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One row per finding: what was tested, which way the result went, and how the study was built. The answer by area, and where the studies disagree, are on the main page.
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Showing 16 of 382 rows for Polygenic risk / GWAS loci. One row per study per exposure: a study that tested two different things appears twice, once for each.
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| Exposure | Question | Direction | Outcome measured | Design | People | Effect size, as the source reported it | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polygenic risk / GWAS loci Genes (not modifiable) | Prevention |
Harm
whyDirection is for midlife hypertension. Genetic risk for Alzheimer's did not modify it, which the authors read as everyone with hypertension standing to gain from treatment. |
Incident dementia over 23-27 years | cohort study | 11,597 | Midlife hypertension HR for dementia 1.19-1.34 across genetic risk tertiles (white participants); 1.31 (95% CI 1.04-1.66) in high-risk Black participants |
Neurology
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 42385118 |
| Polygenic risk / GWAS loci Genes (not modifiable) | Prevention |
Harm
whyDirection is for a high polygenic score (excluding APOE): people in the top decile had a twofold risk of Braak stage >4 tangles and of moderate-to-severe amyloid plaque pathology at death. 91 loci identified, 16 new; 18 further loci await validation. |
Genome-wide risk loci and a polygenic score's association with tau and amyloid pathology at death | meta-analysis | 978,514 | We identified 91 genetic loci associated with ADRD risk, of which 16 are new and 56 are specifically detected in clinically diagnosed AD cases ... Individuals in the tenth decile of the score exhibited a twofold increased risk of presenting with Braak neurofibrillary tangles stage of >4 and moderate-to-severe neuritic amyloid plaque pathology at death compared to individuals in the median score group |
Nature Genetics
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 42237039 |
| Polygenic risk / GWAS loci Genes (not modifiable) | Prevention |
Mixed
whyThe intervention-control cognitive difference was statistically significant in the higher-genetic-risk halves and not in the lower halves, but neither genetic score significantly modified the intervention effect overall (P > 0.46); an exploratory sex difference emerged for the Alzheimer score. |
Annual change in overall cognition (modified NTB) with a 2-year multidomain lifestyle intervention, by Alzheimer and coronary genetic risk score | randomised trial | 1,177 | The intervention-control difference in annual overall cognition change (95% confidence interval) for participants with AD-GRS above/below the median (i.e. higher/lower risk) was 0.032 (0.002-0.063) versus 0.017 (-0.011 to 0.045), and for CAD-GRS above/below the median was 0.031 (0.002 to 0.059) versus 0.016 (-0.012 to 0.044). AD-GRS or CAD-GRS were not significantly related to the intervention effect overall (P > 0.46), but for AD-GRS there were differences between females and males (P = 0.024) |
Brain : a journal of neurology
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 40747850 |
| Polygenic risk / GWAS loci Genes (not modifiable) | Prevention |
No direction reported
whyA transcriptome-wide association study prioritising nine genes (including BIN1, PTK2B and DMPK) with broadly consistent effects across populations; it reports no effect estimate for any exposure, so no direction is recorded. |
Genes whose blood expression is genetically associated with Alzheimer's disease across three populations | cross-sectional study | 751 | not established — pubmed abstract reports gene counts and a correlation (r2 ≈ 0.34 between two bin1 variants), no effect estimate. |
American Journal of Human Genetics
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 42066773 |
| Polygenic risk / GWAS loci Genes (not modifiable) | Prevention |
No direction reported
whyLocus-discovery genome-wide association study: it reports which genetic regions reached significance and no effect estimate for any exposure, so no direction is recorded. Nine signals (HP1BP3, SLC50A1, PTPRC, NPAS3, DDHD1, CHST9, SMYD2, PRAMEF1, GFRA1) appeared only in APOE-stratified analyses; DDHD1 was protective in ε4 carriers. |
