low-intensity HR 0.94 (95% CI 0.77-1.15, not significant) |
Ageing Research Reviews
2023 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 37979700 |
| Physical activity (general / dose) Exercise and activity | Prevention |
Benefit
whyThe authors state the association held in longer follow-ups, which is their answer to the reverse-causation objection raised by the Whitehall II cohort. |
Incident all-cause dementia and Alzheimer's disease | meta-analysis | 257,983 | Pooled RR 0.80 (95% CI 0.77-0.84) for all-cause dementia |
British Journal of Sports Medicine
2022 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 35301183 |
| Physical activity (general / dose) Exercise and activity | Treatment |
Benefit
whyPools 27 small trials in people who already have dementia, and reports a much larger effect (SMD 0.69) than the single largest such trial, DAPA, which found none. |
Cognitive function | meta-analysis | 2,242 | SMD 0.691 (95% CrI 0.373-1.039) at 650 MET-min/week; aerobic SMD 0.909 (0.495-1.362) at 660 MET-min/week |
BMC Geriatrics
2024 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 38824515 |
| Resistance training Exercise and activity | Prevention |
Benefit
whySeven small trials; working memory did not improve (P=0.14). |
General cognitive function and executive function | meta-analysis | not stated | General cognition SMD 0.53 (P=0.04); executive function SMD 0.50 (P=0.0003) |
International Journal of Sports Medicine
2020 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 32599643 |
| Polygenic risk / GWAS loci Genes (not modifiable) | Prevention |
Harm
whyDirection is for a high polygenic score (excluding APOE): people in the top decile had a twofold risk of Braak stage >4 tangles and of moderate-to-severe amyloid plaque pathology at death. 91 loci identified, 16 new; 18 further loci await validation. |
Genome-wide risk loci and a polygenic score's association with tau and amyloid pathology at death | meta-analysis | 978,514 | We identified 91 genetic loci associated with ADRD risk, of which 16 are new and 56 are specifically detected in clinically diagnosed AD cases ... Individuals in the tenth decile of the score exhibited a twofold increased risk of presenting with Braak neurofibrillary tangles stage of >4 and moderate-to-severe neuritic amyloid plaque pathology at death compared to individuals in the median score group |
Nature Genetics
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 42237039 |
| Polygenic risk / GWAS loci Genes (not modifiable) | Prevention |
No direction reported
whyLocus-discovery genome-wide association study: it reports which genetic regions reached significance and no effect estimate for any exposure, so no direction is recorded. The study reports 14 new loci for clinically diagnosed AD and two from AD-by-proxy. |
Genome-wide significant loci for clinically diagnosed AD and AD-by-proxy | meta-analysis | 432,374 | not established — pubmed abstract lists the loci by name and reports no effect estimate. |
Alzheimer's & Dementia
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 39998322 |
| Polygenic risk / GWAS loci Genes (not modifiable) | Prevention |
Harm
whyDirection is for carrying a higher genetic risk score: risk of AD rose 1.6- to 1.9-fold from the lowest to the highest decile, over and above age and APOE4. The main output is 75 risk loci, 42 new. |
Genome-wide risk loci and a genetic risk score for future AD/dementia | meta-analysis | 788,989 | We found 75 risk loci, of which 42 were new at the time of analysis ... The improvement in prediction led to a 1.6- to 1.9-fold increase in AD risk from the lowest to the highest decile, in addition to effects of age and the APOE ε4 allele |
Nature Genetics
2022 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 35379992 |
| Hearing loss / hearing aids Hearing and vision | Prevention |
Harm
whyDirection is for having the impairment. Dual sensory impairment carried the highest risk (HR 1.63 for all-cause dementia, 2.55 for Alzheimer's). |
All-cause and cause-specific dementia | meta-analysis | 937,908 | Hearing impairment: pooled HR 1.30 (95% CI 1.21-1.40); dual sensory impairment HR 1.63 (1.14-2.12) for all-cause dementia |
BMC Medicine
2024 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 39506811 |
| Hearing loss / hearing aids Hearing and vision | Prevention |
Benefit
whyMostly observational (25 of 31 studies), so people who take up hearing aids may differ from those who do not. The authors call for randomised trials — and ACHIEVE, the trial that followed, was null overall. |
Long-term cognitive decline | meta-analysis | 137,484 | HR 0.81 (95% CI 0.76-0.87) for cognitive decline with hearing aid use |
JAMA Neurology
2023 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 36469314 |
| Vision impairment / cataract surgery Hearing and vision | Prevention |
Benefit
whyAgainst untreated cataract. People who had surgery ended up at about the same risk as controls who never had cataracts (HR 0.84, 95% CI 0.66-1.06), and there was no short-term gain in those already cognitively impaired. |
Long-term cognitive decline / dementia | meta-analysis | 558,276 | HR 0.75 (95% CI 0.72-0.78) for cognitive decline with surgery |
Ophthalmology
2024 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 38336283 |
| Vision impairment / cataract surgery Hearing and vision | Prevention |
Harm
whyDirection is for having a vision impairment. Single vision impairment raised all-cause dementia risk but not Alzheimer's specifically; having both hearing and vision impairment carried the highest risk. |
