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One row per finding: what was tested, which way the result went, and how the study was built. The answer by area, and where the studies disagree, are on the main page.
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Showing 192 of 382 rows. One row per study per exposure: a study that tested two different things appears twice, once for each.
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| Exposure | Question | Direction | Outcome measured | Design | People | Effect size, as the source reported it | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amyloid PET Centiloid positivity threshold Care, carers and services | Treatment |
No direction reported
whyA threshold-derivation meta-analysis: it converges on 18 Centiloids (data-driven) and 27 Centiloids (visual reads) and flags 11-26 as a range to read with caution. It compares no exposure, so no direction exists to record. |
Centiloid cutoff for amyloid PET positivity (data-driven and by visual-read correspondence) | meta-analysis | 49,227 | The data-driven GMM approach identified a bimodal distribution in 51 studies (n = 48 786), resulting in a single cutoff for positivity of 18 Centiloids (95% CI,16-19; I2 = 97%). The double-cutoff approach revealed high confidence for interpreting scans as negative when Centiloid values were lower than 11 (95% CI, 9-13; I2 = 95%) and interpreting scans as positive if Centiloid values were higher than 26 (95% CI, 24-28; I2 = 95%) ... Centiloids were highly predictive of visual positivity (Cohen κ, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.83-0.89; I2 = 96%) with a cutoff of 27 Centiloids (95% CI, 24-30; I2 = 80%) |
JAMA
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 42441390 |
| Amyloid and tau PET (appropriate use criteria) Care, carers and services | Treatment |
No direction reported
whyAppropriate use criteria rated by consensus: for amyloid PET seven of 17 scenarios were rated appropriate, two uncertain and eight rarely appropriate; for tau PET five, six and six. No effect estimate is reported. |
None measured (appropriate use criteria) | systematic review | not stated | not established — consensus criteria; the abstract reports scenario ratings, not an effect estimate. |
Alzheimer's & Dementia
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 39776249 |
| Blood biomarker test (p-tau217 / amyloid ratio) Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Benefit
whyDirection is for the test's accuracy against the reference standard; an accuracy result, not a health outcome. All four assays (Lumipulse, Johnson & Johnson, ALZpath, NULISA) gave statistically equivalent AUCs of 0.84-0.90 for amyloid positivity, with cross-platform correlations of 0.40-0.86. |
Cross-assay agreement and AUC for amyloid PET positivity across four p-tau217 immunoassays | cross-sectional study | 344 | All four p-tau217 assays exhibited moderate to strong cross-platform correlations (Spearman correlations of 0.40–0.86), and statistically equivalent AUCs (of 0.84–0.90) for determining Aβ positivity |
Alzheimer's Research & Therapy
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41652516 |
| Blood biomarker test (p-tau217 / amyloid ratio) Care, carers and services | Treatment |
No direction reported
whyAn editorial reviewing the FDA clearance of the Lumipulse plasma ratio test. It relays performance figures from the FDA summary and other studies and reports no data of its own. |
None measured (editorial on the FDA clearance) | None | not stated | FDA approval was based on clinical evidence showing strong agreement between plasma test results and confirmation by PET or CSF testing, with over 90% consistency in those with positive findings. In contrast, these reference methods confirmed 97.3% of those with negative plasma results to be amyloid negative |
Annals of Medicine and Surgery
2026 ⚠ Editorial — not peer-reviewed research PMID 41675863 |
| Blood biomarker test (p-tau217 / amyloid ratio) Care, carers and services | Treatment |
No effect
whyDirection is for the blood test's ability to detect treatment-related amyloid clearance on PET: AUC 0.61, which the authors call suboptimal and not currently usable for that purpose. It says nothing about the drug's effect. |
Detection of PET-confirmed amyloid clearance after donanemab (AUC at 52 weeks) | phase 3 trial | 830 | Plasma p-tau217 showed suboptimal performance in detecting TRAC by PET in donanemab-treated participants (N = 830), with an area under the ROC curve of 0.61 at 52 weeks |
Alzheimer's & Dementia
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 42565262 |
| Blood biomarker test (p-tau217 / amyloid ratio) Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Benefit
whyDirection is for the test's accuracy against the reference standard; an accuracy result, not a health outcome. Among p-tau217-positive patients, a positive eMTBR-tau243 identified clinically established Alzheimer's disease with 81% accuracy and predicted faster cognitive decline and tau accumulation. |
Classification of established Alzheimer's disease by plasma eMTBR-tau243 among %p-tau217-positive patients | cohort study | 572 | 194 (55%) of 350 %p-tau217-positive patients were also positive for eMTBR-tau243, with an accuracy of 81% (95% CI 76-84), PPV 84% (95% CI 78-88), negative predictive value (NPV) 77% (95% CI 68-82), and sensitivity 82% (95% CI 76-87) for established Alzheimer's disease, in cross-sectional analyses |
The Lancet. Neurology
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41864233 |
| Blood biomarker test (p-tau217 / amyloid ratio) Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Benefit
whyDirection is for the test's accuracy against the reference standard; an accuracy result, not a health outcome. Subgroup-specific optimal cutoffs and a double-cutoff strategy both improved accuracy over the standard single cutoff, most markedly in chronic kidney disease (0.65 to 0.83) and anaemia. |
Accuracy of plasma p-tau217 for amyloid PET positivity under standard, subgroup-optimal and double cutoffs in people with kidney disease, abnormal BMI or anaemia | cross-sectional study | 2,571 | In the UGOT cohort, the optimal cutoff improved diagnostic accuracy compared with the standard single cutoff, particularly in CKD and anemia (CKD: from 0.65; 95% CI, 0.57-0.72; to 0.83; 95% CI, 0.76-0.89; anemia: from 0.80; 95% CI, 0.76-0.84; to 0.86; 95% CI, 0.82-0.90), with consistent findings in the Roche cohort |
JAMA neurology
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41627837 |
| Blood biomarker test (p-tau217 / amyloid ratio) Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Mixed
whyThe review's own summary points two ways: CSF biomarker tests were mostly cost-effective against cognitive assessment or imaging, while blood biomarker tests showed mixed results; every included study was model-based. |
Cost-effectiveness of CSF and blood biomarker testing for AD diagnosis across nine model-based economic evaluations | systematic review | not stated | not established — systematic review without meta-analysis; the abstract reports no pooled estimate. |
European Journal of Health Economics
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41385058 |
| Blood biomarker test (p-tau217 / amyloid ratio) Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Mixed
whyThe findings point two ways: the p-tau217/Aβ42 ratio tracked AD-related factors (MCI, AD dementia, future progression, age, APOE ε4) more closely than either marker alone and had few intermediate results, but it was also related to kidney function, diabetes and hearing loss, and medical morbidities were most frequent among intermediate classifications. |
Associations of plasma p-tau217, Aβ42/40 and p-tau217/Aβ42 with AD-related factors and with medical comorbidities (kidney function, diabetes, hearing loss) in a health-system biobank | cross-sectional study | 617 | not established — pubmed abstract reports no numeric effect size. |
Annals of neurology
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41447112 |
| Blood biomarker test (p-tau217 / amyloid ratio) Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Benefit
whyDirection is for the test's accuracy against the reference standard; an accuracy result, not a health outcome. The prespecified APS2 cut point gave 91% accuracy, 90% sensitivity and 92% specificity against amyloid PET. |
Agreement with amyloid PET in an independent cohort (ADNI) | cross-sectional study | 191 | Concordance with amyloid PET was high (AUC-ROC 0.95 (95% CI): 0.93-0.98); 54% of participants had a positive APS2. The previously validated APS2 cut point yielded an overall accuracy of 91% (95% CI: 86-94%), sensitivity 90% (95% CI: 83-94%) and specificity 92% (95% CI: 84-96%) |
npj Dementia
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 40917102 |
| Blood biomarker test (p-tau217 / amyloid ratio) Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Benefit
whyDirection is for the test's accuracy against the reference standard; an accuracy result, not a health outcome. Plasma p-tau217 detected amyloid PET positivity with 82% sensitivity and 86% specificity, comparable to CSF p-tau217; less sensitive for tau PET. |
Sensitivity and specificity for amyloid and tau PET positivity (pooled) | meta-analysis | not stated | Plasma p-tau217 showed 82% sensitivity for detecting amyloid and 83% for tau, with 86% and 83% specificity, respectively. CSF p-tau217 had 79% sensitivity for amyloid and 91% for tau, with 91% and 84% specificity |
Alzheimer's & Dementia
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 39711334 |
| Blood biomarker test (p-tau217 / amyloid ratio) Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Benefit
whyDirection is for the test's accuracy against the reference standard; an accuracy result, not a health outcome. AUC 0.93-0.96; accuracy 89-91% in secondary care and 85% in primary care, lower (83%) at age 80 or older; a two-cutoff approach raised accuracy to 92-94% at the cost of 12-17% intermediate results. |
Diagnostic accuracy for Alzheimer pathology (CSF-defined) in secondary and primary care | cross-sectional study | 1,767 | Plasma p-tau217 detected AD pathology with areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves of 0.93-0.96. In secondary care, the accuracies were 89-91%, the positive predictive values 89-95% and the negative predictive values 77-90%. In primary care, the accuracy was 85%, the positive predictive values 82% and the negative predictive values 88%. Accuracy was lower in participants aged ≥80 years (83%) |
Nature Medicine
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 40205199 |
| Blood biomarker test (p-tau217 / amyloid ratio) Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Benefit
whyDirection is for the test's accuracy against the reference standard; an accuracy result, not a health outcome. Plasma p-tau217 was the best-performing marker (88.1% sensitivity, 88.7% specificity, AUROC 91.1%, moderate certainty), ahead of p-tau181 and p-tau231; about 90% of studies were at high risk of bias. |
Pooled sensitivity, specificity and AUROC for biologically defined Alzheimer's disease | meta-analysis | 29,625 | Plasma p-tau217 was the highest-performing biomarker for identifying biologically defined Alzheimer's disease, with pooled sensitivity of 88·1% (95% CI 86·7-89·5, moderate certainty of evidence), specificity of 88·7% (87·4-89·9, moderate certainty of evidence), area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 91·1% (88·9-92·4, moderate certainty of evidence), and diagnostic odds ratio of 50·7 (40·6-63·4). p-tau181 pooled sensitivity was 80·5% (78·4-82·4, low certainty of evidence), specificity was 76·4% (74·1-78·6, low certainty of evidence), AUROC was 81·5% (80·2-82·9, low certainty of evidence) |
The Lancet Neurology
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 40818474 |
| Blood biomarker test (p-tau217 / amyloid ratio) Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Benefit
whyDirection is for the test's accuracy against the reference standard; an accuracy result, not a health outcome. The Pitt-p-tau217 assay separated PSEN1 carriers from controls (AUC 0.94) and amyloid PET-positive from -negative cognitively normal adults (AUC up to 0.84), equivalent to the ALZpath assay. |
Classification accuracy of a new p-tau217 assay against PSEN1 carrier status and amyloid PET | cross-sectional study | 363 | Pitt-p-tau217 differentiated neuropathologically confirmed PSEN1 mutation carriers from controls with area under the curve (AUC) = 0.94, and amyloid beta (Aβ) positron emission tomography (PET)-positive from Aβ PET-negative cognitively normal older adults with AUC up to 0.84, equivalent to ALZpath-p-tau217 results. Both Pitt-p-tau217 and ALZpath-p-tau217 were slightly elevated in tau PET-positive versus tau PET-negative participants. Between-assay correlations were up to 0.93 |
Alzheimer's & Dementia
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 40665482 |
| Blood biomarker test (p-tau217 / amyloid ratio) Care, carers and services | Treatment |
No direction reported
whyA clinical practice guideline. It sets performance thresholds for blood tests (at least 90% sensitivity and 75% specificity for triage; at least 90% for both to substitute for amyloid PET or CSF) and reports no effect estimate of its own. |
None measured (clinical practice guideline) | systematic review | not stated | not established — guideline; recommendations rather than an effect estimate. |
Alzheimer's & Dementia
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 40729527 |
| Blood biomarker test (p-tau217 / amyloid ratio) Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Mixed
whyDirection is for the test's accuracy against the reference standard; an accuracy result, not a health outcome. Performance varied widely across tests, from 49.3% to 91.4% pooled sensitivity and 61.5% to 96.7% pooled specificity at a single cut-point, with most studies at high risk of bias. |
Pooled sensitivity and specificity of 31 blood-based biomarker tests for Alzheimer pathology in cognitively impaired people | meta-analysis | not stated | the pooled sensitivity ranged from 49.3% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 41.2-57.4) to 91.4% (95% CI: 86.6-94.6), and the pooled specificity ranged from 61.5% (95% CI: 45.6-75.3) to 96.7% (95% CI: 87.8-99.2) |
Alzheimer's & Dementia
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41193403 |
| Blood biomarker test (p-tau217 / amyloid ratio) Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Benefit
whyDirection is for the test's accuracy against the reference standard; an accuracy result, not a health outcome. All p-tau217 tests detected abnormal amyloid PET (AUC 0.91-0.96) and tau PET (0.94-0.97); the mass-spectrometry %p-tau217 ratio was best (accuracy 0.93 versus 0.83-0.88 for immunoassays) and is proposed as a stand-alone confirmatory test, with immunoassays better suited to triage. |
Accuracy of five plasma p-tau217 tests for amyloid PET and tau PET status, benchmarked against CSF tests | cohort study | 998 | All plasma p-tau217 tests exhibited a high ability to detect abnormal Aβ-PET [area under the curve (AUC) range: 0.91-0.96] and tau-PET (AUC range: 0.94-0.97) ... For detecting Aβ-PET status, %p-tau217WashU had an accuracy of 0.93 (immunoassays: 0.83-0.88), sensitivity of 0.91 (immunoassays: 0.84-0.87) and a specificity of 0.94 (immunoassays: 0.85-0.89) |
Brain
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 39468767 |
| Blood biomarker test (p-tau217 / amyloid ratio) Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Benefit
whyDirection is for the test's accuracy against the reference standard; an accuracy result, not a health outcome. The Lumipulse plasma p-tau217/Aβ42 ratio reached AUC 0.963-0.966 for amyloid PET and 0.947-0.974 for tau PET, equivalent to CSF tests and better than plasma p-tau217 alone, with fewer intermediate results. |
Diagnostic accuracy for abnormal amyloid PET and tau PET in a clinic and a community cohort | cross-sectional study | 512 | Plasma p-tau217/Aβ42 exhibited high performance for abnormal statuses of Aβ PET (area under the curve [AUC]: 0.963 to 0.966) and tau PET (AUC: 0.947 to 0.974) ... The p-tau217/Aβ42 ratio had a lower intermediate percentage than p-tau217 alone in both clinic (10.6% vs 13.0%) and community (16.5% vs 31.4%) cohorts |
Alzheimer's & Dementia
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 40156286 |
| Blood biomarker test (p-tau217 / amyloid ratio) Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Benefit
whyDirection is for the test's accuracy against the reference standard; an accuracy result, not a health outcome. Plasma p-tau217/Aβ42 had the highest accuracy (0.88 in Black and 0.91 in White participants) and fewest intermediate results, with no difference in classification by race. |
Accuracy for amyloid PET positivity in people who self-identify as Black or White | cross-sectional study | 1,135 | In the test set, plasma p-tau217/Aβ42 had the highest accuracy (pBlack: 0.88, pWhite: 0.91) and lowest proportion of intermediate classifications (≤0.16), with no classification difference by race (odds ratio [OR] = 1.45, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.66-2.95, p = 0.33) |
Alzheimer's & Dementia
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 40801297 |
| Blood biomarker test (p-tau217 / amyloid ratio) Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Harm
whyDirection is for chronic kidney disease as a source of false signal: at eGFR 45 versus 60, p-tau217 was 31-55% higher in amyloid-negative people on two immunoassays, a rise largely removed by using the %p-tau217 ratio. A test-validity result, not a health outcome. |