New genome-wide risk loci for AD found when stratifying by APOE ε4 and ε2 carrier status | case-control study | not stated | not established — the abstract names nine new loci and prints no effect estimate. |
Nature genetics
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 42736378 |
| Polygenic risk / GWAS loci Genes (not modifiable) | Prevention |
Harm
whyDirection is for a higher polygenic score: each standard deviation raised AD odds 1.14-1.52-fold across European, African American, Caribbean Hispanic and Native American Hispanic groups (1.21-1.65 in replication cohorts), and the score tracked worse cognition, more AD neuropathology, smaller hippocampi and abnormal CSF biomarkers. |
Association of an APOE-independent multi-ancestry polygenic risk score with AD, cognition, neuropathology, hippocampal volume and CSF biomarkers across ancestry groups | cohort study | not stated | The PRS was significantly associated with AD in European ancestry, African American, Caribbean Hispanic and Native American Hispanic groups with adjusted odds ratios between 1.14 and 1.52 per PRS standard deviation. PRS performance was validated in the replication cohorts (odds ratios: 1.21-1.65) |
Nature genetics
2026 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 42661068 |
| Polygenic risk / GWAS loci Genes (not modifiable) | Prevention |
Harm
whyDirection is for carrying the risk factors. Which factor mattered most differed by APOE risk group, on 2,065 cases split across 11 factors and three genetic strata, so the subgroup estimates are imprecise. |
Incident all-cause dementia over 12.4 years | cohort study | 182,473 | Low social contact HR 3.86 (95% CI 2.08-7.17) in low APOE risk group; less education PAF 11.35% in high APOE risk group |
Annals of Neurology
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41085200 |
| Polygenic risk / GWAS loci Genes (not modifiable) | Prevention |
No direction reported
whyLocus-discovery genome-wide association study: it reports which genetic regions reached significance and no effect estimate for any exposure, so no direction is recorded. The study reports 14 new loci for clinically diagnosed AD and two from AD-by-proxy. |
Genome-wide significant loci for clinically diagnosed AD and AD-by-proxy | meta-analysis | 432,374 | not established — pubmed abstract lists the loci by name and reports no effect estimate. |
Alzheimer's & Dementia
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 39998322 |
| Polygenic risk / GWAS loci Genes (not modifiable) | Prevention |
No direction reported
whyLocus-discovery genome-wide association study: it reports which genetic regions reached significance and no effect estimate for any exposure, so no direction is recorded. The study reports eight new loci (six ancestry-specific, two trans-ancestry) and nominates eight genes in microglial activation, glutamate production and signalling. |
Genome-wide significant loci for early-onset Alzheimer's disease (onset before 70) | case-control study | 25,236 | not established — pubmed abstract reports locus counts and pathways, no effect estimate. |
Alzheimer's & Dementia
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 40556318 |
| Polygenic risk / GWAS loci Genes (not modifiable) | Prevention |
Harm
whyDirection is for a higher integrative polygenic score: dementia hazard rose 1.15-fold per SD in older community-dwelling people independently of APOE, generalising to Europeans, East Asians and memory-clinic patients, and reaching five-fold risk when combined with APOE ε4 in memory-clinic patients. Not modifiable. |
Incident dementia by an integrative polygenic risk score (AD plus 23 vascular and neurodegenerative traits, excluding APOE) | cohort study | 241,935 | iPRS-DEM was associated with dementia risk independently of APOE in the elderly (subdistribution hazard ratio [sHR]per1SD = 1.15, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.03 to 1.28), which generalized to Europeans (EUR-sHRper1SD = 1.28, 95% CI: 1.09 to 1.51]), East-Asians (EAS-sHRper1SD = 5.29, 95% CI: 1.43 to 34.36), and memory-clinic participants (sHRper1SD = 1.25, 95% CI: 1.11 to 1.42) |
Alzheimer's & Dementia
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 40042447 |
| Polygenic risk / GWAS loci Genes (not modifiable) | Prevention |
Harm
whyDirection is for a higher polygenic score: consistently associated with AD risk, age at onset and CSF biomarkers independently of APOE in Europeans and with AD risk in many other ancestries; a cross-ancestry score with the APOE region improved the association, and the signal weakened as the diagnosis was broadened. |
