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Every row of the evidence table
One row per finding: what was tested, which way the result went, and how the study was built. The answer by area, and where the studies disagree, are on the main page.
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Showing 32 of 382 rows. One row per study per exposure: a study that tested two different things appears twice, once for each.
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| Exposure | Question | Direction | Outcome measured | Design | People | Effect size, as the source reported it | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blood biomarker test (p-tau217 / amyloid ratio) Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Harm
whyDirection is for chronic kidney disease as a source of false signal: at eGFR 45 versus 60, p-tau217 was 31-55% higher in amyloid-negative people on two immunoassays, a rise largely removed by using the %p-tau217 ratio. A test-validity result, not a health outcome. |
Plasma p-tau217 concentration by kidney function (eGFR) in amyloid-negative and amyloid-positive people | cross-sectional study | 202 | For an eGFR of 45 vs 60 in the A- cohort, the calculated percentage changes were +31%, +55%, and +19%, for ALZpath p-tau217, C2N p-tau217, and C2N %p-tau217, respectively. For the A+ cohort, the corresponding calculated percentage changes were +17%, +15%, and -5%, respectively |
Neurology
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 39823562 |
| Blood biomarkers (GFAP, NfL, p-tau217) for staging and prognosis Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Harm
whyDirection is for microglial activation: amyloid was associated with astrocyte reactivity across cortical regions only when microglia were activated, and that microglia-dependent reactivity related to cognitive impairment through tau phosphorylation and aggregation. |
Astrocyte reactivity (plasma GFAP) in relation to amyloid PET and microglial activation PET, and downstream tau and cognitive impairment | cross-sectional study | 352 | not established — pubmed abstract reports no numeric effect size. |
Nature Neuroscience
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41198899 |
| Blood biomarkers (GFAP, NfL, p-tau217) for staging and prognosis Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Harm
whyDirection is for higher baseline plasma GFAP: it detected abnormal CSF amyloid (AUC 0.79, 0.86 with APOE4) and predicted later conversion to Alzheimer's dementia (AUC 0.84); GFAP slopes were steeper in those who progressed. |
Detection of CSF-defined amyloid pathology and prediction of conversion to Alzheimer's dementia | cohort study | 160 | Baseline plasma GFAP could detect abnormal CSF Aβ42/40 and CSF Aβ42/T-tau with an AUC of 0.79 (95% CI 0.72-0.86) and 0.80 (95% CI 0.72-0.86), respectively. When also including APOE ε4 status as a predictor, the accuracy of the model to detect abnormal CSF Aβ42/40 status improved (AUC = 0.86, p = 0.02). Plasma GFAP predicted subsequent conversion to AD dementia with an AUC of 0.84 (95% CI 0.77-0.91) |
Alzheimer's Research & Therapy
2021 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 33773595 |
| Caregiving itself (exposure to the carer) Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Harm
whyDirection is for BEING a carer: carers were worse off than non-carers on every domain, with the largest gaps in depression and stress. |
Carer depression, stress, well-being and physical health | meta-analysis | not stated | Depression g=0.58; stress g=0.55; self-efficacy g=-0.54; well-being g=-0.40; physical health g=0.18 |
Psychology and Aging
2003 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 12825775 |
| Caregiving itself (exposure to the carer) Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Harm
whyOnly STRAINED carers were at higher risk (RR 1.63, 95% CI 1.00-2.65, with the interval touching 1). Carers who reported no strain showed nothing (RR 1.08), so it is the strain rather than the caregiving that carries the signal. |
4-year mortality in the carer | cohort study | 819 | RR 1.63 (95% CI 1.00-2.65) for strained caregivers vs. non-caregivers |
JAMA
1999 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 10605972 |
| Cost of dementia care Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Harm