Plasma p-tau217 concentration by kidney function (eGFR) in amyloid-negative and amyloid-positive people | cross-sectional study | 202 | For an eGFR of 45 vs 60 in the A- cohort, the calculated percentage changes were +31%, +55%, and +19%, for ALZpath p-tau217, C2N p-tau217, and C2N %p-tau217, respectively. For the A+ cohort, the corresponding calculated percentage changes were +17%, +15%, and -5%, respectively |
Neurology
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 39823562 |
| Blood biomarker test (p-tau217 / amyloid ratio) Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Benefit
whyDirection is for the test's accuracy against the reference standard; an accuracy result, not a health outcome. Plasma p-tau217 identified symptomatic AD with 95% sensitivity and 82% specificity (86% with the Aβ42 ratio) and tracked CSF biomarkers closely (AUC 0.94-0.96); reduced kidney function raised levels in patients without AD. |
Sensitivity and specificity for symptomatic AD, and agreement with CSF biomarkers, in a tertiary outpatient memory clinic | cross-sectional study | 509 | Plasma p-tau217 distinguished patients with diagnoses of symptomatic AD with 95% sensitivity and 82% specificity. Integration of Aβ42 measurements (p-tau217/Aβ42) incrementally improved specificity (86%). Plasma p-tau217 and p-tau217/Aβ42 concentrations closely associated with established CSF biomarkers of AD (area under the curve [AUC]: 0.94 and 0.96, respectively) |
Alzheimer's & Dementia
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 40476540 |
| Blood biomarker test (p-tau217 / amyloid ratio) Care, carers and services | Treatment |
No direction reported
whyA price-threshold model: it estimates the test price at which diagnostic cost per true-positive case equals standard care ($290-$1,950 depending on use), and compares no actual price against it, so there is no direction to record. |
Value-based price of a blood test for AD pathology as a triage or confirmatory test in primary and specialty care, and projected reduction in PET/CSF use | modelling study | not stated | If used in primary care, the value-based price would be $290 for a triage and $1150 for a confirmatory test, respectively, as use of PET or CSF testing would decline by 47 % and 86 %, respectively. If used in specialty care, i.e., after confirmation of early-stage cognitive impairment, the overall number of blood tests would decline. Consequently, the value-based price would increase to $450 for a triage test and $1950 for a confirmatory test |
Journal of Prevention of Alzheimer's Disease
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 40494736 |
| Blood biomarker test (p-tau217 / amyloid ratio) Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Benefit
whyDirection is for the test's accuracy against the reference standard; an accuracy result, not a health outcome. The APS2 blood test reached AUC 0.96-0.97 and 88-92% accuracy, and its 91% accuracy for clinical AD beat primary care physicians (61%) and dementia specialists (73%). |
Diagnostic accuracy for Alzheimer pathology (CSF-defined), and for clinical AD versus physicians' assessment | cross-sectional study | 1,213 | the AUC was 0.97 (95% CI, 0.95-0.99) when the APS2 was used, the PPV was 91% (95% CI, 87%-96%), and the NPV was 92% (95% CI, 87%-96%) [primary care, single batch]; Primary care physicians had a diagnostic accuracy of 61% (95% CI, 53%-69%) for identifying clinical AD after clinical examination, cognitive testing, and a computed tomographic scan vs 91% (95% CI, 86%-96%) using the APS2. Dementia specialists had a diagnostic accuracy of 73% (95% CI, 68%-79%) vs 91% (95% CI, 88%-95%) using the APS2 |
JAMA
2024 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 39068545 |
| Blood biomarker test (p-tau217 / amyloid ratio) Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Benefit
whyDirection is for the test's accuracy against the reference standard; an accuracy result, not a health outcome. APS2 gave AUC 0.94 and 88% agreement with amyloid PET, with similar performance by ethnicity, sex, age and APOE4 status. |
Agreement with amyloid PET (brain amyloidosis) | cross-sectional study | 583 | The AUC-ROC for the PrecivityAD2 test output, the Amyloid Probability Score 2, was 0.94, yielding 88% agreement with amyloid PET |
Alzheimer's & Dementia
2024 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 38491912 |
| Blood biomarker test (p-tau217 / amyloid ratio) Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Benefit
whyDirection is for the test's accuracy against the reference standard; an accuracy result, not a health outcome. The ALZpath plasma p-tau217 immunoassay reached AUC 0.92-0.96 for amyloid and 0.93-0.97 for tau across three cohorts, comparable with CSF, and a three-range cut-off cut confirmatory testing by about 80%. |
Accuracy for abnormal amyloid and tau pathology (PET or CSF) and longitudinal change | cohort study | 786 | High accuracy was observed in identifying elevated Aβ (area under the curve [AUC], 0.92-0.96; 95% CI, 0.89-0.99) and tau pathology (AUC, 0.93-0.97; 95% CI, 0.84-0.99) across all cohorts. These accuracies were comparable with CSF biomarkers in determining abnormal PET signal. The detection of abnormal Aβ pathology using a 3-range reference yielded reproducible results and reduced confirmatory testing by approximately 80% |
JAMA Neurology
2024 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 38252443 |
| Blood biomarker test (p-tau217 / amyloid ratio) Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Benefit
whyDirection is for the test's accuracy against the reference standard; an accuracy result, not a health outcome. Plasma p-tau217 identified amyloid positivity with AUC 0.94; a two-cut-point rule sent only 17% for CSF or PET (sensitivity 0.94, specificity 0.86), and among amyloid-positive people it identified high tau load (AUC 0.92), potentially avoiding 56.9% of tau-PET scans. |
Identification of amyloid positivity and of high tau-PET load (to select candidates for anti-amyloid antibodies) | cohort study | 912 | plasma p-tau217 was most strongly associated with Aβ positivity (test-set area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUC] = 0.94; 95% CI, 0.90-0.97) ... This procedure had an overall sensitivity of 0.94 (95% CI, 0.90-0.98) and a specificity of 0.86 (95% CI, 0.77-0.95) ... At a false-negative rate less than 10%, the use of plasma p-tau217 could avoid 56.9% of tau-PET scans needed to identify high tau PET among Aβ-positive participants |
JAMA Neurology
2024 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 38048096 |
| Blood biomarker test (p-tau217 / amyloid ratio) Care, carers and services | Treatment |
No direction reported
whyA workgroup recommendations document. It sets target sensitivity and specificity for blood biomarker tests (≥90% / ≥85% for triage in primary care; ~90% / ~90% as a confirmatory test) and reports no data of its own. |
None measured (performance recommendations) | None | not stated | not established — recommendations document; the abstract states target performance thresholds, not an effect estimate. |
Nature Reviews Neurology
2024 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 38866966 |
| Blood biomarker test (p-tau217 / amyloid ratio) Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Benefit
whyDirection is for the test's accuracy against the reference standard; an accuracy result, not a health outcome. A blood model of p-tau217, age and APOE ε4 (AUC 89.3% development, 94.3% validation) used to triage patients gave 88-92% overall accuracy while cutting confirmatory CSF tests by 61-86%. |
Accuracy for amyloid PET status and reduction in confirmatory CSF tests with a two-step plasma p-tau217 workflow | cohort study | 348 | Depending on whether lenient, moderate or stringent thresholds were used in step 1, the two-step workflow overall accuracy for detecting Aβ-PET status was 88.2%, 90.5% and 92.0%, respectively, while reducing the number of necessary CSF tests by 85.9%, 72.7% and 61.2%, respectively |
Nature Aging
2023 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 37653254 |
| Blood biomarkers (GFAP, NfL, p-tau181) for staging and prognosis Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Benefit
whyDirection is for disclosing the blood panel during multidisciplinary meetings: median diagnostic confidence rose from 80% to 90%, though the suspected etiology changed in only 5% of patients and the syndrome diagnosis in 1%. Against CSF/PET, high- and low-probability results identified 76% of amyloid positives and 85% of negatives. |
Change in clinician diagnostic confidence and in syndrome or etiological diagnosis after disclosure of a plasma biomarker panel (p-tau181, GFAP, NfL) | cohort study | 450 | Median (IQR) diagnostic confidence in the total cohort increased from 80% (70%-90%) to 90% (70%-90%) after BBM disclosure (P < .001), increasing in 207 patients (46%), unchanged in 175 patients (39%), and decreasing in 68 patients (15%). Following BBM disclosure, syndrome diagnoses were revised in 6 patients (1%) and primary etiology was revealed in 23 patients (5%) |
JAMA Network Open
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 42593792 |
| Blood biomarkers (GFAP, NfL, p-tau181) for staging and prognosis Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Mixed
whyThe results point different ways: diagnostic confidence rose 1.43 points, but diagnosis changed in only 17.2% and management in 27.7%, below the 30% threshold the investigators set as clinically significant; a non-elevated result reduced amyloid PET use, and patients with elevated results had higher anxiety at 2-3 months. |
Change in clinician diagnostic confidence, diagnosis and management after plasma p-tau181 testing in a memory clinic, and patient wellbeing (SUITABLE) | cohort study | 100 | Clinician diagnostic confidence averaged 1.43 points higher after p-tau181 testing (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.02 to 1.84, p < 0.0001). After testing, 27.7% (95% CI 18.9% to 36.4%, p = 0.31) of patients had a change in management and 17.2% of patients had a change in diagnosis - significantly lower than the 30% threshold (95% CI 9.5% to 24.9%, p = 0.004) |
Alzheimer's & Dementia: Translational Research & Clinical Interventions
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 42254757 |
| Blood biomarkers (GFAP, NfL, p-tau217) for staging and prognosis Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Harm
whyDirection is for microglial activation: amyloid was associated with astrocyte reactivity across cortical regions only when microglia were activated, and that microglia-dependent reactivity related to cognitive impairment through tau phosphorylation and aggregation. |
Astrocyte reactivity (plasma GFAP) in relation to amyloid PET and microglial activation PET, and downstream tau and cognitive impairment | cross-sectional study | 352 | not established — pubmed abstract reports no numeric effect size. |
Nature Neuroscience
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41198899 |
| Blood biomarkers (GFAP, NfL, p-tau217) for staging and prognosis Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Benefit
whyDirection is for the test's accuracy against the reference standard; an accuracy result, not a health outcome. The two-marker plasma model matched PET-based stages with a C index of 0.91 in both the derivation and validation cohorts, tracked clinical stage (C index 0.84-0.86) and aligned with autopsy ADNC (AUC 0.96), improving on %p-tau217 alone at the intermediate stage. |
Concordance of a plasma %p-tau217 plus eMTBR-tau243 staging model with amyloid/tau PET-based biological stages, clinical stage and autopsy-confirmed AD pathology | cohort study | 1,028 | A plasma-based model with %p-tau217 and eMTBR-tau243 was derived, which demonstrated high concordance with established PET-based stages (C index, 0.91; 95% CI, 0.90-0.92) and was associated with clinical stage within the AD continuum (C index, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.82-0.86). In the validation cohort, concordance with PET-based stages was high (C index, 0.91; 95% CI, 0.87-0.94), as was concordance with clinical stage (C index, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.82-0.89) ... In the neuropathology subsample, plasma staging was strongly aligned with autopsy-confirmed AD pathology using the Alzheimer Disease Neuropathologic Change scale (area under the curve, 0.96; 95% CI, 0.91-1.00) |
JAMA Neurology
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 42189519 |
| Blood biomarkers (GFAP, NfL, p-tau217) for staging and prognosis Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Benefit
whyDirection is for the test's accuracy against the reference standard; an accuracy result, not a health outcome. Plasma Aβ42/40, p-tau217, p-tau181 and NfL classified AD with AUC 83% and FTLD with 88%, consistent across countries, rising to 89% and 95% when combined with neuroimaging patterns and cognitive measures. |
Discrimination of AD and frontotemporal lobar degeneration from controls by plasma AT(N) biomarkers in a multinational Latin American cohort | cross-sectional study | 605 | Classification models achieved receiver operating characteristic areas under the curve (ROC AUCs) of 83% for AD and 88% for FTLD ... Biomarker alterations combined with disease-specific neuroimaging patterns and cognitive measures further improved accuracy (ROC AUCs of 89% for AD and 95% for FTLD) |
Nature Aging
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41688826 |
| Blood biomarkers (GFAP, NfL, p-tau217) for staging and prognosis Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Mixed
whyThe three markers pointed different ways: plasma p-tau217 distinguished amyloid/tau stages, GFAP tracked amyloid-driven tau progression, and NfL was only weakly linked to Alzheimer pathology and, in the authors' words, inadequate as a neuronal injury biomarker for AD. |
Discrimination of amyloid/tau stages, tau progression, hippocampal atrophy and cognitive decline | cohort study | 1,275 | not established — pubmed abstract results reports no numeric estimate. the library had recorded "p-tau217 auc 0.959", which does not appear in the abstract and is not… |
Alzheimer's & Dementia
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41376134 |
| Blood biomarkers (GFAP, NfL, p-tau217) for staging and prognosis Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Mixed
whyThe result points two ways: p-tau181 gave the best AUC for separating AD from controls, frontotemporal dementia and amyloid-negative Lewy body dementia, but that discrimination could not be reproduced when pre-defined cut-offs were applied, so cohort-specific cut-offs were needed. |
Discrimination of AD from controls, frontotemporal dementia and Lewy body dementia by plasma Aβ42/40, p-tau181, GFAP and NfL, and transfer of predefined cut-offs to validation cohorts | cross-sectional study | 1,298 | not established — pubmed abstract results prints no auc or other figure; it states only that p-tau181 showed the best area under the curve and that pre-defined… |
Alzheimer's & Dementia
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 40551285 |
| Blood biomarkers (GFAP, NfL, p-tau217) for staging and prognosis Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Benefit
whyDirection is for the test's accuracy against the reference standard; an accuracy result, not a health outcome. Serum GFAP tracked post-mortem tau pathology independently of amyloid, correlated negatively with brain weight and cognition, correlated with astrocyte reactivity in tissue, and separated neuropathologically confirmed AD from non-AD dementias with AUC 0.91. |
Correlation of serum GFAP with post-mortem tau pathology, brain weight and astrocyte reactivity, and discrimination of autopsy-confirmed AD from non-AD dementia | cohort study | 139 | an association between serum GFAP level and post-mortem tau pathology (β = 12.85; P < 0.001) that was independent of amyloid deposits (β = 13.23; P = 0.02) ... a negative correlation was observed between pre-mortem serum GFAP and brain weight at post-mortem (r = -0.35; P < 0.001) ... its discriminative power (area under the receiver operator characteristic curve at baseline = 0.91) in differentiating neuropathologically-confirmed Alzheimer's disease dementias from non-Alzheimer's disease dementias |
Brain
2024 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 38634687 |
| Blood biomarkers (GFAP, NfL, p-tau217) for staging and prognosis Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Harm
whyDirection is for higher baseline plasma GFAP: it detected abnormal CSF amyloid (AUC 0.79, 0.86 with APOE4) and predicted later conversion to Alzheimer's dementia (AUC 0.84); GFAP slopes were steeper in those who progressed. |
Detection of CSF-defined amyloid pathology and prediction of conversion to Alzheimer's dementia | cohort study | 160 | Baseline plasma GFAP could detect abnormal CSF Aβ42/40 and CSF Aβ42/T-tau with an AUC of 0.79 (95% CI 0.72-0.86) and 0.80 (95% CI 0.72-0.86), respectively. When also including APOE ε4 status as a predictor, the accuracy of the model to detect abnormal CSF Aβ42/40 status improved (AUC = 0.86, p = 0.02). Plasma GFAP predicted subsequent conversion to AD dementia with an AUC of 0.84 (95% CI 0.77-0.91) |
Alzheimer's Research & Therapy
2021 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 33773595 |
| CSF alpha-synuclein seed amplification assay Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Mixed
whyDirection is for the test's accuracy against the reference standard; an accuracy result, not a health outcome. Results ranged from 55% to 100% sensitivity and 60% to 100% specificity across four laboratories using different protocols, with only fair agreement between them (kappa 0.246). |
Sensitivity, specificity and cross-laboratory agreement for dementia with Lewy bodies | cross-sectional study | 30 | On average, the 4 laboratories achieved 78.8% sensitivity (minimum 55%, maximum 100%), 77.5% specificity (minimum 60%, maximum 100%), and 78.5% accuracy (minimum 57%, maximum 100%) for discriminating DLB from controls ... A fair agreement of SAA results was obtained across the 4 laboratories (average κ = 0.246) |