Association of a European-derived AD polygenic score with AD risk, age at onset and CSF biomarkers across 17 European countries and populations of other ancestries | cohort study | not stated | not established — pubmed abstract reports no numeric effect size. |
Nature genetics
2025 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 40533518 |
| Polygenic risk / GWAS loci Genes (not modifiable) | Prevention |
No direction reported
whyLocus-discovery genome-wide association study: it reports which genetic regions reached significance and no effect estimate for any exposure, so no direction is recorded. Beyond APOE, the study reports TREM2 R47H and variants near RAB3B, SPOCK3/ANXA10 and SMAP2, and a gene-based association with GIPR. |
Genome-wide and exome-wide loci for Alzheimer's disease in Ashkenazi Jews | case-control study | not stated | not established — pubmed abstract reports p-values for the loci and no effect estimate. |
Alzheimer's & Dementia
2023 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 37260021 |
| Polygenic risk / GWAS loci Genes (not modifiable) | Prevention |
No direction reported
whyLocus-discovery genome-wide association study: it reports which genetic regions reached significance and no effect estimate for any exposure, so no direction is recorded. Two signals at 17p13.2 and 18q21.33 are reported; the authors state that African ancestry at 17p13.2 went with lower AD risk and that overall African ancestry did not differ between cases and controls, without an effect estimate. |
Admixture-mapping loci for Alzheimer's disease in African Americans | case-control study | 10,271 | not established — pubmed abstract reports p-values for the two loci and no effect estimate. |
Alzheimer's & Dementia
2023 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 36539198 |
| Polygenic risk / GWAS loci Genes (not modifiable) | Prevention |
Harm
whyDirection is for a higher polygenic risk score: each SD raised the dementia hazard 1.35- to 1.42-fold after adjustment including APOE ε4, and the new scores modestly improved prediction (AUC 74.7% to 75.7-76.1%) while still explaining less risk than APOE. Not modifiable. |
Incident dementia (DSM-IV adjudicated) by polygenic risk score | cohort study | 12,031 | PRS-83SNP, PRS-SBayesR, and PRS-CS were associated with incident dementia, with fully adjusted (including apolipoprotein E [APOE] ε4) hazard ratios per standard deviation (SD) of 1.35 (1.23-1.47), 1.37 (1.25-1.50), and 1.42 (1.30-1.56), respectively. The AUC of a model containing conventional/non-genetic factors and APOE was 74.7%. This was improved to 75.7% (p = 0.007), 76% (p = 0.004), and 76.1% (p = 0.003) with addition of PRS-83SNP, PRS-SBayesR, and PRS-CS, respectively |
Alzheimer's & Dementia
2023 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 37177856 |
| Polygenic risk / GWAS loci Genes (not modifiable) | Prevention |
Harm
whyDirection is for carrying a higher genetic risk score: risk of AD rose 1.6- to 1.9-fold from the lowest to the highest decile, over and above age and APOE4. The main output is 75 risk loci, 42 new. |
Genome-wide risk loci and a genetic risk score for future AD/dementia | meta-analysis | 788,989 | We found 75 risk loci, of which 42 were new at the time of analysis ... The improvement in prediction led to a 1.6- to 1.9-fold increase in AD risk from the lowest to the highest decile, in addition to effects of age and the APOE ε4 allele |
Nature Genetics
2022 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 35379992 |
| Polygenic risk / GWAS loci Genes (not modifiable) | Prevention |
Mixed
whyThe study's own results point different ways: the polygenic score added to APOE for predicting AD/MCI and for progression from amyloid-positive MCI to AD, but amyloid deposition was predicted by APOE alone. |
Prediction of AD, MCI, amyloid deposition and MCI-to-AD progression (AUC) by polygenic risk score with and without APOE | case-control study | 770 | AD and MCI are predicted by both APOE genotype and PRS (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.82% and 68%, respectively). Amyloid deposition is predicted by APOE only (AUC = 79%). Further progression to AD of individuals with MCI and amyloid-positive status is predicted by PRS over and above APOE (AUC = 67%) |
Annals of Neurology
2019 ✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 31199530 |