whyDirection is for having AD dementia: lifetime formal-care costs of 2,440,000 SEK against 510,000 SEK for matched controls, with prescriptions and social care rising and specialist outpatient visits falling as the disease advanced. A cost result, not a health outcome. |
Lifetime formal-care costs after an AD dementia diagnosis versus matched controls, and care utilization by stage | cohort study | 20,366 | The estimated lifetime costs of formal care for AD dementia were 2,440,000 SEK (€212,174; $US230,189; 95% CI 2,088,000-2,793,000 SEK), compared with 510,000 SEK (€44,348; $US48,113; 95% CI 482,000-539,000 SEK) for matched controls |
PharmacoEconomics
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41920501 |
| Cost of dementia care Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Harm
whyDirection is for greater disease severity: mean annual costs rose from SEK 99,906 in MCI to SEK 795,617 in severe AD (SEK 57,625 to 668,073 in the amyloid-confirmed subset), driven by institutionalisation, home care and daytime support while outpatient costs fell. A cost result, not a health outcome. |
Mean annual direct medical and social costs by AD severity (MCI to severe), overall and in amyloid-confirmed patients, versus matched controls | cohort study | 95,853 | Mean annual costs for individuals with clinically diagnosed AD were SEK 99,906, SEK 290,972, SEK 479,524, and SEK 795,617 in mild cognitive impairment (MCI), mild, moderate, and severe AD. The mean annual costs for the population with both clinical diagnosis and amyloid-positive AD confirmation (N = 5610) were SEK 57,625, SEK 179,153, SEK 333,095, and SEK 668,073 in MCI, mild, moderate, and severe AD, respectively |
PharmacoEconomics
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 39485581 |
| Cost of dementia care Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Harm
whyDirection is for being on the Alzheimer's continuum: societal costs were 52% higher in subjective cognitive decline, 170% in MCI and 307% in AD dementia than in controls, and payer costs 26%, 85% and 36% higher. A cost result, not a health outcome. |
Excess annual costs from payer and societal perspectives in subjective cognitive decline, MCI and AD dementia versus controls | cross-sectional study | not stated | From a payer perspective, costs were elevated by 26% for SCD (adjusted mean 5,976€ [95%CI 4,598-7,355€]), 85% for MCI (8,795€ [6,200-11,391€]) and 36% for AD (6,454€ [2,796-10,111€]) compared to controls (4,754€ [3,586-5,922€]). Societal costs were elevated by 52% for SCD (adjusted mean 8,377€ [95%CI 6,009-10,746€]), 170% for MCI (14,886€ [9,524-20,248€]) and 307% for AD (22,481€ [9,994-34,969€]) compared to controls (5,522€ [3,814-7,230€]) |
Alzheimer's research & therapy
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 40571933 |
| Cost of dementia care Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Harm
whyDirection is for being non-Hispanic Black or Hispanic rather than non-Hispanic White: disease-course Medicare spending was higher ($165,730 and $160,442 versus $136,326), highest for Black beneficiaries in every phase and driven by high-cost services in the last year of life. A disparities result, not a biological effect of race. |
Disease-course Medicare expenditures (year before diagnosis to last year of life) by race and ethnicity | cohort study | not stated | Adjusted mean total Medicare expenditures for non-Hispanic (NH) Black ($165,730) and Hispanic beneficiaries with dementia ($160,442) exceeded corresponding expenditures for NH Whites ($136,326) ... The last year of life was responsible for the greatest cost contribution: $51,294 (NH Blacks), $47,469 (Hispanics), and $39,499 (NH Whites) |
Journal of the American Geriatrics Society
2024 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 38504583 |
| Cost of dementia care Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Harm
whyDirection is for dying with dementia rather than heart disease, cancer or other causes: total cost was higher ($287,038) and out-of-pocket spending 81% higher, consuming 32% of household wealth versus 11%. |
Total social cost and out-of-pocket spending in the last 5 years of life | cohort study | 1,702 | Average total cost per decedent with dementia ($287 038) was significantly greater than that of those who died of heart disease ($175 136), cancer ($173 383), or other causes ($197 286) (P < 0.001). Although Medicare expenditures were similar across groups, average out-of-pocket spending for patients with dementia ($61 522) was 81% higher than that for patients without dementia ($34 068) |