Neurology
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41604609 |
| CSF alpha-synuclein seed amplification assay Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Benefit
whyDirection is for the test's accuracy against the reference standard; an accuracy result, not a health outcome. Smell testing followed by CSF seed amplification only in those with reduced smell predicted brain Lewy body pathology with 94% accuracy and cut CSF testing by 43%; in a living cohort it predicted CSF assay status with 79% accuracy. |
Accuracy for autopsy-confirmed Lewy body pathology and reduction in confirmatory CSF testing | cohort study | 1,567 | Among 358 autopsied participants, the two-step workflow predicted brain LBP with high accuracy overall (94%), and within clinical subgroups (clinical parkinsonism=95%; clinical Alzheimer's disease [AD]=94%; clinically unimpaired [CU]=93%). It reduced the need for confirmatory CSF testing by 43% overall (23% clinical parkinsonism; 35% clinical AD; 80% CU). In an independent in vivo cohort (N=1209), the workflow predicted CSF α-syn SAA status with 79% accuracy and reduced CSF testing by 26% |
Nature Communications
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 40764485 |
| Caregiving itself (exposure to the carer) Care, carers and services | Treatment |
No direction reported
whyA pooled prevalence among carers (50.8% lonely, 37.1% socially isolated) with no non-carer comparison, so no direction for the effect of caregiving can be recorded. |
Prevalence of loneliness and social isolation among informal carers | meta-analysis | 11,134 | The pooled prevalence of loneliness among informal carers of individuals with dementia was 50.8% (95% CI: 41.8%-59.8%), while the pooled prevalence of social isolation was 37.1% (95% CI: 26.7%-47.6%) |
International Journal of Geriatric Psychiatry
2024 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 38752797 |
| Caregiving itself (exposure to the carer) Care, carers and services | Treatment |
No effect
whyNo significant difference in 5-year cumulative spending between spouses of people with and without dementia ($3,974, 95% CI -$3,199 to $11,477); year-5 spending was higher (+$2,748), driven by inpatient costs. |
Spouse's cumulative Medicare expenditures in the 5 years after the partner's dementia onset | cohort study | not stated | This difference ($3974, 95% CI = [-$3,199; $11,477]) was not significant. However, there were significant differences in the 5th year's total expenditures (+$2,748 [$321; $5,447]), driven by inpatient expenditures ($1,562 [$22; $3,277]) |
Journal of the American Geriatrics Society
2024 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 38975882 |
| Caregiving itself (exposure to the carer) Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Harm
whyDirection is for BEING a carer: carers were worse off than non-carers on every domain, with the largest gaps in depression and stress. |
Carer depression, stress, well-being and physical health | meta-analysis | not stated | Depression g=0.58; stress g=0.55; self-efficacy g=-0.54; well-being g=-0.40; physical health g=0.18 |
Psychology and Aging
2003 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 12825775 |
| Caregiving itself (exposure to the carer) Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Harm
whyOnly STRAINED carers were at higher risk (RR 1.63, 95% CI 1.00-2.65, with the interval touching 1). Carers who reported no strain showed nothing (RR 1.08), so it is the strain rather than the caregiving that carries the signal. |
4-year mortality in the carer | cohort study | 819 | RR 1.63 (95% CI 1.00-2.65) for strained caregivers vs. non-caregivers |
JAMA
1999 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 10605972 |
| Carer psychosocial / skills intervention Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Benefit
whyBenefit was larger for younger, male and non-spousal carers. The largest single effect (training the person with dementia) rests on 10 observations and the authors call it promising rather than definitive. |
Carer anxiety and depression | meta-analysis | not stated | "Interventions generally showed a significant reduction in anxiety and depression with varied effects on SWB [subjective well-being]" across 175 studies and 342 intervention treatments |
Dementia and Geriatric Cognitive Disorders
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 40550226 |
| Carer psychosocial / skills intervention Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Benefit
whyA pilot designed to test feasibility; 68 carers and a 2-week outcome. |
Pre-death grief at 2 weeks | randomised trial | 68 | Pre-death grief Cohen d = -0.38 (mean change -3.29, SD 8.64, p=0.03) at 2 weeks |
JAMA Network Open
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 42018322 |
| Carer psychosocial / skills intervention Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Benefit
whyDigital psychological interventions reduced caregiver burden and improved self-efficacy and quality of life; the effect on depressive symptoms was not statistically significant (P = .06). |
Caregiver burden (primary); depression, self-efficacy and quality of life | meta-analysis | 750 | digital psychological interventions significantly reduced caregiver burden [Standardized mean difference (SMD) = -0.21, 95% CI: -0.35 to -0.07; P = .003] and improved self-efficacy (SMD = 0.38, 95% CI: 0.15 to 0.61, P = .001) and quality of life (SMD = 0.59, 95% CI: 0.27 to 0.91, P < .001). But digital psychological interventions have no statistically significant in alleviating depressive symptoms (P = .06) |
Age and ageing
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41505195 |
| Carer psychosocial / skills intervention Care, carers and services | Treatment |
No effect
whyNo difference from waitlist control on the primary burden outcome or on mood, WHOQOL-Bref or productivity; only the CarerQoL-VAS quality-of-life score was higher in the intervention group. The trial recruited 93 of a 194 target. |
Carer burden on the Zarit Burden Interview at 6 and 12 weeks (primary); mood, quality of life, productivity | randomised trial | 93 | No statistically significant differences were observed between the intervention and control groups on the ZBI, CES-D, WHOQOL-Bref and WPAI:CG ... A statistically significantly higher mean CarerQoL-VAS score was found for the intervention group (mean difference = 0.75, 95% CL: 0.25 to 1.24, P = .003) over 6- and 12-weeks, compared to the control |
Age and ageing
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41719424 |
| Carer psychosocial / skills intervention Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Benefit
whyAt the 1-month comparison the automated self-guided programme reduced depression and burden and increased positive gains versus waitlist; anxiety did not differ. Group differences mostly disappeared once controls received the programme. |
Caregiver depression (PHQ-9) at 1 month versus waitlist (primary); anxiety, burden and positive gains | randomised trial | 274 | At 1-month follow-up, coinciding with exclusive access to PDC30, intervention caregivers showed significant improvements in depression (d = -0.37), burden (d = -0.34), and positive gains (d = 0.42) |
The American journal of geriatric psychiatry : official journal of the American Association for Geriatric Psychiatry
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41644333 |
| Carer psychosocial / skills intervention Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Mixed
whyPeer support reduced distress to behavioural symptoms and increased social support and quality of life immediately after the intervention, but had no effect on depression/anxiety, loneliness, burden or competence, and no outcome was sustained at follow-up. |
Caregiver distress, social support, health-related quality of life, depression/anxiety, loneliness, burden and competence after peer support | meta-analysis | 1,680 | Peer support interventions significantly reduced caregiver distress to behavioral symptoms (standardized mean difference [SMD], -0.28; 95% confidence interval [CI], -0.55 to -0.02; p = 0.03), increased social support (SMD, 0.37; 95% CI, 0.06 to 0.67; p = 0.02), and HRQoL (SMD, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.07 to 1.46; p = 0.03) postintervention. However, no significant effects were observed on depression/anxiety, loneliness, caregiving burden, and caregiving competence/knowledge postintervention. None of the outcomes showed sustained effects at follow up |
Archives of gerontology and geriatrics
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41690252 |
| Carer psychosocial / skills intervention Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Benefit
whyA factorial trial of components: the mindfulness component carried the benefit and amplified the others. |
Carer depressive symptoms (PHQ-9) at 12 months | randomised trial | 250 | Mindfulness component: PHQ-9 depressive symptoms β = -2.13 (95% CI -2.85 to -1.38) at 12 months |
JAMA Network Open
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 40094667 |
| Carer psychosocial / skills intervention Care, carers and services | Treatment |
No effect
whyBurden fell in both arms with no significant difference between the two platforms. There was no untreated control, so the within-arm improvement cannot be separated from time or attention. |
Caregiver burden at 6 months | randomised trial | 240 | Burden: GamePlan4Care effect size 0.50 (p<0.001); Resources4Care effect size 0.23 (p=0.030). Social support GP4C ES 0.21 (p=0.035); distress GP4C ES 0.30 (p=0.010) |
Alzheimer's & Dementia
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41085219 |
| Carer psychosocial / skills intervention Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Benefit
whyDirection is for NIDUS-Family: an 89% probability of cost-effectiveness from a health and social care perspective (87% societal) and £8,934 (37%) lower average costs, though the cost difference's confidence interval includes zero. |
Probability of cost-effectiveness at £20,000-30,000 per QALY and 12-month costs versus goal setting and routine care | randomised trial | 302 | At both a £20 000 and £30 000 decision threshold, there was an 89% probability that NIDUS-Family was cost-effective compared with usual care from a health and social care perspective, and an 87% probability from a societal perspective. Intervention participants accrued on average £8934 (37%) less in costs than control participants (95% CI -£59 460 to £41 592) |
The Lancet Healthy Longevity
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 39978389 |
| Carer psychosocial / skills intervention Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Benefit
whyThe outcome is how prepared carers felt to decide about firearm access, not whether any injury was avoided. |
Preparation for Decision Making score | randomised trial | 500 | Preparation for Decision Making score +4.80 points (95% CI 0.53 to 9.07) vs control |
Annals of Internal Medicine
2024 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 39531391 |
| Carer psychosocial / skills intervention Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Benefit
whyDirection is for psychosocial and pharmacological interventions, which the review reports as showing mild to modest efficacy in high-quality meta-analyses. A narrative clinical review summarising other meta-analyses, not a new pooled estimate. |
Caregiver burden | None | not stated | Psychosocial interventions include support groups or psychoeducational interventions for caregivers of dementia patients (effect size, 0.09-0.23). Pharmacologic interventions include use of anticholinergics or antipsychotic medications for dementia or dementia-related behaviors in the care recipient (effect size, 0.18-0.27) |
JAMA
2014 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 24618967 |
| Carer psychosocial / skills intervention Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Benefit
whyBenefit in Hispanic and White caregivers and in Black spousal caregivers; not in Black non-spousal caregivers. |
Caregiver quality of life and depression at 6 months | randomised trial | 642 | Depression: 12.6% (intervention) vs. 22.7% (control) at 6 months |
Annals of Internal Medicine
2006 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 17116917 |
| Carer psychosocial / skills intervention Care, carers and services | Treatment | Benefit | Time to nursing home placement | randomised trial | 406 | HR 0.717 for nursing home placement; median time to placement 557 days longer (model-predicted) in the intervention group |
Neurology
2006 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 17101889 |
| Cognitive screening instrument accuracy Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Benefit
whyDirection is for the test's accuracy against the reference standard; an accuracy result, not a health outcome. Tablet tests correlated strongly with MMSE, MoCA and Trails A (r > 0.7) and the Match test separated amyloid-positive from -negative patients (AUC 0.82) better than MMSE or MoCA (0.75). |
Correlation with pen-and-paper tests and discrimination of amyloid-positive from amyloid-negative early-onset AD patients | cross-sectional study | 475 | Match and Flanker were associated with all pen‐and‐paper tests, with strongest correlations observed with the MMSE, MoCA, and Trails A (r's >0.7) ... Of TabCAT tests, Match best discriminated Aβ+ from Aβ‐ patients (Area Under the Curve (AUC)=0.82), outperforming the MMSE (AUC=0.75) and MoCA (AUC=0.75), and comparable to the overall best performing test Benson Figure Recall (AUC=0.85 |
Alzheimer's & Dementia (AAIC 2025 conference abstract)
2025 ⚠ Conference abstract — not peer-reviewed DOI 10.1002/alz70857_104654 |
| Cognitive screening instrument accuracy Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Benefit
whyDirection is for the test's accuracy against the reference standard; an accuracy result, not a health outcome. Pooled sensitivity 76% and specificity 83% for dementia, with 73% / 84% in primary care; the authors call it a practical screening tool while noting high or unclear risk of bias in patient selection and timing. |
Pooled sensitivity and specificity of the Mini-Cog for dementia, MCI and cognitive impairment | meta-analysis | not stated | To detect dementia (six studies, n = 4772), the Mini-Cog showed 76% sensitivity and 83% specificity. To detect MCI (two studies, n = 270), it showed 84% sensitivity and 79% specificity. To detect CI (eight studies, n = 2152), it had 67% sensitivity and 83% specificity. In the primary care setting, to detect either MCI, dementia, or CI (eight studies, n = 5620), the Mini-Cog demonstrated 73% sensitivity and 84% specificity |
PLOS ONE
2024 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 38483857 |
| Cognitive screening instrument accuracy Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Benefit
whyDirection is for the test's accuracy against the reference standard; an accuracy result, not a health outcome. The two-stage GPCOG had sensitivity 0.85 and specificity 0.86 against DSM-IV dementia, and was superior to the Abbreviated Mental Test. |
Sensitivity, specificity and positive predictive value of the GPCOG for dementia in general practice | cross-sectional study | 283 | The two-stage method of administering the GPCOG (cognitive testing followed by informant questions if necessary)had a sensitivity of 0.85, a specificity of 0.86, a misclassification rate of 14%, and positive predictive value of 71.4% |
Journal of the American Geriatrics Society
2002 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 11943052 |
| Cost of dementia care Care, carers and services | Treatment |
No direction reported
whyA cost estimate ($818 billion, 80% of it borne by families through unpaid care, earnings losses, out-of-pocket costs and quality-of-life losses) with no exposure compared, so no direction is recorded. |
Total cost of dementia in the United States in 2026 | modelling study | not stated | In 2026, 5.7 million (95% confidence interval [CI] [5.6, 6.0]) US adults aged 51 and older are living with dementia, supported by 5.2 million (95% CI [4.9, 5.5]) care partners. Total costs are $818 billion (B, 95% CI [759, 866]), driven by quality-of-life losses for persons with dementia ($320B, 95% CI [269, 363]) and care partners ($15B 95% CI [6, 25]). Unpaid care ($237B, 95% CI [220, 253]), earnings losses ($23B), and out-of-pocket costs combined with quality-of-life losses account for 80% of costs and are borne by families |
Alzheimer's & Dementia
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 42340126 |
| Cost of dementia care Care, carers and services | Treatment |
No direction reported
whyA descriptive spending analysis with no exposure compared, so there is no direction to record: Part D spending rose with dual-eligibility duration, Part B drug spending varied widely by state, and ACO enrollment made only a modest difference. |
Medicare Part D and Part B drug spending and out-of-pocket costs among fee-for-service beneficiaries with dementia, by dual eligibility, state and ACO enrollment | cross-sectional study | 1,372,696 | Medicare Part D drug spending was substantial, increasing with dual-eligibility duration: $8732-$9107 among beneficiaries with full-year dual eligibility and exceeding $11 500 among those with 5+ chronic conditions ... Medicare Part B drug spending was highest among Medicare-only beneficiaries and varied widely by state, ranging from $433 to $1827 among Medicare-only beneficiaries and from $179 to $1446 among dually eligible beneficiaries |
Innovation in Aging
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 42787606 |