All-cause and cause-specific dementia | meta-analysis | 937,908 | UK Biobank cohort: vision impairment and all-cause dementia HR 1.55 (95% CI 1.18-2.04) and non-Alzheimer non-vascular dementia HR 1.51 (1.07-2.13). Meta-analysis of 31 cohorts: single vision impairment and all-cause dementia HR 1.43 (95% CI 1.16-1.71), not significant for Alzheimer's. Mendelian randomisation: vision impairment and non-AD non-VD OR 1.62 (95% CI 1.13-2.33). Dual sensory impairment: all-cause dementia HR 1.63 (1.14-2.12) |
BMC Medicine
2024 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 39506811 |
| Type 2 diabetes Heart and metabolic health | Prevention | Harm | Incident all-cause, vascular and non-vascular dementia | meta-analysis | 2,310,330 | All-cause dementia: women RR 1.62 (95% CI 1.45-1.80), men RR 1.58 (95% CI 1.38-1.81); vascular dementia: women RR 2.34 (95% CI 1.86-2.94), men RR 1.73 (95% CI 1.61-1.85); non-vascular dementia: women RR 1.53 (95% CI 1.35-1.73), men RR 1.49 (95% CI 1.31-1.69) |
Diabetes Care
2016 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 26681727 |
| Other vaccination (influenza, pneumococcal, general) Infection and vaccination | Prevention |
Benefit
whyPooled observational studies, so open to the confounding the natural-experiment studies were designed to avoid. |
Any dementia | meta-analysis | 104,031,186 | Influenza vaccination RR 0.87 (95% CI 0.77-0.99) for any dementia; pneumococcal vaccination RR 0.64 (95% CI 0.47-0.87) for Alzheimer's disease |
Age and Ageing
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41269248 |
| Anti-amyloid antibody Medicines | Treatment |
Mixed
whyA statistically detectable but very small cognitive effect (ADAS-Cog SMD -0.11) alongside 107 more cases of ARIA-E per 1,000. The reviewers' own conclusion is that removing amyloid does not seem to produce clinically meaningful effects — the sharpest disagreement in this table with how the individual trials were reported. |
ADAS-Cog and CDR-SB at 18 months; ARIA | meta-analysis | 20,342 | ADAS-Cog SMD -0.11 (95% CI -0.16 to -0.06); ARIA-E absolute risk difference +107 per 1,000 |
Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41985900 |
| Anti-amyloid antibody Medicines | Treatment |
Mixed
whyBenefits were statistically present but every one fell below the minimum clinically important difference, against a number needed to harm of 9 for ARIA-oedema. Agrees with the Cochrane review and not with the trial reports. |
Cognitive and functional scales against the MCID; ARIA | meta-analysis | 23,202 | CDR-SB mean difference -0.18 (95% CI -0.34 to -0.03), below the MCID; ARIA-oedema NNH 9 |
Annals of Family Medicine
2024 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 38253509 |
| Antihypertensives / BP lowering Medicines | Prevention |
Mixed
whyAntihypertensive treatment improved cognitive scores by a small amount (SMD 0.06, moderate certainty) but the reduction in dementia incidence was not statistically significant (OR 0.89, low certainty). The drug-class rankings rest on one trial per class and are described as highly uncertain. |
Cognitive function scores and incident dementia in hypertensive older adults (four RCTs) | meta-analysis | 16,823 | Antihypertensive treatment significantly improved cognitive function scores (SMD, 0.06; 95% CI, 0.03-0.09; P < .001, GRADE moderate certainty) and showed a nonsignificant trend toward reduced dementia incidence (OR, 0.89; 95% CI, 0.76-1.05; P = .172, GRADE low certainty) |
Journal of the American Medical Directors Association
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41962914 |
| Antihypertensives / BP lowering Medicines | Prevention |
Mixed
whyAntihypertensive use tracked lower Alzheimer's risk but not lower non-Alzheimer dementia risk, where treated and untreated hypertension looked the same. A single baseline blood pressure reading predicted neither. |
Alzheimer's and non-Alzheimer dementia | meta-analysis | 31,250 | Untreated vs treated hypertension: Alzheimer's dementia HR 1.42 (95% CI 1.08-1.87) |
Neurology
2024 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 39141884 |
| Antihypertensives / BP lowering Medicines | Prevention |
Benefit
whyIndividual participant data from five double-blind placebo-controlled trials, which is the strongest design in this table for this exposure. |
Incident dementia over a median 4.3 years | meta-analysis | 28,008 | Adjusted OR 0.87 (95% CI 0.75-0.99) for incident dementia |
European Heart Journal
2022 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 36282295 |
| Antihypertensives / BP lowering Medicines | Prevention |
Benefit
whyConsistent across 14 trials (I-squared 0%) but small in absolute terms: 0.39 percentage points over about 4 years. |
Incident dementia or cognitive impairment | meta-analysis | 96,158 | OR 0.93 (95% CI 0.88-0.98); absolute risk reduction 0.39% over 4.1 years |
JAMA
2020 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 32427305 |
| Hormone therapy Medicines | Prevention | No effect | MCI or dementia | meta-analysis | 1,016,055 | No evidence that MHT use either increases or decreases the risk of dementia in post-menopausal women (10 studies, 1,016,055 participants; certainty of evidence moderate to very low) |
The Lancet Healthy Longevity
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41448220 |
| Metformin / antidiabetic Medicines | Prevention |
Benefit
whyHeterogeneity was near-total (I-squared 98.9%) and the estimate went to null in people newly diagnosed with diabetes (HR 1.01), which is where prevalent-user bias would be smallest. |
Incident dementia | meta-analysis | 3,463,100 | HR 0.76 (95% CI 0.65-0.91) vs non-users overall; HR 1.01 (0.81-1.27) in newly diagnosed diabetes |
Diabetes, Obesity and Metabolism
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 39780315 |
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