Annals of Internal Medicine
2015 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 26502320 |
| Cost of dementia care Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Harm
whyDirection is for living in the community rather than a nursing home: unadjusted costs were lower in the community, but after adjusting for functional impairment and comorbidity community care cost €11,344 more per year, mainly through informal care. A cost result, not a health outcome. |
Annual societal cost of care, community-dwelling versus nursing home residents | cross-sectional study | 176 | Unadjusted mean annual total costs including informal care were €29,930 ($43,997) for community-dwelling patients and €33,482 ($49,218) for patients living in nursing homes. However, multiple regression analysis controlling for age, sex, deficits in basic and instrumental activities of daily living and comorbidity showed that living in the community significantly increased total costs by €11,344 ($16,676; P < .01) compared with living in a nursing home, mainly due to higher costs of informal care (+€20,585; +$30,260; P < .001) |
Journal of the American Medical Directors Association
2014 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 24321877 |
| Cost of dementia care Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Harm
whyDirection is for having dementia: the attributable yearly cost per person was $41,689-$56,290 depending on how informal care is valued, a burden the authors call similar to heart disease and cancer. |
Yearly monetary cost per person attributable to dementia, and total US cost in 2010 | cohort study | 10,903 | The yearly monetary cost per person that was attributable to dementia was either $56,290 (95% confidence interval [CI], $42,746 to $69,834) or $41,689 (95% CI, $31,017 to $52,362), depending on the method used to value informal care. These individual costs suggest that the total monetary cost of dementia in 2010 was between $157 billion and $215 billion. Medicare paid approximately $11 billion of this cost |
New England Journal of Medicine
2013 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 23550670 |
| Cost-effectiveness of anti-amyloid antibody Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Harm
whyDirection is for value for money at current Australian prices: donanemab improved modelled QALYs (4.38 vs 4.01) but the ICER of $342,424 per QALY exceeded commonly cited willingness-to-pay thresholds. An unfavourable value result, not a clinical harm. |
Incremental cost per QALY of donanemab versus standard care in Australia | modelling study | not stated | Donanemab increased total healthcare costs ($300,689 vs. $178,121) and societal costs ($389,113 vs. $283,618) compared with standard care per capita, while improving health outcomes (4.38 vs. 4.01 QALYs) per capita. The ICER was $342,424 per QALY from the healthcare perspective and $294,701 per QALY from the societal perspective |
The Medical journal of Australia
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 42015793 |
| Cost-effectiveness of anti-amyloid antibody Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Harm
whyDirection is for value for money: three years of lecanemab gained 0.17 QALYs and the cost-effective price at 1 million SEK per QALY was 33,886 SEK a year, which the authors say makes it unlikely to be cost effective in Sweden at current US list prices. An unfavourable value result, not a clinical harm. |
Life-years and QALYs gained and the cost-effective annual price of lecanemab in Sweden at 1 million SEK per QALY | modelling study | not stated | Treatment with lecanemab over 3 years resulted in 0.13 LYs gained, 0.17 QALYs gained, and a net cost increase of 87,146 SEK (€1 = 11.5 SEK, $US1 = 10.6 SEK) due to administration and monitoring, before considering the cost of drug. The cost-effective price of lecanemab at a willingness-to-pay level of 1 million SEK per QALY was 33,886 SEK per year of treatment |
PharmacoEconomics
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 40730714 |
| Cost-effectiveness of anti-amyloid antibody Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Harm