| Cost of dementia care Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Harm
whyDirection is for having AD dementia: lifetime formal-care costs of 2,440,000 SEK against 510,000 SEK for matched controls, with prescriptions and social care rising and specialist outpatient visits falling as the disease advanced. A cost result, not a health outcome. |
Lifetime formal-care costs after an AD dementia diagnosis versus matched controls, and care utilization by stage | cohort study | 20,366 | The estimated lifetime costs of formal care for AD dementia were 2,440,000 SEK (€212,174; $US230,189; 95% CI 2,088,000-2,793,000 SEK), compared with 510,000 SEK (€44,348; $US48,113; 95% CI 482,000-539,000 SEK) for matched controls |
PharmacoEconomics
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41920501 |
| Cost of dementia care Care, carers and services | Treatment |
No direction reported
whyA cost projection: total burden is estimated at $344 billion in 2020 rising to over $3 trillion in 2060, with African American and Latino families projected to bear a disproportionate share. It compares spending shares between groups but tests no exposure, so no direction is recorded. |
Total US economic burden of dementia by race and ethnicity, 2020 to 2060 | modelling study | 31,028 | The total estimated economic burden of ADRD was close to $344 billion in 2020 and was projected to increase to over $3 trillion in 2060. African American and Latino adults bore one-third ($113 billion) of it in 2020, with projections rising to $1.7 trillion by 2060, surpassing the economic burden for White adults, which was projected to grow from $231 billion to $1.4 trillion |
JAMA Network Open
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 40471578 |
| Cost of dementia care Care, carers and services | Treatment |
No direction reported
whyA cost estimate with no exposure compared, so there is no direction to record. Higher unpaid-care costs went with lower medical spending on nursing facility care. |
Annual cost of care attributable to dementia per case in 2019 and the unpaid-care share of total cost by US state | modelling study | not stated | The annual cost of care attributable to dementia in 2019 was $53,502 (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 46,135-60,594) per case. The contribution of unpaid care to total costs varied by state, ranging from 70.2% (95% UI 64.3-75.4) in the District of Columbia to 89.9% (95% UI 87.8-91.5) in Arizona |
Journal of Alzheimer's Disease
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 40111940 |
| Cost of dementia care Care, carers and services | Treatment |
No direction reported
whyA cost projection with no exposure compared, so there is no direction to record. Dementia's share of replacement cost is projected to rise from 44% to 53%. |
Replacement cost of unpaid family care and opportunity cost of forgone earnings for older Americans with and without dementia, now and projected to 2060 | modelling study | not stated | Current annual replacement cost of unpaid family care is between $96 and $182 billion, 44% of which is accounted for by dementia caregiving. By 2060, it will increase to $277-571 billion, and 53% will be for dementia caregiving. The opportunity costs of forgone earnings and productivity loss, however, will grow faster, increasing from current levels of $107 billion and $26 billion to $380 billion and $102 billion, respectively, in 2060 |
Innovation in Aging
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 40662057 |
| Cost of dementia care Care, carers and services | Treatment |
No direction reported
whyA cost estimate with no exposure compared, so there is no direction to record. |
Annual indirect cost of Alzheimer's disease per person by severity, and total US indirect cost | modelling study | not stated | $36 934 for mild cognitive impairment owing to AD, $65 565 for mild AD, $103 717 for moderate AD, and $145 250 for severe AD (2024 United States Dollars [USD]). Considering the current distribution of prevalent patients across severity stages, the total annual indirect cost was estimated at $832 billion, which includes $599 billion in unpaid caregiving costs and $233 billion in productivity losses |
Value in Health
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 39571734 |
| Cost of dementia care Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Harm
whyDirection is for greater disease severity: mean annual costs rose from SEK 99,906 in MCI to SEK 795,617 in severe AD (SEK 57,625 to 668,073 in the amyloid-confirmed subset), driven by institutionalisation, home care and daytime support while outpatient costs fell. A cost result, not a health outcome. |
Mean annual direct medical and social costs by AD severity (MCI to severe), overall and in amyloid-confirmed patients, versus matched controls | cohort study | 95,853 | Mean annual costs for individuals with clinically diagnosed AD were SEK 99,906, SEK 290,972, SEK 479,524, and SEK 795,617 in mild cognitive impairment (MCI), mild, moderate, and severe AD. The mean annual costs for the population with both clinical diagnosis and amyloid-positive AD confirmation (N = 5610) were SEK 57,625, SEK 179,153, SEK 333,095, and SEK 668,073 in MCI, mild, moderate, and severe AD, respectively |
PharmacoEconomics
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 39485581 |
| Cost of dementia care Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Harm
whyDirection is for being on the Alzheimer's continuum: societal costs were 52% higher in subjective cognitive decline, 170% in MCI and 307% in AD dementia than in controls, and payer costs 26%, 85% and 36% higher. A cost result, not a health outcome. |
Excess annual costs from payer and societal perspectives in subjective cognitive decline, MCI and AD dementia versus controls | cross-sectional study | not stated | From a payer perspective, costs were elevated by 26% for SCD (adjusted mean 5,976€ [95%CI 4,598-7,355€]), 85% for MCI (8,795€ [6,200-11,391€]) and 36% for AD (6,454€ [2,796-10,111€]) compared to controls (4,754€ [3,586-5,922€]). Societal costs were elevated by 52% for SCD (adjusted mean 8,377€ [95%CI 6,009-10,746€]), 170% for MCI (14,886€ [9,524-20,248€]) and 307% for AD (22,481€ [9,994-34,969€]) compared to controls (5,522€ [3,814-7,230€]) |
Alzheimer's research & therapy
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 40571933 |
| Cost of dementia care Care, carers and services | Treatment |
No direction reported
whyA cost estimate and projection with no exposure compared, so there is no direction to record. |
Per-patient cost of care in 2016 and aggregate US cost projected 2020-2060 | modelling study | not stated | In 2016, the estimated per patient cost of formal care was $28,078 (95% confidence interval [CI]: $25,893-$30,433), and informal care cost valued in terms of replacement cost and forgone wages was $36,667 ($34,025-$39,473) and $15,792 ($12,980-$18,713), respectively. Aggregate formal care cost and formal plus informal care cost using replacement cost and forgone wage methods were $196 billion (95% uncertainty range [UR]: $179-$213 billion), $450 billion ($424-$478 billion), and $305 billion ($278-$333 billion), respectively, in 2020. These were projected to increase to $1.4 trillion ($837 billion-$2.2 trillion), $3.3 trillion ($1.9-$5.1 trillion), and $2.2 trillion ($1.3-$3.5 trillion), respectively, in 2060 |
npj Aging
2024 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 38331952 |
| Cost of dementia care Care, carers and services | Treatment |
No direction reported
whyA cost estimation across 204 countries with no exposure compared, so there is no direction to record. |
Global direct health care spending and informal care cost attributable to dementia, 2019, with projection to 2050 | modelling study | not stated | in 2019, the direct health care spending attributable to ADRD across 204 countries reached $260.6 billion (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 131.6-420.4) and the cost of informal ADRD care was $354.1 billion (95% UI 190.0-544.1). On average, informal care represents 57% (95% UI 38-75%) of the total cost of care. We estimated that direct health care spending attributable to ADRD will reach $1.6 trillion (95% UI 0.6-3.3) in 2050, or 9.4% (95% UI 3.9-19.6%) of projected health spending worldwide |
Journal of Alzheimer's Disease
2024 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 39150827 |
| Cost of dementia care Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Harm
whyDirection is for being non-Hispanic Black or Hispanic rather than non-Hispanic White: disease-course Medicare spending was higher ($165,730 and $160,442 versus $136,326), highest for Black beneficiaries in every phase and driven by high-cost services in the last year of life. A disparities result, not a biological effect of race. |
Disease-course Medicare expenditures (year before diagnosis to last year of life) by race and ethnicity | cohort study | not stated | Adjusted mean total Medicare expenditures for non-Hispanic (NH) Black ($165,730) and Hispanic beneficiaries with dementia ($160,442) exceeded corresponding expenditures for NH Whites ($136,326) ... The last year of life was responsible for the greatest cost contribution: $51,294 (NH Blacks), $47,469 (Hispanics), and $39,499 (NH Whites) |
Journal of the American Geriatrics Society
2024 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 38504583 |
| Cost of dementia care Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Harm
whyDirection is for dying with dementia rather than heart disease, cancer or other causes: total cost was higher ($287,038) and out-of-pocket spending 81% higher, consuming 32% of household wealth versus 11%. |
Total social cost and out-of-pocket spending in the last 5 years of life | cohort study | 1,702 | Average total cost per decedent with dementia ($287 038) was significantly greater than that of those who died of heart disease ($175 136), cancer ($173 383), or other causes ($197 286) (P < 0.001). Although Medicare expenditures were similar across groups, average out-of-pocket spending for patients with dementia ($61 522) was 81% higher than that for patients without dementia ($34 068) |
Annals of Internal Medicine
2015 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 26502320 |
| Cost of dementia care Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Harm
whyDirection is for living in the community rather than a nursing home: unadjusted costs were lower in the community, but after adjusting for functional impairment and comorbidity community care cost €11,344 more per year, mainly through informal care. A cost result, not a health outcome. |
Annual societal cost of care, community-dwelling versus nursing home residents | cross-sectional study | 176 | Unadjusted mean annual total costs including informal care were €29,930 ($43,997) for community-dwelling patients and €33,482 ($49,218) for patients living in nursing homes. However, multiple regression analysis controlling for age, sex, deficits in basic and instrumental activities of daily living and comorbidity showed that living in the community significantly increased total costs by €11,344 ($16,676; P < .01) compared with living in a nursing home, mainly due to higher costs of informal care (+€20,585; +$30,260; P < .001) |
Journal of the American Medical Directors Association
2014 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 24321877 |
| Cost of dementia care Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Harm
whyDirection is for having dementia: the attributable yearly cost per person was $41,689-$56,290 depending on how informal care is valued, a burden the authors call similar to heart disease and cancer. |
Yearly monetary cost per person attributable to dementia, and total US cost in 2010 | cohort study | 10,903 | The yearly monetary cost per person that was attributable to dementia was either $56,290 (95% confidence interval [CI], $42,746 to $69,834) or $41,689 (95% CI, $31,017 to $52,362), depending on the method used to value informal care. These individual costs suggest that the total monetary cost of dementia in 2010 was between $157 billion and $215 billion. Medicare paid approximately $11 billion of this cost |
New England Journal of Medicine
2013 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 23550670 |
| Cost-effectiveness of anti-amyloid antibody Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Harm
whyDirection is for value for money at current Australian prices: donanemab improved modelled QALYs (4.38 vs 4.01) but the ICER of $342,424 per QALY exceeded commonly cited willingness-to-pay thresholds. An unfavourable value result, not a clinical harm. |
Incremental cost per QALY of donanemab versus standard care in Australia | modelling study | not stated | Donanemab increased total healthcare costs ($300,689 vs. $178,121) and societal costs ($389,113 vs. $283,618) compared with standard care per capita, while improving health outcomes (4.38 vs. 4.01 QALYs) per capita. The ICER was $342,424 per QALY from the healthcare perspective and $294,701 per QALY from the societal perspective |
The Medical journal of Australia
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 42015793 |
| Cost-effectiveness of anti-amyloid antibody Care, carers and services | Treatment |
No direction reported
whyA threshold analysis estimating what each country should be willing to pay (from $4-$18 a year in low-income countries to $254-$9,434 for lecanemab and $387-$13,964 for donanemab in high-income countries). It sets no price against an actual list price, so there is no direction to record. |
Incremental QALYs versus usual care and value-based annual prices for lecanemab and donanemab across 174 countries | modelling study | not stated | Compared to usual care, lecanemab and donanemab respectively increased average QALYs by 0.38 and 0.51. By country income status, VBPs for lecanemab and donanemab respectively ranged between $254 to $9434 and $387 to $13,964 (high income), $90 to $1025 and $137 to $1507 (upper middle income), $11 to $623 and $21 to $956 (lower middle income) and $4 to $18 and $9 to $32 (low income) |
Alzheimer's & Dementia
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 42125995 |
| Cost-effectiveness of anti-amyloid antibody Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Mixed
whyThe review splits by drug class: at $100,000 per QALY every study found memantine cost-effective and more than half found the cholinesterase inhibitors so, whereas aducanumab, lecanemab and donanemab were not cost-effective in any study. A value result, not a clinical harm. |
Cost-effectiveness of FDA-approved AD drugs across 23 published analyses (memantine, cholinesterase inhibitors, anti-amyloid antibodies) | systematic review | not stated | At a willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of $100,000/QALY, all studies found memantine cost-effective, and more than half reported cost-effectiveness for donepezil, rivastigmine, and galantamine. Aducanumab, lecanemab, and donanemab were not cost-effective in any study. Under the WTP threshold of $150,000/QALY, value-based prices for aducanumab, lecanemab, and donanemab were estimated below $5,960, $15,700, and $33,700, respectively |
Journal of Alzheimer's Disease
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41837605 |
| Cost-effectiveness of anti-amyloid antibody Care, carers and services | Treatment |
No direction reported
whyA cost-effectiveness model reporting ICERs of JPY 8.5 million and 7.9 million per QALY without stating a threshold or a verdict; the authors argue that narrow value assessments understate social value. No direction is recorded. |
Incremental QALYs (patient plus caregiver) and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of lecanemab added to standard care in Japan | modelling study | not stated | The incremental QALYs were 1.31 QALYs for MCI due to AD and 0.85 QALYs for mild AD-D, and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were JPY 8.5 million /QALY and JPY 7.9 million /QALY ($1 = JPY 150), respectively |
Journal of Alzheimer's Disease
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 42108615 |
| Cost-effectiveness of anti-amyloid antibody Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Harm
whyDirection is for value for money: three years of lecanemab gained 0.17 QALYs and the cost-effective price at 1 million SEK per QALY was 33,886 SEK a year, which the authors say makes it unlikely to be cost effective in Sweden at current US list prices. An unfavourable value result, not a clinical harm. |
Life-years and QALYs gained and the cost-effective annual price of lecanemab in Sweden at 1 million SEK per QALY | modelling study | not stated | Treatment with lecanemab over 3 years resulted in 0.13 LYs gained, 0.17 QALYs gained, and a net cost increase of 87,146 SEK (€1 = 11.5 SEK, $US1 = 10.6 SEK) due to administration and monitoring, before considering the cost of drug. The cost-effective price of lecanemab at a willingness-to-pay level of 1 million SEK per QALY was 33,886 SEK per year of treatment |
PharmacoEconomics
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 40730714 |
| Cost-effectiveness of anti-amyloid antibody Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Harm
whyDirection is for value for money at the current price: no lecanemab strategy was cost-effective against standard care alone, whichever diagnostic test was used; CSF-guided targeted treatment would become cost-effective below $5,100 per year. An unfavourable value result, not a clinical harm. |
Cost-effectiveness of lecanemab test-treat strategies versus standard care (cost per QALY) | modelling study | not stated | Neither targeted lecanemab treatment nor treatment unrestricted by APOE ε4 genotype was cost-effective vs SoC alone, regardless of the test used to diagnose patients with early-stage AD. However, CSF assay followed by targeted treatment would become cost-effective if lecanemab is priced below $5,100 per year |
Neurology
2024 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 38484190 |
| Cost-effectiveness of anti-amyloid antibody Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Harm
whyDirection is for chronic bi-weekly intravenous infusion relative to oral treatment: administration and monitoring cost $45,208 plus $6,095 caregiver burden, eroding 44% of treatment value, against 2% for an oral drug. A cost result for a hypothetical treatment, not a clinical harm. |
Direct medical cost, caregiver burden and preserved treatment value for five hypothetical disease-modifying treatments differing in route, frequency and duration | modelling study | not stated | Chronic bi-weekly infusion treatment had the highest direct medical cost ($45,208) and caregiver burden ($6,095), reducing the treatment value by 44%, while oral treatment with the lowest direct medical cost ($1,983) and caregiver burden ($457) reduced the treatment value by only 2% |
Journal of Prevention of Alzheimer's Disease
2024 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 39350384 |
| Cost-effectiveness of anti-amyloid antibody Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Harm
whyDirection is for value for money at the list price: the benchmark price ($8,900-$21,500 per year) sits below the $26,500 list price, the committee voted 15-0 that the drug represents low long-term value at that price and 12-3 that the evidence did not adequately demonstrate a net health benefit. An unfavourable value assessment, not a clinical harm. |
Health-benefit price benchmark for lecanemab and appraisal-committee votes on net benefit and value | modelling study | not stated | ICER has calculated a health-benefit price benchmark (HBPB) for lecanemab to be between $8,900 – $21,500 per year; Lecanemab has been approved by the FDA and has a list price of $26,500 per year; The panelists unanimously (15-0) found that lecanemab at its current pricing represents “low” long-term value for money; A majority of panelists (12-3) found that current evidence is not adequate to demonstrate a net health benefit of lecanemab when compared to supportive care alone |
ICER (independent health technology assessment report)
2023 ⚠ Report — not peer-reviewed no DOI or PMID exists |
| Cost-effectiveness of anti-amyloid antibody Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Harm
whyDirection is for value for money at the assumed $28,000 annual price: ICERs of $981,000/QALY (aducanumab) and $193,000/QALY (donanemab) exceed the $150,000/QALY threshold, so neither was cost-effective. An unfavourable value result, not a clinical harm. |
Incremental cost per QALY versus standard care, and value-based price | modelling study | not stated | Health care sector and societal ICERs relative to standard care were $981 000/QALY and $964 000/QALY, respectively, for aducanumab and $193 000/QALY and $176 000/QALY, respectively, for donanemab |
JAMA Neurology
2022 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 35344024 |
| Dementia care management / navigation Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Benefit
whyThe community health worker programme achieved verified linkage to medical care in 16.7% of dyads versus none in the control arm. Caregiver outcomes were largely unchanged, with self-efficacy favouring control. |
Clinic-verified linkage to medical services at 6 months (primary); caregiver psychosocial outcomes | randomised trial | 287 | PLAN increased linkage to medical services versus control (16.7% vs 0%, chi-squared [df = 1] = 24.05, p < 0.001). Caregiver outcomes were largely unchanged, with self-efficacy favoring control |
Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 42233272 |
| Dementia care management / navigation Care, carers and services | Treatment |
No effect
whyNo difference between health-system care, community-based care or usual care on either primary outcome. Caregiver self-efficacy did improve in both active arms. |
NPI-Q behavioural symptoms and caregiver strain (co-primary) | randomised trial | 2,176 | NPI-Q difference health-system vs community 0.30 (97.5% CI -0.18 to 0.78); caregiver self-efficacy vs usual care +0.70 (health system) and +0.85 (community), both significant |
JAMA
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 39878968 |
| Dementia care management / navigation Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Benefit
whyDirection is for the extended nursing role intervention: 74% fewer unmet needs and higher quality of life at six months, with a small QALY gain at about 1,425 EUR added cost; no effect on caregiver burden. |
Unmet needs, quality of life, caregiver burden and cost per QALY at six months (advanced dementia care management by nurses in extended roles) | randomised trial | 417 | PlwD receiving the intervention had 74% lower unmet needs (0.26, CI95%: 0.17 to 0.40, p < 0.001) and higher quality of life (0.04, CI95%: 0.01 to 0.07, p = 0.017) than controls. There was a gain in quality-adjusted life years (0.01, CI95%: -0.001 to 0.018) at slightly higher costs (1,425 EUR, CI95%: 638 to 2,211) |
Alzheimer's & Dementia
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41143334 |
| Dementia care management / navigation Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Mixed
whyThe two perspectives disagree: the digitally supported care management system dominated usual care for the public payer (lower costs, marginally more QALYs, 72-79% probability of cost-effectiveness) but cost €331,000 per QALY from a societal perspective (33-35% probability). |
Caregiver QALYs, costs and incremental cost per QALY at six months, from public-payer and societal perspectives | randomised trial | 192 | Caregivers in the intervention group gained QALYs (+0.004 [95% CI -0.003 to 0.012], P value = .225) and had lower costs from the public payer (-378€ [1926-1168], P value = .630), but higher costs from the societal perspective (+1324 [-3634 to 6284], P value = .599). The intervention dominated usual care from the payer perspective, whereas the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was €331 000/QALY from a societal perspective |
Value in Health
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 39922302 |
| Dementia care management / navigation Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Benefit
whyDirection is for the Care Ecosystem programme: total cost of care was $475.80 per member per month lower than matched controls at 12 months, with fewer emergency, outpatient and professional visits. |
Total cost of care per member per month at 12 months versus propensity-matched controls | cohort study | 242 | Care Ecosystem participants had significantly lower total cost of care at 12 months, mean savings of $475.80 per member per month compared with controls |
American Journal of Managed Care
2024 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 39146484 |
| Dementia care management / navigation Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Benefit
whyDirection is for collaborative dementia care management: fewer neuropsychiatric symptoms, lower caregiver burden, better mental health and 0.137 QALYs gained at no significant added cost (3186€ per QALY) over 36 months; no difference in antidementia drug use, overall quality of life or inappropriate medication. |
Neuropsychiatric symptoms, caregiver burden, quality of life and cost per QALY at 36 months after 6 months of collaborative dementia care management | randomised trial | 428 | Participants receiving CDCM showed significantly fewer behavioral and psychological symptoms (adjusted mean difference [AMD] in NPI score, -10.26 [95% CI, -16.95 to -3.58]; P = .003; Cohen d, -0.78 [95% CI, -1.09 to -0.46]) ... and lower caregiver burden (AMD in BIZA-D score, -0.59 [95% CI, -0.81 to -0.37]; P < .001; Cohen d, -0.71 [95% CI, -1.03 to -0.40]) ... The CDCM group gained QALYs (0.137 [95% CI, 0.000 to 0.274]; P = .049; Cohen d, 0.20 [95% CI, -0.09 to 0.40]) but had no significant increase in costs (437€ [-5438€ to 6313€] [US $476 (95% CI, -$5927 to $6881)]; P = .87; Cohen d, 0.07 [95% CI, -0.14 to 0.28]), resulting in a cost-effectiveness ratio of 3186€ (US $3472) per QALY |
JAMA Network Open
2024 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 38967926 |
| Dementia screening / case finding Care, carers and services | Treatment |
No effect
whyNo benefit and no harm: screening did not change family-member quality of life, preparedness or self-efficacy, and did not raise depression or anxiety. Only 5.1% screened positive. |
Family-member quality of life (SF-36) at 24 months | randomised trial | 1,808 | 24-month SF-36 mental component difference 0.58 (95% CI -0.18 to 1.33), not significant |
JAMA Internal Medicine
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 42008257 |
| Dementia screening / case finding Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Benefit
whyThe outcome is how many diagnoses were made, not whether anyone was better off. The passive digital marker alone did not raise detection (AOR 0.84, 95% CI 0.63-1.11). |
New dementia diagnosis within 12 months | randomised trial | 5,325 | Adjusted OR for new dementia diagnosis 1.31 (95% CI 1.05-1.64) with QDRS plus passive digital marker vs usual care |
JAMA Network Open
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41212562 |
| Dementia screening / case finding Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Mixed
whyMCI was diagnosed sooner (HR 1.21) but dementia diagnosis barely moved (HR 1.04, 95% CI 1.02-1.06). The outcome is detection, not health. |
Timeliness of first MCI and dementia diagnosis | cohort study | 549,516 | MCI diagnosis HR 1.21 (95% CI 1.16-1.27); dementia diagnosis HR 1.04 (95% CI 1.02-1.06) after an Annual Wellness Visit |
JAMA Network Open
2024 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 39378037 |
| Diagnostic criteria / biological definition of Alzheimer's Care, carers and services | Treatment |
No direction reported
whyA criteria document. It defines Alzheimer's disease biologically and sets out staging, and reports no effect estimate. |
None measured (diagnostic criteria document) | None | not stated | not established — criteria document; it states definitions and reports no effect estimate. |
Alzheimer's & Dementia
2024 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 38934362 |
| Diagnostic criteria / biological definition of Alzheimer's Care, carers and services | Treatment |
No direction reported
whyAn editorial. It argues that biomarker positivity alone should not define Alzheimer's disease in people without symptoms, and reports no data of its own. |
None measured (editorial) | None | not stated | not established — editorial read in full at jpreventionalzheimer.com; pubmed carries no abstract for it and it reports no effect estimate. |
The Journal of Prevention of Alzheimer's Disease
2024 ⚠ Editorial — not peer-reviewed research PMID 39044499 |
| Diagnostic criteria / biological definition of Alzheimer's Care, carers and services | Treatment |
No direction reported
whyA research framework defining Alzheimer's disease by biomarkers (the AT(N) system) for research use. It states its own intended limits and reports no effect estimate. |
None measured (research framework) | None | not stated | not established — framework document; the abstract reports no effect estimate. |
Alzheimer's & Dementia
2018 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 29653606 |
| Diagnostic evaluation and disclosure guideline Care, carers and services | Treatment |
No direction reported
whyConsensus guidance for primary care on disclosing and communicating a dementia diagnosis, developed with patients, care partners and clinicians. It reports no effect estimate. |
None measured (consensus guidance on disclosing a dementia diagnosis) | None | not stated | not established — guidance document; the abstract reports no effect estimate. |
Alzheimer's & Dementia
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41085169 |
| Diagnostic evaluation and disclosure guideline Care, carers and services | Treatment |
No direction reported
whyA clinical practice guideline. It sets out a structured, patient-centred process for evaluating, diagnosing and disclosing suspected Alzheimer's disease or related dementias in any practice setting, and reports no effect estimate. |
None measured (clinical practice guideline for primary care) | systematic review | not stated | not established — guideline; the abstract reports no effect estimate. |
Alzheimer's & Dementia
2024 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 39713942 |
| Glymphatic function (MRI DTI-ALPS index) Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Harm
whyDirection is for a lower (worse) glymphatic index: it was lowest in AD dementia and predicted faster amyloid accumulation, amyloid-positive transition, atrophy, clinical progression and cognitive decline, with the cognitive effect fully mediated by amyloid PET and atrophy. |
Amyloid PET accumulation, amyloid-positive transition, atrophy, clinical progression and cognitive decline by baseline DTI-ALPS index | cohort study | 419 | not established — pubmed abstract reports no numeric effect size. |
Alzheimer's & Dementia
2024 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 38501315 |
| Health-system and payment model Care, carers and services | Treatment |
No effect
whyDifference-in-differences around ACO entry found no change in end-of-life care processes, outcomes or spending. |
Hospice use and end-of-life spending | cohort study | 162,034 | Hospice use difference -0.4 percentage points (95% CI -1.4 to 0.5); last-6-months spending -$632 (95% CI -$1,377 to $113) |
JAMA Health Forum
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 40343716 |
| Health-system and payment model Care, carers and services | Treatment |
No direction reported
whyA single-programme implementation report with no comparison group. It counts enrolment and service use and estimates no effect. |
Enrolment, respite use and disenrolment in the first year of one GUIDE programme | cohort study | 158 | Over 35% of eligible beneficiaries have utilized respite services. Approximately 9% have disenrolled, the majority (64%) expired/hospice |
Innovation in Aging (GSA 2025 conference abstract)
2025 ⚠ Conference abstract — not peer-reviewed DOI 10.1093/geroni/igaf122.3561 |
| Health-system and payment model Care, carers and services | Treatment |
No direction reported
whyImplementation guidance drawn from six earlier comprehensive dementia care programmes. It reports no effect estimate of its own. |
None measured (implementation guidance) | None | not stated | not established — guidance article; the abstract reports no data. the library's "up to 20% of emergency department visits ... avoidable" is a cited statistic not in… |
Journal of the American Geriatrics Society
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41170936 |
| Health-system and payment model Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Benefit
whyDirection is for the benefit redesign: projected out-of-pocket drug spending fell 55% ($56 to $25) for low-income-subsidy beneficiaries and 25% ($772 to $576) for others, with larger reductions for people with 6-8 comorbidities. |
Simulated annual out-of-pocket drug spending for Medicare beneficiaries with dementia under the 2025 Part D cost-sharing rules | modelling study | 1,677 | we project average annual OOP drug expenditures among LIS beneficiaries with dementia to decrease from $56 to $25-representing a $31, or 55%, reduction. In contrast, among non-LIS beneficiaries, average OOP drug expenditures is projected to decrease from $772 to $576, a $196, or 25% reduction |
Value in Health
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 39880200 |
| Hospital admission after an emergency department visit Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Mixed
whyAdmission showed no evidence of an effect on 30-day mortality or subsequent inpatient days, but raised 30-day health care spending by $2547. An instrumental-variable estimate for marginal admissions. |
30- and 90-day mortality, inpatient days and health care spending after hospital admission versus discharge | cohort study | 872,085 | There was no evidence that hospital admission was associated with 30-day mortality rate (adjusted risk difference, -2.6 percentage points [pp] [95% CI, -5.2 to 0.1 pp]) or inpatient days (adjusted difference, 0.1 days [CI, -0.2 to 0.5 days]). Hospital admission was associated with higher 30-day health care spending (adjusted difference, $2547 [CI, $1390 to $3703]) |
Annals of internal medicine
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 42258826 |
| Lewy body co-pathology (CSF seed amplification) Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Harm
whyDirection is for co-existing Lewy body pathology in people with Alzheimer pathology: worse baseline cognition, faster global cognitive decline and more posterior hypometabolism than Alzheimer pathology alone. The seed amplification assay itself agreed closely with autopsy (96.3% sensitivity, 96.4% specificity in 61 cases). |
Baseline cognition, rate of global cognitive decline and cortical hypometabolism in people with Alzheimer pathology | cohort study | 795 | 184 (23.1%) had no biomarker evidence of AD/LB pathology, 39 (4.9%) had isolated LB pathology (AD-LB+), 395 (49.7%) had only AD pathology (AD+LB-), and 177 (22.3%) had both pathologies (AD+LB+) ... Neuropathological examination (n = 61) showed high sensitivity (26/27, 96.3%) and specificity (27/28, 96.4%) of the SAA-test |
Nature Communications
2024 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 39277604 |
| MRI amygdalar atrophy scale (marker of LATE) Care, carers and services | Treatment |
No direction reported