whyDirection is for value for money at the current price: no lecanemab strategy was cost-effective against standard care alone, whichever diagnostic test was used; CSF-guided targeted treatment would become cost-effective below $5,100 per year. An unfavourable value result, not a clinical harm. |
Cost-effectiveness of lecanemab test-treat strategies versus standard care (cost per QALY) | modelling study | not stated | Neither targeted lecanemab treatment nor treatment unrestricted by APOE ε4 genotype was cost-effective vs SoC alone, regardless of the test used to diagnose patients with early-stage AD. However, CSF assay followed by targeted treatment would become cost-effective if lecanemab is priced below $5,100 per year |
Neurology
2024 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 38484190 |
| Cost-effectiveness of anti-amyloid antibody Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Harm
whyDirection is for chronic bi-weekly intravenous infusion relative to oral treatment: administration and monitoring cost $45,208 plus $6,095 caregiver burden, eroding 44% of treatment value, against 2% for an oral drug. A cost result for a hypothetical treatment, not a clinical harm. |
Direct medical cost, caregiver burden and preserved treatment value for five hypothetical disease-modifying treatments differing in route, frequency and duration | modelling study | not stated | Chronic bi-weekly infusion treatment had the highest direct medical cost ($45,208) and caregiver burden ($6,095), reducing the treatment value by 44%, while oral treatment with the lowest direct medical cost ($1,983) and caregiver burden ($457) reduced the treatment value by only 2% |
Journal of Prevention of Alzheimer's Disease
2024 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 39350384 |
| Cost-effectiveness of anti-amyloid antibody Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Harm
whyDirection is for value for money at the list price: the benchmark price ($8,900-$21,500 per year) sits below the $26,500 list price, the committee voted 15-0 that the drug represents low long-term value at that price and 12-3 that the evidence did not adequately demonstrate a net health benefit. An unfavourable value assessment, not a clinical harm. |
Health-benefit price benchmark for lecanemab and appraisal-committee votes on net benefit and value | modelling study | not stated | ICER has calculated a health-benefit price benchmark (HBPB) for lecanemab to be between $8,900 – $21,500 per year; Lecanemab has been approved by the FDA and has a list price of $26,500 per year; The panelists unanimously (15-0) found that lecanemab at its current pricing represents “low” long-term value for money; A majority of panelists (12-3) found that current evidence is not adequate to demonstrate a net health benefit of lecanemab when compared to supportive care alone |
ICER (independent health technology assessment report)
2023 ⚠ Report — not peer-reviewed no DOI or PMID exists |
| Cost-effectiveness of anti-amyloid antibody Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Harm
whyDirection is for value for money at the assumed $28,000 annual price: ICERs of $981,000/QALY (aducanumab) and $193,000/QALY (donanemab) exceed the $150,000/QALY threshold, so neither was cost-effective. An unfavourable value result, not a clinical harm. |
Incremental cost per QALY versus standard care, and value-based price | modelling study | not stated | Health care sector and societal ICERs relative to standard care were $981 000/QALY and $964 000/QALY, respectively, for aducanumab and $193 000/QALY and $176 000/QALY, respectively, for donanemab |
JAMA Neurology
2022 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 35344024 |
| Glymphatic function (MRI DTI-ALPS index) Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Harm
whyDirection is for a lower (worse) glymphatic index: it was lowest in AD dementia and predicted faster amyloid accumulation, amyloid-positive transition, atrophy, clinical progression and cognitive decline, with the cognitive effect fully mediated by amyloid PET and atrophy. |
Amyloid PET accumulation, amyloid-positive transition, atrophy, clinical progression and cognitive decline by baseline DTI-ALPS index | cohort study | 419 | not established — pubmed abstract reports no numeric effect size. |
Alzheimer's & Dementia
2024 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 38501315 |
| Lewy body co-pathology (CSF seed amplification) Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Harm