whyA classification-validation study without a neuropathological reference standard, so accuracy cannot be judged. The groups behaved as expected: patients labelled LATE had mild amnestic impairment, limbic atrophy and stable MMSE over 30 months, while AD and AD/LATE groups declined. |
Clinical, imaging and 30-month cognitive profiles of memory-clinic patients classified as LATE, AD, AD/LATE or neither by the amygdalar atrophy scale plus AD biomarkers | cohort study | 469 | the LATE group maintained cognitive stability as the No-AD/No-LATE group (β = -0.010, 95% CI -0.096 to 0.075, p = 0.813), whereas both AD (β = -0.136, 95% CI -0.184 to -0.088, p < 0.001) and AD/LATE (β = -0.139, 95% CI -0.196 to -0.082, p < 0.001) groups showed faster decline over time |
Neurology
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41428981 |
| Naturalistic driving behaviour (digital marker of MCI) Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Benefit
whyDirection is for the test's accuracy against the reference standard; an accuracy result, not a health outcome. Driving features distinguished drivers with MCI from those with normal cognition (AUC 0.82), rising to 0.87 with demographics, APOE4 and cognition; drivers with MCI showed greater declines in trip frequency, night driving and route variety. |
Discrimination of MCI from normal cognition by daily driving features, and longitudinal change in driving | cohort study | 298 | Key features such as medium trip distance, speeding events, entropy, and maximum distance distinguished drivers with MCI from those with NC (area under the curve [AUC] 0.82, 95% CI 0.75-0.89). Adding demographics, APOE ε4, and cognitive composite improved AUC to 0.87 (95% CI 0.81-0.93) |
Neurology
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41296993 |
| Palliative / advance care planning Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Mixed
whyAdvance care planning strongly increased DNR documentation (OR 14.12) but did not change whether residents died in the nursing home (OR 1.62, 95% CI 0.72-3.66). Evidence on other end-of-life outcomes was limited and inconsistent, and no study came from a non-Western setting. |
Do-not-resuscitate documentation; place of death | meta-analysis | not stated | DNR documentation OR 14.12 (95% CI 3.95-50.47); nursing home death OR 1.62 (95% CI 0.72-3.66, not significant) |
Journal of the American Medical Directors Association
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41198038 |
| Palliative / advance care planning Care, carers and services | Treatment |
No effect
whyThe primary outcome did not improve. Emergency department visits and hospitalisations were lower (RR 0.45, 95% CI 0.31-0.65), which is a secondary outcome. |
NPI-Q neuropsychiatric symptom severity at 24 months (primary) | randomised trial | 201 | ED visits + hospitalisations: RR 0.45 (95% CI 0.31-0.65); NPI-Q severity difference -0.24 (95% CI -2.33 to 1.84, not significant) |
JAMA
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 39878993 |
| Palliative / advance care planning Care, carers and services | Treatment |
No direction reported
whyA Delphi consensus among 60 international expert panellists, reaching agreement on 15 major and 42 minor referral criteria. No patient outcome is measured and no effect is estimated. |
Consensus referral criteria for specialist palliative care (no patient outcome) | cross-sectional study | 60 | not established — delphi survey; the abstract reports consensus counts (15 major, 42 minor criteria), not an effect estimate. |
JAMA Network Open
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 40366652 |
| Plasma proteomics diagnostic model (ProtAIDe-Dx) Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Benefit
whyDirection is for the test's accuracy against the reference standard; an accuracy result, not a health outcome. Cross-validated balanced accuracy of 70-95% and AUC above 78% across the six conditions; the model is a development-stage tool with one external memory-clinic validation sample. |
Classification accuracy for six dementia-associated conditions from plasma proteomics | cross-sectional study | 17,187 | ProtAIDe-Dx achieves cross-validated balanced classification accuracy of 70-95% and area under the curve of >78% across all conditions |
Nature medicine
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41917159 |
| Prognosis after dementia diagnosis (survival, nursing home admission) Care, carers and services | Treatment |
No direction reported
whyA prognosis meta-analysis: it pools time to death and to nursing home admission and compares no exposure. Women's shorter survival was attributable to later age at diagnosis. |
Median survival and time to nursing home admission after diagnosis | meta-analysis | 5,553,960 | Median survival from diagnosis appeared to be strongly dependent on age, ranging from 8.9 years at mean age 60 for women to 2.2 years at mean age 85 for men ... Median time to nursing home admission was 3.3 years (interquartile range 1.9 to 4.0). 13% of people were admitted in the first year after diagnosis, increasing to 57% at five years |
BMJ
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 39778977 |
| Respite care Care, carers and services | Treatment |
No effect
whyThree trials comparing respite with no respite found no significant benefit on any carer outcome; the four included trials were too different to pool. |
Carer burden and institutionalisation | systematic review | 753 | No significant benefit found on any caregiver outcome |
Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews
2014 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 24435941 |
| Safety / firearm decision aid Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Benefit
whyThe outcome is how prepared carers felt to decide about firearm access, not whether any injury was avoided. |
Preparation for Decision Making score | randomised trial | 500 | Preparation for Decision Making score +4.80 points (95% CI 0.53 to 9.07) vs control |
Annals of Internal Medicine
2024 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 39531391 |
| Sleep intervention for carers/dyads Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Benefit
whyDirection is for DREAMS START against treatment as usual: a 78% probability of being cost-effective at £20,000 per QALY, with cost and QALY differences individually non-significant. The clinical sleep result is in the table under its own row. |
Cost per QALY gained (within-trial cost-utility) | randomised trial | 377 | The mean incremental difference in QALYs per person with dementia was 0·016 more (95% CI 0·000 to 0·033) for the intervention group than for the TAU group, indicating no significant difference in quality of life. At a £20 000 per QALY gained decision threshold, there was a 78% probability that DREAMS START is cost-effective, compared with TAU |
The Lancet Healthy Longevity
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 40412418 |
| Sleep intervention for carers/dyads Care, carers and services | Treatment | Benefit | Sleep Disorders Inventory at 8 months | randomised trial | 377 | Adjusted mean difference in Sleep Disorders Inventory at 8 months: -4.70 (95% CI -7.65 to -1.74) |
The Lancet Healthy Longevity
2024 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 39366393 |
| Tau PET imaging (natural history of tau) Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Harm
whyDirection is for amyloid: it induced hyperconnectivity from tau epicentres to posterior tau-vulnerable regions, present already in preclinical AD, and this hyperconnectivity mediated amyloid's effect on faster tau accumulation. |
Amyloid-related functional hyperconnectivity of temporal-lobe tau epicentres, and its mediation of amyloid's effect on longitudinal tau accumulation | cohort study | 609 | not established — pubmed abstract reports no numeric effect size. |
Science Translational Medicine
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 39841807 |
| Tau PET imaging (natural history of tau) Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Harm
whyDirection is for greater spatial extent of tau: it tracked memory in unimpaired people and executive function in MCI and dementia better than a temporal meta-ROI, and tau spread fastest in unimpaired and MCI participants. Most amyloid-positive participants followed Braak staging, with substantial regional heterogeneity within each stage. |
Spatial extent of abnormal tau over time and its association with cognition | cohort study | 832 | More than 80% of amyloid-beta positive participants across diagnostic groups followed typical Braak staging, both cross-sectionally and longitudinally. Within each Braak stage, however, the pattern of abnormality demonstrated significant heterogeneity such that the overlap of abnormal regions across participants averaged less than 50% ... Accumulation of tau progressed more rapidly among cognitively unimpaired and participants with mild cognitive impairment (1.2 newly abnormal regions per year) compared to participants with Alzheimer's disease dementia (less than 1 newly abnormal region per year) |
Brain Communications
2024 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 38410618 |
| Tau PET imaging (natural history of tau) Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Harm
whyDirection is for regional tau burden: more tau went with less glucose metabolism (r = -0.49) and with worse domain-specific cognition, while amyloid was diffuse and only weakly related. An imaging association, not an exposure effect. |
Regional glucose hypometabolism and domain-specific cognitive deficits | cross-sectional study | 35 | there was a strong negative association between (18)F-AV1451 and (18)F-FDG uptake (Pearson's r = -0.49 ± 0.07, P < 0.001) and less pronounced positive associations between (11)C-PiB and (18)F-FDG (Pearson's r = 0.16 ± 0.09, P < 0.001) and (18)F-AV1451 and (11)C-PiB (Pearson's r = 0.18 ± 0.09, P < 0.001) |
Brain
2016 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 26962052 |
| Undiagnosed or delayed diagnosis Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Harm
whyDirection is for going undiagnosed. Whether the diagnosis itself would change survival is not tested here. |
4-year mortality | cohort study | 13,142 | 45.1% (US) and 76.1% (Brazil) of dementia cases undiagnosed; the abstract states undiagnosed dementia was associated with increased 4-year mortality compared with no dementia in both countries, without giving a hazard ratio |
Alzheimer's & Dementia
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 42056069 |
| Cognitive training Cognitive activity | Treatment |
Benefit
whyWhich intervention helped depended on severity: stimulation for cognition at any severity, training for global cognition in mild dementia, rehabilitation for function in mild dementia and for carer burden. Heterogeneity was high. |
Global cognitive function; functional ability; carer burden | systematic review | not stated | Cognitive stimulation effective for cognitive function at any severity; individual and group cognitive training effective for global cognition in mild dementia; cognitive rehabilitation effective for functional abilities in mild dementia and most effective for reducing carer burden |
GeroScience
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 39485657 |
| Ginkgo biloba Diet and supplements | Treatment |
Mixed
whyIn dementia there may be small-to-moderate benefits at six months (low-certainty evidence, I2 88-96%); in MCI ginkgo probably has little or no effect (moderate certainty); in subjective cognitive complaints the effect is very uncertain. Adverse events were similar to placebo. |
Global clinical status, cognition and activities of daily living at 6 months in dementia and in MCI; adverse events | meta-analysis | 10,613 | Dementia Thirteen studies (3288 participants) compared ginkgo with placebo for dementia. At six months, low-certainty evidence suggests that people taking ginkgo may have better global clinical status on a six-point Likert scale (lower is better; MD -0.06, 95% CI -1.00 to -0.20; I² = 88%; 5 studies, 1359 participants), better cognition measured by decreases on a short cognitive performance test (Syndrom-Kurztest; MD -1.86, 95% CI -3.48 to -0.24; I² = 96%; 9 studies, 2801 participants) ... Mild cognitive impairment ... moderate-certainty evidence suggests that ginkgo probably has little to no effect on global clinical status measured on the Clinical Dementia Rating Scale (MD -0.03, 95% CI -0.06 to 0.01; 3 studies, 631 participants; I² = 0%) |
The Cochrane database of systematic reviews
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41641880 |
| Physical activity (general / dose) Exercise and activity | Treatment |
Benefit
whyPools 27 small trials in people who already have dementia, and reports a much larger effect (SMD 0.69) than the single largest such trial, DAPA, which found none. |
Cognitive function | meta-analysis | 2,242 | SMD 0.691 (95% CrI 0.373-1.039) at 650 MET-min/week; aerobic SMD 0.909 (0.495-1.362) at 660 MET-min/week |
BMC Geriatrics
2024 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 38824515 |
| Physical activity (general / dose) Exercise and activity | Treatment |
Harm
whyThe primary cognitive outcome was significantly WORSE in the exercise arm (adjusted difference -1.4, 95% CI -2.6 to -0.2, favouring usual care). The authors conclude the programme does not slow cognitive impairment and treat the difference as of uncertain clinical importance. Fitness did improve. This is the sharpest counterweight to the observational exercise evidence. |
ADAS-cog at 12 months (primary) | randomised trial | 494 | ADAS-cog adjusted difference -1.4 (95% CI -2.6 to -0.2) favouring usual care |
BMJ
2018 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 29769247 |
| APP antisense oligonucleotide (preclinical) Medicines | Treatment |
Benefit
whyDirection is for antisense oligonucleotides lowering APP in neurons derived from people with an APP duplication or trisomy 21: reduced APP, rescued endolysosome and autophagy dysfunction and fewer intracellular and extracellular amyloid-β aggregates. Cell-culture work with no human outcome. |
APP protein, endolysosomal and autophagy function and amyloid-β aggregates in human stem-cell-derived neurons | None | not stated | not established — pubmed abstract reports no numeric effect size. |
Brain
2024 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 38527856 |
| Amyloid hypothesis (target rationale) Medicines | Treatment |
No direction reported
whyA retraction notice. It withdraws the 2006 Nature paper on Aβ*56 over figures showing "signs of excessive manipulation, including splicing, duplication and the use of an eraser tool", and reports no effect estimate. |
None measured (retraction notice) | None | not stated | not established — retraction notice read at nature.com (doi 10.1038/s41586-024-07691-8) via a reader proxy; pubmed carries no abstract for it. it retracts nature doi… |
Nature
2024 ⚠ Retraction notice — not a study PMID 38914864 |
| Amyloid hypothesis (target rationale) Medicines | Treatment |
No direction reported
whyAn investigative news feature reporting signs of image fabrication in papers on the Aβ*56 amyloid oligomer. It is not a study of an outcome and reports no effect estimate. |
None measured (investigative news feature) | None | not stated | not established — news feature; no effect estimate exists. the pubmed record carries a one-sentence abstract. |
Science
2022 ⚠ News feature — not a peer-reviewed study PMID 35862524 |
| Amyloid hypothesis (target rationale) Medicines | Treatment |
No direction reported
whyA perspective review of arguments for and against the amyloid hypothesis, concluding that amyloid-beta is likely necessary but not sufficient and acts early as a trigger of tau-mediated neurodegeneration. It reports no effect estimate. |
None measured (perspective review) | None | not stated | not established — review; the abstract reports no effect estimate. |
Nature Neuroscience
2015 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 26007213 |
| Anti-amyloid (other modality) Medicines | Treatment |
Benefit
whyPhase 1 target-engagement result in 19 people; no clinical outcome measured. |
CSF sAPPbeta (surrogate) | phase 1 trial | 19 | Single ascending dose 100 mg (9 patients): CSF sAPPbeta "-84.5% [1.3]" at month 1, "-61.1% [2.8]" at month 10. Multiple ascending dose 50 mg every 6 months (10 patients): "-63.7% (5.0)" at day 15 after the first dose, "-83.8% (2.3)" at month 1 after the second |
Alzheimer's & Dementia (AAIC 2025 conference abstract)
2025 ⚠ Conference abstract — not peer-reviewed PMC12739694 |
| Anti-amyloid antibody Medicines | Treatment |
Harm
whyThe review's subject is the harm itself: brain swelling and microbleeds caused by the drugs. |
ARIA incidence and severity | systematic review | not stated | "ARIA-E and ARIA-H occurred in 12.6% and 17.3% of participants on lecanemab, respectively" (CLARITY-AD); "ARIA-E and ARIA-H occurred in 24% and 31% of participants on donanemab, respectively" (TRAILBLAZER-ALZ-2); APOE e4 homozygotes "may have ~2.5 to 5 times greater risk for incident ARIA-E and for ARIA-H" |
Alzheimer's & Dementia
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 42015334 |
| Anti-amyloid antibody Medicines | Treatment |
Benefit
whyPrespecified and post hoc re-analyses of a trial already reported elsewhere, so this is not independent evidence. |
Progression between disease stages and to needing in-home support | phase 3 trial | not stated | HR 0.67 for MCI-to-mild-dementia progression; HR 0.50 for mild-to-moderate; HR 0.74 for progression to needing in-home support |
Neurology: Clinical Practice
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 42128444 |
| Anti-amyloid antibody Medicines | Treatment |
Mixed
whyA statistically detectable but very small cognitive effect (ADAS-Cog SMD -0.11) alongside 107 more cases of ARIA-E per 1,000. The reviewers' own conclusion is that removing amyloid does not seem to produce clinically meaningful effects — the sharpest disagreement in this table with how the individual trials were reported. |
ADAS-Cog and CDR-SB at 18 months; ARIA | meta-analysis | 20,342 | ADAS-Cog SMD -0.11 (95% CI -0.16 to -0.06); ARIA-E absolute risk difference +107 per 1,000 |
Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41985900 |
| Anti-amyloid antibody Medicines | Treatment |
No direction reported
whyMechanistic multi-omic profiling of blood from three ARIA-positive patients and three matched controls on lecanemab. It describes a clonally expanded cytotoxic CD8+ T-cell signature and estimates no clinical effect. |
Peripheral CD8+ T-cell signature in lecanemab-associated ARIA | case-control study | 6 | not established — pubmed abstract reports no numeric effect size. |
Nature Communications
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41617706 |
| Anti-amyloid antibody Medicines | Treatment |
Benefit
whyDirection is for lecanemab in mice: it significantly reduced amyloid pathology and neuritic damage, an effect absent with Fc-silenced antibody or without microglia despite intact plaque binding. Mouse work with no human outcome. |
Amyloid pathology and neuritic damage in a human-microglia xenograft mouse model given lecanemab, Fc-silenced lecanemab, or lecanemab with microglia depleted | None | not stated | not established — pubmed abstract reports no numeric effect size. |
Nature Neuroscience
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41286448 |
| Anti-amyloid antibody Medicines | Treatment |
Benefit
whyAn initial negative opinion was reversed on re-examination, with use restricted to APOE4 heterozygotes and non-carriers. The EPAR describes ARIA as affecting more than 1 in 10 people without giving a percentage. |
iADRS at 18 months, in the APOE4-restricted group | regulatory decision | 1,736 | "after 18 months of treatment, the iADRs score worsened by 11 points in patients who received Kisunla and 13 points in those given placebo" |
European Medicines Agency
2025 ⚠ Regulatory decision — not a study no DOI or PMID exists |
| Anti-amyloid antibody Medicines | Treatment |
Benefit
whyPhase Ib/IIa biomarker result in 13 people; no cognitive outcome measured. |
Amyloid PET and CSF biomarkers (surrogate) | phase 2 trial | 13 | 3.6 mg/kg cohort: "-89 centiloids after 12 weeks (n=13), and -107 centiloids after 28 weeks (n=12)" on amyloid PET; at week 25 CSF "total tau, phosphorylated tau181, and neurogranin were reduced by 30%, 34%, and 29%, respectively" |
Alzheimer's & Dementia (AAIC 2025 conference abstract)
2025 ⚠ Conference abstract — not peer-reviewed PMC12740797 |
| Anti-amyloid antibody Medicines | Treatment |
Harm
whyAgainst placebo: ARIA-E 24.4% vs 1.9%. Risk tracks APOE4 status and baseline imaging. |
ARIA-E and ARIA-H incidence | phase 3 trial | 3,030 | ARIA-E 24.4% vs 1.9% placebo; symptomatic ARIA-E 5.8%; serious ARIA-E 1.5% |
JAMA Neurology
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 40063015 |
| Anti-amyloid antibody Medicines | Treatment |
Benefit
whyDirection is for the slower titration schedule against standard dosing, on the drug's own side effect. Amyloid reduction was comparable. |
ARIA-E incidence at 24 weeks | phase 3 trial | 843 | ARIA-E 13.7% (modified titration) vs 23.7% (standard) at 24 weeks |
Alzheimer's & Dementia
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 40172303 |
| Anti-amyloid antibody Medicines | Treatment |
Benefit
whyAn open-label extension: after 18 months everyone is on the drug, so the comparison is early-start versus delayed-start, not drug versus placebo. |
Clinical decline over up to 36 months | phase 3 trial | not stated | "ARIA rates were low after 6 months and not associated with long-term progression. Across clinical and HRQoL endpoints, lecanemab-treated participants continued to benefit through 36 months. Separation between early and delayed start was maintained between 18 and 36 months." |
Alzheimer's & Dementia
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41355080 |
| Anti-amyloid antibody Medicines | Treatment |
No direction reported
whyA single-clinic safety series with no comparison group. It reports how often ARIA and infusion reactions happened in practice, which is useful, but it cannot estimate an effect of the drug in either direction. |
ARIA and infusion reactions in routine care | cohort study | 234 | ARIA 22%; symptomatic ARIA 5.7% overall, 27% in mild dementia vs 1.8% in MCI/very mild dementia |
JAMA Neurology
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 40354064 |
| Anti-amyloid antibody Medicines | Treatment |
No direction reported
whyA mechanistic tissue study describing which microglial states accompany amyloid removal (TREM2 and APOE upregulation correlating with antibody response and clearance; complement signalling contributing). It estimates no effect of immunisation on a clinical outcome. |
Microglial transcriptional states associated with amyloid clearance in post-mortem brain after active (AN1792) or passive (lecanemab) immunisation | None | not stated | not established — pubmed abstract reports no numeric effect size. |
Nature Medicine
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 40050704 |
| Anti-amyloid antibody Medicines | Treatment | Benefit | iADRS and CDR-SB at week 76 | regulatory decision | 1,736 | Week 76 differences from placebo: iADRS 2.92 (p<0.0001); ADAS-Cog13 -1.33 (p=0.0006); ADCS-iADL 1.70 (p=0.0001); CDR-SB -0.70 (p<0.0001) |
U.S. Food and Drug Administration
2024 ⚠ Regulatory decision — not a study no DOI or PMID exists |
| Anti-amyloid antibody Medicines | Treatment |
No direction reported
whyCorporate announcement discontinuing a product and terminating its confirmatory trial. It reports no clinical outcome, so no direction exists to record. |
None reported | company announcement | not stated | not established — the announcement reports a business decision and states the move was not related to safety or efficacy, so there is no effect estimate to quote. |
Biogen Inc. press release
2024 ⚠ Press release — not a study no DOI or PMID exists |
| Anti-amyloid antibody Medicines | Treatment |
Mixed
whyCHMP refused the drug, then on re-examination recommended it only for people with one or no APOE4 copy, where the ARIA rates are lower. Benefit on cognition and harm from ARIA in the same document, with the restriction as the regulator's way of balancing them. |
CDR-SB at 18 months and ARIA rates, in the APOE4-restricted group | regulatory decision | 1,521 | "After 18 months of treatment, patients treated with Leqembi had a smaller increase in CDR-SB score than those who received placebo (1.22 versus 1.75)"; "8.9% of those with only one or no copy of ApoE4 experienced ARIA-E, compared with 12.6% of all patients ... 12.9% of patients in the restricted population experienced ARIA-H compared with 16.9% of the broader population"; placebo figures 1.3% and 6.8% |
European Medicines Agency
2024 ⚠ Regulatory decision — not a study no DOI or PMID exists |
| Anti-amyloid antibody Medicines | Treatment |
Mixed
whyBenefits were statistically present but every one fell below the minimum clinically important difference, against a number needed to harm of 9 for ARIA-oedema. Agrees with the Cochrane review and not with the trial reports. |
Cognitive and functional scales against the MCID; ARIA | meta-analysis | 23,202 | CDR-SB mean difference -0.18 (95% CI -0.34 to -0.03), below the MCID; ARIA-oedema NNH 9 |
Annals of Family Medicine
2024 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 38253509 |
| Anti-amyloid antibody Medicines | Treatment |
Mixed
whyApproved on amyloid reduction (surrogate) while reporting higher ARIA rates than placebo; the notice reports no cognitive outcome. |
Amyloid PET (surrogate marker); ARIA rates | regulatory decision | not stated | not established — the library recorded "aria-e in 10% of lecanemab patients vs 1% placebo; aria-h in 6% vs 5%". investors.biogen.com timed out on repeated attempts… |
U.S. Food and Drug Administration (announced via Biogen press release)
2023 ⚠ Regulatory decision — not a study no DOI or PMID exists |
| Anti-amyloid antibody Medicines | Treatment | Benefit | CDR-SB (clinical progression) at 18 months | regulatory decision | 1,795 | "Leqembi demonstrated a statistically significant and clinically meaningful reduction of decline from baseline to 18 months on the primary endpoint, the Clinical Dementia Rating Scale Sum of Boxes score, compared to placebo" — the notice gives no numeric CDR-SB difference |
U.S. Food and Drug Administration
2023 ⚠ Regulatory decision — not a study no DOI or PMID exists |
| Anti-amyloid antibody Medicines | Treatment |
Benefit
whyLess decline than placebo, alongside infusion reactions and ARIA. |
CDR-SB at 18 months | phase 3 trial | 1,795 | Adjusted mean CDR-SB change 1.21 (lecanemab) vs. 1.66 (placebo); difference -0.45 (95% CI -0.67 to -0.23, P<0.001) |
New England Journal of Medicine
2023 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 36449413 |
| Anti-amyloid antibody Medicines | Treatment | Benefit | iADRS at 76 weeks | phase 3 trial | 1,736 | iADRS change at 76 weeks: -6.02 (95% CI -7.01 to -5.03) donanemab vs -9.27 (-10.23 to -8.31) placebo in the low/medium tau population (difference 3.25, 95% CI 1.88-4.62; P<.001), and -10.2 vs -13.1 in the combined population (difference 2.92, 95% CI 1.51-4.33). CDR-SB difference -0.67 (95% CI -0.95 to -0.40) |
JAMA
2023 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 37459141 |
| Anti-amyloid antibody Medicines | Treatment |
Benefit
whyPhase 1 dose-finding. The outcome is amyloid clearance; no cognitive outcome was measured. |
Amyloid PET clearance (surrogate) | randomised trial | 41 | "On 2,800 mg, every participant dropped below the amyloid positivity threshold within three months"; "After six months, plaque was dose-dependently reduced in all cohorts" |
Presented at AD/PD 2023 Conference (Gothenburg, Sweden); covered by ALZFORUM and NeurologyLive
2023 ⚠ Conference abstract — not peer-reviewed no DOI or PMID exists |
| Anti-amyloid antibody Medicines | Treatment |
Mixed
whyTwo identically designed trials disagreed: EMERGE met its primary endpoint, ENGAGE did not. |
CDR-SB at 78 weeks | phase 3 trial | 3,285 | EMERGE: CDR-SB difference -0.39 vs. placebo (95% CI -0.69 to -0.09; P=.012); ENGAGE: CDR-SB difference +0.03 vs. placebo (95% CI -0.26 to 0.33; P=.833) |
Journal of Prevention of Alzheimer's Disease
2022 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 35542991 |
| Anti-amyloid antibody Medicines | Treatment |
No direction reported
whyA coverage determination. It sets the conditions under which Medicare pays and reports no effect estimate. |
Coverage policy | coverage determination | not stated | not established — checked the cms page directly: it states coverage conditions and registry requirements only, with no effect estimate or adverse-event rate. |
Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services
2022 ⚠ Regulatory decision — not a study no DOI or PMID exists |
| Anti-amyloid antibody Medicines | Treatment |
Benefit
whyBenefit is on the surrogate marker only: the approval rested on amyloid reduction, not on confirmed clinical benefit, and the confirmatory trial was later terminated. |
Amyloid PET (surrogate marker) | regulatory decision | not stated | not established — the library recorded "amyloid-pet reduction of 71% (emerge) and 59% (engage), both p<0.0001". investors.biogen.com timed out on repeated attempts… |
U.S. Food and Drug Administration (announced via Biogen press release)
2021 ⚠ Regulatory decision — not a study no DOI or PMID exists |
| Anti-tau therapy Medicines | Treatment |
No effect
whyCo-primary endpoints were not met at 52 weeks. The comparator was a low dose of the same drug rather than placebo, which the authors say masked any separation; they report separation in the MCI subgroup only at 78 and 104 weeks. |
ADAS-cog11 and ADCS-ADL23 at 52 weeks (co-primary) | phase 3 trial | 598 | "It was not possible to demonstrate significant differences on the co-primary clinical endpoints (ADAS-cog11 and ADCS-ADL23) at 52 weeks due to symptomatic activity in the control arm." In MCI, ADAS-cog13 differences between early- and delayed-start HMTM 16 mg/day reached p=0.0291 at 78 weeks and p=0.0308 at 104 weeks; NfL progression fell (p=0.0291) and tau pathology (p-tau217) fell (p=0.0165) in MCI |
The Journal of Prevention of Alzheimer's Disease
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41570392 |
| Anti-tau therapy Medicines | Treatment |
No effect
whyThe primary endpoint was not met: the low dose showed no clinically meaningful benefit and the 3 mg dose showed 32% greater progression than placebo, with more serious adverse events. Less whole-brain volume loss on MRI is a surrogate finding. |
iADRS disease-progression ratio at 100 weeks (primary); tau PET, brain volume, adverse events | phase 2 trial | 327 | The disease progression ratio relative to placebo was 0.84 (95% credible interval [CrI], 0.66-1.04) for the ceperognastat 0.75 mg group and 1.32 (CrI, 1.10-1.58) for the ceperognastat 3 mg group, corresponding to 16% less and 32% greater progression, respectively. No benefits were demonstrated for secondary clinical end points |
JAMA
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 42441396 |
| Anti-tau therapy Medicines | Treatment |
No effect
whyThe primary clinical endpoint (CDR-SB) was not met in the overall population. The tau figures are a biomarker outcome, not a clinical one. |
CDR-SB (primary); tau PET accumulation | phase 2 trial | 466 | "Slowed the rate of tau accumulation versus placebo in key brain regions by 33%-58%" overall and "by 63%-67%" in the low-tau or APOE4 non-carrier subgroup; "In the overall study population, no beneficial effect of low- or high-dose bepranemab compared with placebo was observed on the primary endpoint"; ADAS-Cog14 decline slowed 21-25% |
UCB press release (data presented at CTAD 2024)
2024 ⚠ Press release — not a study no DOI or PMID exists |
| Anti-tau therapy Medicines | Treatment |
No effect
whyADAS-Cog11 showed slower decline, but the co-primary functional endpoint (ADCS-ADL) did not differ and the authors classify the study as negative. |
ADCS-ADL and ADAS-Cog11 (co-primary) at week 49 | phase 2 trial | 272 | "At week 49, the semorinemab arm demonstrated a 42.2% reduction (-2.89 points, 95% CI -4.56 to -1.21, p = 0.0008) in decline on the ADAS-Cog11 (coprimary endpoint) relative to the placebo arm"; ADCS-ADL difference -0.83 points (95% CI -3.39 to 1.72, p = 0.52), with no difference on MMSE or CDR-SB |
Neurology
2023 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 37643887 |
| Anti-tau therapy Medicines | Treatment |
Benefit
whyPhase 1b safety and target-engagement result: adverse events were all mild or moderate with no serious events on MAPTRx, and CSF total tau fell dose-dependently by more than 50% in the two highest-dose groups. No clinical outcome was measured. |
Safety (primary) and CSF total tau (exploratory target engagement) in mild Alzheimer's disease | phase 1 trial | 46 | Adverse events were reported in 94% of MAPTRx-treated patients and 75% of placebo-treated patients; all were mild or moderate. No serious adverse events were reported in MAPTRx-treated patients. Dose-dependent reduction in the CSF total-tau concentration was observed with greater than 50% mean reduction from baseline at 24 weeks post-last dose in the 60 mg (four doses) and 115 mg (two doses) MAPTRx groups |
Nature Medicine
2023 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 37095250 |
| Anticholinergic / benzodiazepine burden Medicines | Treatment | Harm | 180-day mortality | case-control study | 139,103 | 180-day mortality HR 1.41 (95% CI 1.38-1.44) for benzodiazepines; HR 1.16 (95% CI 1.12-1.20) for antipsychotics |
JAMA Network Open
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41085983 |
| Antipsychotics (harms / discontinuation) Medicines | Treatment |
Benefit
whyDirection is for STOPPING the antipsychotic: discontinuers were hospitalised less than matched continuers. |
Hospitalisation, pneumonia and urinary tract infection | cohort study | 4,222 | All-cause hospitalisation HR 0.83 (95% CI 0.72-0.96); pneumonia hospitalisation HR 0.51 (0.29-0.90) |
Alzheimer's Research & Therapy
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 42410659 |
| Antipsychotics (harms / discontinuation) Medicines | Treatment |
Benefit
whyDirection is for discontinuation: tapering after 12 weeks lowered the 24-month absolute risk of delirium and fracture versus continuing, with no difference in stroke, pneumonia or death. Results were similar for abrupt discontinuation and after 24 weeks. |
24-month risk of delirium, fracture, stroke, pneumonia and death after tapering or stopping antipsychotics versus continuing | cohort study | 24,822 | Compared with continuation after 12 weeks of treatment, estimated risks of delirium and fracture under the tapering strategy corresponded to 24-month ARDs of -2·46% (95% CI -4·10 to -1·27) and -2·80% (-4·14 to -1·29), respectively. Estimated risks for stroke, pneumonia, and all-cause mortality were similar between strategies |
The lancet. Healthy longevity
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 42302797 |
| Antipsychotics (harms / discontinuation) Medicines | Treatment | Harm | 180-day mortality | case-control study | 139,103 | 180-day mortality HR 1.41 (95% CI 1.38-1.44) for benzodiazepines; HR 1.16 (95% CI 1.12-1.20) for antipsychotics |
JAMA Network Open
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41085983 |
| Antipsychotics (harms / discontinuation) Medicines | Treatment |
Harm
whyWider range of harms than regulatory alerts had flagged, with the highest risks soon after starting. No increase in ventricular arrhythmia. |