whyDirection is for co-existing Lewy body pathology in people with Alzheimer pathology: worse baseline cognition, faster global cognitive decline and more posterior hypometabolism than Alzheimer pathology alone. The seed amplification assay itself agreed closely with autopsy (96.3% sensitivity, 96.4% specificity in 61 cases). |
Baseline cognition, rate of global cognitive decline and cortical hypometabolism in people with Alzheimer pathology | cohort study | 795 | 184 (23.1%) had no biomarker evidence of AD/LB pathology, 39 (4.9%) had isolated LB pathology (AD-LB+), 395 (49.7%) had only AD pathology (AD+LB-), and 177 (22.3%) had both pathologies (AD+LB+) ... Neuropathological examination (n = 61) showed high sensitivity (26/27, 96.3%) and specificity (27/28, 96.4%) of the SAA-test |
Nature Communications
2024 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 39277604 |
| Tau PET imaging (natural history of tau) Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Harm
whyDirection is for amyloid: it induced hyperconnectivity from tau epicentres to posterior tau-vulnerable regions, present already in preclinical AD, and this hyperconnectivity mediated amyloid's effect on faster tau accumulation. |
Amyloid-related functional hyperconnectivity of temporal-lobe tau epicentres, and its mediation of amyloid's effect on longitudinal tau accumulation | cohort study | 609 | not established — pubmed abstract reports no numeric effect size. |
Science Translational Medicine
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 39841807 |
| Tau PET imaging (natural history of tau) Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Harm
whyDirection is for greater spatial extent of tau: it tracked memory in unimpaired people and executive function in MCI and dementia better than a temporal meta-ROI, and tau spread fastest in unimpaired and MCI participants. Most amyloid-positive participants followed Braak staging, with substantial regional heterogeneity within each stage. |
Spatial extent of abnormal tau over time and its association with cognition | cohort study | 832 | More than 80% of amyloid-beta positive participants across diagnostic groups followed typical Braak staging, both cross-sectionally and longitudinally. Within each Braak stage, however, the pattern of abnormality demonstrated significant heterogeneity such that the overlap of abnormal regions across participants averaged less than 50% ... Accumulation of tau progressed more rapidly among cognitively unimpaired and participants with mild cognitive impairment (1.2 newly abnormal regions per year) compared to participants with Alzheimer's disease dementia (less than 1 newly abnormal region per year) |
Brain Communications
2024 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 38410618 |
| Tau PET imaging (natural history of tau) Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Harm
whyDirection is for regional tau burden: more tau went with less glucose metabolism (r = -0.49) and with worse domain-specific cognition, while amyloid was diffuse and only weakly related. An imaging association, not an exposure effect. |
Regional glucose hypometabolism and domain-specific cognitive deficits | cross-sectional study | 35 | there was a strong negative association between (18)F-AV1451 and (18)F-FDG uptake (Pearson's r = -0.49 ± 0.07, P < 0.001) and less pronounced positive associations between (11)C-PiB and (18)F-FDG (Pearson's r = 0.16 ± 0.09, P < 0.001) and (18)F-AV1451 and (11)C-PiB (Pearson's r = 0.18 ± 0.09, P < 0.001) |
Brain
2016 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 26962052 |
| Undiagnosed or delayed diagnosis Care, carers and services | Treatment |
Harm
whyDirection is for going undiagnosed. Whether the diagnosis itself would change survival is not tested here. |
4-year mortality | cohort study | 13,142 | 45.1% (US) and 76.1% (Brazil) of dementia cases undiagnosed; the abstract states undiagnosed dementia was associated with increased 4-year mortality compared with no dementia in both countries, without giving a hazard ratio |
Alzheimer's & Dementia
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 42056069 |
| Physical activity (general / dose) Exercise and activity | Treatment |
Harm
whyThe primary cognitive outcome was significantly WORSE in the exercise arm (adjusted difference -1.4, 95% CI -2.6 to -0.2, favouring usual care). The authors conclude the programme does not slow cognitive impairment and treat the difference as of uncertain clinical importance. Fitness did improve. This is the sharpest counterweight to the observational exercise evidence. |
ADAS-cog at 12 months (primary) | randomised trial | 494 | ADAS-cog adjusted difference -1.4 (95% CI -2.6 to -0.2) favouring usual care |
BMJ
2018 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 29769247 |
| Anti-amyloid antibody Medicines | Treatment |
Harm
whyThe review's subject is the harm itself: brain swelling and microbleeds caused by the drugs. |
ARIA incidence and severity | systematic review | not stated | "ARIA-E and ARIA-H occurred in 12.6% and 17.3% of participants on lecanemab, respectively" (CLARITY-AD); "ARIA-E and ARIA-H occurred in 24% and 31% of participants on donanemab, respectively" (TRAILBLAZER-ALZ-2); APOE e4 homozygotes "may have ~2.5 to 5 times greater risk for incident ARIA-E and for ARIA-H" |
Alzheimer's & Dementia
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 42015334 |
| Anti-amyloid antibody Medicines | Treatment |
Harm
whyAgainst placebo: ARIA-E 24.4% vs 1.9%. Risk tracks APOE4 status and baseline imaging. |
ARIA-E and ARIA-H incidence | phase 3 trial | 3,030 | ARIA-E 24.4% vs 1.9% placebo; symptomatic ARIA-E 5.8%; serious ARIA-E 1.5% |
JAMA Neurology
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 40063015 |
| Anticholinergic / benzodiazepine burden Medicines | Treatment | Harm | 180-day mortality | case-control study | 139,103 | 180-day mortality HR 1.41 (95% CI 1.38-1.44) for benzodiazepines; HR 1.16 (95% CI 1.12-1.20) for antipsychotics |
JAMA Network Open
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41085983 |
| Antipsychotics (harms / discontinuation) Medicines | Treatment | Harm | 180-day mortality | case-control study | 139,103 | 180-day mortality HR 1.41 (95% CI 1.38-1.44) for benzodiazepines; HR 1.16 (95% CI 1.12-1.20) for antipsychotics |
JAMA Network Open
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41085983 |
| Antipsychotics (harms / discontinuation) Medicines | Treatment |
Harm
whyWider range of harms than regulatory alerts had flagged, with the highest risks soon after starting. No increase in ventricular arrhythmia. |
Stroke, pneumonia, venous thromboembolism, MI, heart failure, fracture, acute kidney injury | cohort study | 173,910 | Pneumonia HR 2.19 (95% CI 2.10-2.28); stroke HR 1.61 (1.52-1.71); absolute 90-day pneumonia risk difference 2.99% |
BMJ
2024 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 38631737 |
| Antiviral (valacyclovir) for HSV-seropositive Alzheimer's Medicines | Treatment |
Harm
whyDirection is for valacyclovir: cognition worsened more on the drug than on placebo on the primary outcome (between-group difference 3.93 ADAS-Cog points, P = .01); function, amyloid PET and tau PET did not differ. The authors conclude it is not recommended. |
ADAS-Cog change at 78 weeks (primary); ADCS-ADL, amyloid PET and tau PET | phase 2 trial | 120 | At 78 weeks, the LSM change in the 11-item ADAS-Cognitive Subscale score was 10.86 (95% CI, 8.80 to 12.91) in the valacyclovir group vs 6.92 (95% CI, 4.88 to 8.97) in the placebo group, indicating greater cognitive worsening with valacyclovir than placebo (between-group difference, 3.93 [95% CI, 1.03 to 6.83]; P = .01). The LSM change in the ADCS-ADL Scale score at 78 weeks was -13.78 (95% CI, -17.00 to -10.56) in the valacyclovir group vs -10.16 (95% CI, -13.37 to -6.96) in the placebo group (between-group difference, -3.62 [95% CI, -8.16 to 0.93]) |
JAMA
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41405855 |
| Tau propagation mechanism (preclinical target rationale) Medicines | Treatment |
Harm
whyDirection is for tau seeding activity: substantial hippocampal and neocortical seeding was present even without overt neocortical tangles and predicted region-specific cognitive performance and longitudinal decline; seeding and modification profiles tracked neuritic plaque density and separated AD from PART. |
Tau seeding activity and post-translational modifications in hippocampus and neocortex of Braak-matched AD neuropathologic change versus primary age-related tauopathy, and relation to cognition | None | 38 | not established — pubmed abstract reports no numeric effect size. |
Nature Communications
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 39984462 |