Stroke, pneumonia, venous thromboembolism, MI, heart failure, fracture, acute kidney injury | cohort study | 173,910 | Pneumonia HR 2.19 (95% CI 2.10-2.28); stroke HR 1.61 (1.52-1.71); absolute 90-day pneumonia risk difference 2.99% |
BMJ
2024 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 38631737 |
| Antiviral (valacyclovir) for HSV-seropositive Alzheimer's Medicines | Treatment |
Harm
whyDirection is for valacyclovir: cognition worsened more on the drug than on placebo on the primary outcome (between-group difference 3.93 ADAS-Cog points, P = .01); function, amyloid PET and tau PET did not differ. The authors conclude it is not recommended. |
ADAS-Cog change at 78 weeks (primary); ADCS-ADL, amyloid PET and tau PET | phase 2 trial | 120 | At 78 weeks, the LSM change in the 11-item ADAS-Cognitive Subscale score was 10.86 (95% CI, 8.80 to 12.91) in the valacyclovir group vs 6.92 (95% CI, 4.88 to 8.97) in the placebo group, indicating greater cognitive worsening with valacyclovir than placebo (between-group difference, 3.93 [95% CI, 1.03 to 6.83]; P = .01). The LSM change in the ADCS-ADL Scale score at 78 weeks was -13.78 (95% CI, -17.00 to -10.56) in the valacyclovir group vs -10.16 (95% CI, -13.37 to -6.96) in the placebo group (between-group difference, -3.62 [95% CI, -8.16 to 0.93]) |
JAMA
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41405855 |
| Cannabinoid (THC/CBD) for agitation in severe dementia Medicines | Treatment |
No effect
whyNo difference from placebo on the primary agitation outcome or other main behavioural outcomes. As-needed psychotropic use was lower during the active period, and no serious drug-related adverse events occurred. |
Agitation on the Cohen-Mansfield Agitation Inventory (primary); as-needed psychotropic use; safety | randomised trial | 25 | not established — pubmed abstract results: "no significant difference was observed between active treatment and placebo for the cmai and other main behavioural… |
Age and ageing
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 42613673 |
| Cholinesterase inhibitor / memantine Medicines | Treatment |
Benefit
whyObservational: 80% of residents were on no anti-dementia drug, so who gets prescribed and who does not may itself track prognosis. |
All-cause mortality | cohort study | 25,358 | Adjusted hazard ratios for mortality vs no anti-dementia drug: "HR: 0.826, 95%CI 0.769 to 0.888 for AChEI; 0.857, 95%CI 0.795 to 0.923 for memantine; 0.742, 95%CI 0.640 to 0.861 for AChEI plus memantine" |
Alzheimer's Research & Therapy
2024 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 38812028 |
| Cholinesterase inhibitor / memantine Medicines | Treatment |
Benefit
whyCholinesterase inhibitors, not memantine: -0.39 MMSE points a year against -2.50 with no treatment. The mortality benefit held only in the first year. Registry data with weighting, not a trial. |
MMSE decline per year; mortality | cohort study | 1,095 | MMSE change: -0.39 points/year (95% CI -0.96 to 0.18) with cholinesterase inhibitors vs -2.49 (-4.02 to -0.97) with memantine and -2.50 (-4.28 to -0.73) with non-use. Mortality in the first year after diagnosis: adjusted HR 0.66 (95% CI 0.46 to 0.94) |
Alzheimer's & Dementia
2024 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 39177108 |
| GLP-1 receptor agonist Medicines | Treatment | No effect | CDR-SB | phase 3 trial | 3,808 | EVOKE difference -0.08 (95% CI -0.35 to 0.20); EVOKE+ difference 0.10 (95% CI -0.17 to 0.38) |
The Lancet
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41865758 |
| GLP-1 receptor agonist Medicines | Treatment |
No effect
whyPrimary outcome null. One secondary cognitive measure (ADAS-Exec) favoured liraglutide on an unadjusted test; ADCS-ADL and CDR-SB did not. |
Cerebral glucose metabolic rate at 52 weeks (primary) | phase 2 trial | 204 | Cerebral glucose metabolism difference -0.17 (95% CI -0.39 to 0.06, p=0.14); CDR-SB -0.06 (95% CI -0.57 to 0.44) |
Nature Medicine
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41326666 |
| Gene therapy delivering APOE2 / APOE2-Christchurch (preclinical) Medicines | Treatment |
Benefit
whyDirection is for AAVrh.10 delivery of APOE2 with the Christchurch mutation in mice: both vectors suppressed amyloid, but only the Christchurch variant also suppressed tau tangles and glial activation in tau mice and outperformed plain APOE2 behaviourally. Mouse work with no human outcome. |
Amyloid and tau pathology, glial activation and behaviour in APOE4-humanised mouse models | None | not stated | not established — pubmed abstract reports no numeric effect size. |
Molecular Therapy
2024 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 39511891 |
| Microglia / neuroinflammation target (preclinical) Medicines | Treatment |
Benefit
whyDirection is for peripheral cancer in AD mice: tumour-secreted cystatin-C bound amyloid oligomers and activated microglial TREM2, enabling degradation of existing plaques and rescuing cognition; the effect was abolished by microglial deletion or mutation of TREM2 or cystatin-C. Mouse work with no human outcome. |
Amyloid plaque load and cognition in AD mice bearing peripheral tumours, and dependence on microglial TREM2 and cystatin-C | None | not stated | not established — pubmed abstract reports no numeric effect size. |
Cell
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41576952 |
| Microglia / neuroinflammation target (preclinical) Medicines | Treatment |
Benefit
whyDirection is for lowering PU.1 in microglia, which reduced the severity of amyloid pathology in mice; microglia-specific CD28 deficiency did the opposite and increased plaque load. Mouse work with no human outcome. |
Severity of amyloid pathology in mouse models | None | not stated | not established — pubmed abstract reports no numeric effect size. |
Nature
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41193812 |
| Microglia / neuroinflammation target (preclinical) Medicines | Treatment |
No direction reported
whyA descriptive transcriptional atlas: it maps expression changes, isoform usage, co-expression modules and disease subtypes in microglia from post-mortem brains and estimates no effect of an exposure. |
Microglial gene-expression changes associated with dementia severity and neuropathological lesions (ex vivo human microglia) | None | 189 | not established — pubmed abstract reports no numeric effect size. |
Nature Neuroscience
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 40760184 |
| Microglia / neuroinflammation target (preclinical) Medicines | Treatment |
Benefit
whyDirection is for deleting TIM-3 in microglia: it increased phagocytic activity, shifted microglia to the disease-associated state, reduced amyloid pathology and improved cognitive impairment in 5xFAD mice. Mouse work with no human outcome. |
Microglial phagocytosis, amyloid pathology and cognition in 5xFAD mice after microglia-targeted deletion of TIM-3 (Havcr2) | None | not stated | not established — pubmed abstract reports no numeric effect size. |
Nature
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 40205047 |
| Microglia / neuroinflammation target (preclinical) Medicines | Treatment |
Benefit
whyDirection is for blocking the ZBP1-RIPK1 axis: genetic deletion of Zbp1 or inhibition of RIPK1 attenuated neuroinflammation, amyloid pathology and behavioural deficits in AD mice, after showing that amyloid-induced oxidised mitochondrial DNA forms Z-DNA sensed by ZBP1 in microglia. Mouse work with no human outcome. |
Neuroinflammation, amyloid pathology and behavioural deficits in an AD mouse model after Zbp1 deletion or RIPK1 inhibition | None | not stated | not established — pubmed abstract reports no numeric effect size. |
Immunity
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 40902587 |
| Microglia / neuroinflammation target (preclinical) Medicines | Treatment |
Benefit
whyDirection is for removing the granzyme K-producing CD103-negative CD8+ T cells: their ablation ameliorated cognitive decline and reduced neuropathology in 3xTg-AD mice, and granzyme K caused neuronal dysfunction and tau hyperphosphorylation via PAR-1. Mouse and cell work with no human outcome. |
Cognitive decline and neuropathology in 3xTg-AD mice after ablation of brain CD103-negative CD8+ T cells, and granzyme K-PAR-1 neurotoxicity in cells | None | not stated | not established — pubmed abstract reports no numeric effect size. |
Nature Communications
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 40993111 |
| Microglia / neuroinflammation target (preclinical) Medicines | Treatment |
Benefit
whyDirection is for inhibiting C1q, C3 or the microglial receptor CR3, which reduced phagocytic microglia and early synapse loss; C1q was necessary for soluble amyloid-beta oligomers to damage synapses. Mouse work with no human outcome. |
Early synapse loss in Alzheimer mouse models | None | not stated | not established — pubmed abstract reports no numeric effect size. |
Science
2016 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 27033548 |
| Microglia / neuroinflammation target (preclinical) Medicines | Treatment |
Benefit
whyDirection is for NLRP3 or caspase-1 deficiency, which largely protected the mice from spatial memory loss and reduced amyloid deposition; the human data are limited to raised active caspase-1 in post-mortem MCI and Alzheimer brains. |
Spatial memory loss and amyloid deposition in APP/PS1 mice | None | not stated | not established — pubmed abstract reports no numeric effect size. |
Nature
2013 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 23254930 |
| Other investigational drug Medicines | Treatment |
No effect
whyThe trial did not meet its primary endpoint at any of three doses despite sustained target engagement (lower CSF soluble TREM2, higher osteopontin); the most frequent adverse events were MRI changes resembling ARIA. |
Change from baseline in CDR-SB at week 96 versus placebo (primary endpoint) with the TREM2 agonist antibody AL002 | phase 2 trial | 381 | least squares mean difference versus placebo (95% confidence interval) at week 96: 15 mg kg-1 -0.31 (-1.61 to 0.98), 40 mg kg-1 0.13 (-1.18 to 1.43) and 60 mg kg-1 -0.17 (-1.49 to 1.15); P > 0.05 from mixed-effects model for repeated measures |
Nature Medicine
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41787076 |
| Other investigational drug Medicines | Treatment | No effect | ADAS-Cog12 and ADCS-ADL (co-primary) at week 52 | phase 3 trial | 804 | ADAS-COG12 change from baseline to week 52: 2.8 (SE 0.36) simufilam vs 3.2 (0.36) placebo, difference -0.39 (0.50), P=0.43. ADCS-ADL: -3.3 (0.44) vs -3.8 (0.44), difference 0.51 (0.61), P=0.40 |
GlobeNewswire (company press release); trial registered as NCT04994483
2024 ⚠ Press release — not a study no DOI or PMID exists |
| Other investigational drug Medicines | Treatment |
No direction reported
whyA regulatory enforcement action, not a study. The SEC's order finds the reported Phase 2 biomarker data were manipulated by an unblinded consultant and its complaint alleges the full patient data "showed no measurable cognitive improvement in the patients' episodic memory"; it estimates no effect. |
Securities-fraud settlement over reported Phase 2 simufilam results | regulatory decision | not stated | not established — sec press release 2024-151, fetched from sec.gov via a reader proxy. it states civil penalties of $40 million (cassava), $175,000 (barbier) and… |
SEC Press Release / Administrative Order (Securities Act of 1933 Release No. 11311)
2024 ⚠ Regulatory decision — not a study no DOI or PMID exists |
| Other investigational drug Medicines | Treatment |
No direction reported
whyRetraction notices for five PLOS ONE papers by Wang and colleagues, two co-authored with a Cassava Sciences employee. They withdraw the papers over blot-image integrity and estimate no effect. |
None measured (retraction notices) | None | not stated | not established — retraction watch news post fetched from retractionwatch.com, quoting the plos one notice: "the pixel patterns in background areas of blot images… |
PLOS ONE (retraction notices, reported by Retraction Watch)
2022 ⚠ Retraction notice — not a study no DOI or PMID exists |
| Psychotropics for agitation / psychosis Medicines | Treatment |
Benefit
whyThe NPI-C agitation/aggression measure did not reach significance (p=0.094). |
Pittsburgh Agitation Scale over 3 weeks | phase 2 trial | 75 | PAS decline difference -0.74/week (p=0.015, ES 0.53); NPI-C A/A -1.26/week (p=0.094, ES 0.36) |
The American Journal of Geriatric Psychiatry
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41350162 |
| Psychotropics for agitation / psychosis Medicines | Treatment |
No effect
whyNot effective, and drug-related QT prolongation was observed. The randomised sample was smaller than planned. |
Clinically significant improvement in agitation at 12 weeks | phase 3 trial | 173 | Risk difference for clinically significant improvement 0.08 (95% CI -0.21 to 0.06) |
Nature Medicine
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 40133524 |
| Psychotropics for agitation / psychosis Medicines | Treatment |
No direction reported
whyA feasibility trial in 29 residents: designed to test whether the trial can be run, not powered for efficacy, and it reports no efficacy estimate. |
Feasibility, adherence and safety | randomised trial | 29 | 100% adherence; no withdrawals; 0 adverse reactions |
Age and Ageing
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 40479610 |
| Psychotropics for agitation / psychosis Medicines | Treatment |
Benefit
whyThe authors describe the reduction as small (-1.32 points). |
NPI apathy score at 6 weeks | phase 2 trial | 94 | NPI apathy change -1.32 points (95% CI -2.43 to -0.21) vs placebo |
The Lancet Neurology
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 39862881 |
| Psychotropics for agitation / psychosis Medicines | Treatment |
Benefit
whyA post hoc dementia subgroup of a randomised-withdrawal trial that was not designed or powered for it; 46 randomised responders. The authors say to read it cautiously. |
Psychosis relapse over up to 26 weeks | phase 3 trial | 76 | Psychosis relapse HR 0.031 (95% CI 0.010-0.103) vs placebo among 46 randomised responders |
BMC Neurology
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41286676 |
| Psychotropics for agitation / psychosis Medicines | Treatment |
Benefit
whyBoth doses beat placebo. Treatment-emergent adverse events were more common than placebo (84.6% at 2 mg, 76.8% at 1 mg, 73.8% placebo). |
Cohen-Mansfield Agitation Inventory at week 10 | phase 3 trial | not stated | CMAI change vs placebo: -7.2 (95% CI -10.0 to -4.3) at 2 mg; -3.7 (95% CI -6.8 to -0.7) at 1 mg |
Alzheimer's & Dementia
2024 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 39369280 |
| Tau propagation mechanism (preclinical target rationale) Medicines | Treatment |
No direction reported
whyA mechanism study: it shows Arc packages tau into extracellular vesicles and that cell-to-cell tau transmission is almost absent in Arc knockout mice, with Arc levels correlating with phosphorylated tau in human AD brain vesicles. It tests no intervention and estimates no effect on an outcome. |
Tau content and seeding potential of brain extracellular vesicles, and intercellular tau transmission, in tau-transgenic mice lacking Arc | None | not stated | not established — pubmed abstract reports no numeric effect size. |
Cell
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 42372723 |
| Tau propagation mechanism (preclinical target rationale) Medicines | Treatment |
Harm
whyDirection is for tau seeding activity: substantial hippocampal and neocortical seeding was present even without overt neocortical tangles and predicted region-specific cognitive performance and longitudinal decline; seeding and modification profiles tracked neuritic plaque density and separated AD from PART. |
Tau seeding activity and post-translational modifications in hippocampus and neocortex of Braak-matched AD neuropathologic change versus primary age-related tauopathy, and relation to cognition | None | 38 | not established — pubmed abstract reports no numeric effect size. |
Nature Communications
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 39984462 |
| Tau propagation mechanism (preclinical target rationale) Medicines | Treatment |
No direction reported
whyA model-building and screening study: it identifies over 500 genetic modifiers of tau propagation (including VPS29 and the UFMylation cascade) and shows UFMylation inhibition suppresses seeded propagation in vitro and in vivo. It estimates no effect on a clinical outcome. |
Seeding-induced tau propagation in human iPSC-derived 4R-P301S neurons, and genetic modifiers found by CRISPRi screen | None | not stated | not established — pubmed abstract reports no numeric effect size. |
Cell
2024 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 38582079 |
| Music therapy Sleep, mood and social life | Treatment |
No effect
whyNeither choir singing nor group music therapy beat standard care. Country was the strongest predictor of the differences between sites. |
MADRS depressive symptoms at 6 months | randomised trial | 1,021 | MADRS β 0.4 (95% CI -1.3 to 2.1) for choir singing; β 0.8 (95% CI -1.0 to 2.6) for group music therapy; neither significant |
The Lancet Healthy Longevity
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41380710 |
| Music therapy Sleep, mood and social life | Treatment |
Benefit
whyImproves depressive symptoms (moderate certainty) and overall behavioural problems (low certainty). No effect on agitation (SMD -0.05, 95% CI -0.27 to 0.17) and no evidence of long-term effects. Sits against the null MIDDEL trial on the same exposure. |
Depressive symptoms at end of treatment | meta-analysis | 1,720 | Depressive symptoms SMD -0.23 (95% CI -0.42 to -0.04); agitation SMD -0.05 (95% CI -0.27 to 0.17) |
Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 40049590 |