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Every row

Showing 30 of 382 rows. One row per study per exposure: a study that tested two different things appears twice, once for each.

Scroll the table sideways to see every column.

Research and outcomes, 30 rows. Every row links to its source.
Exposure Question Direction Outcome measured Design People Effect size, as the source reported it Source
Alcohol Alcohol, tobacco and cannabis Prevention Benefit
why

This one reports light-to-moderate drinking as protective (HR 0.65) against non-drinking, and it flatly contradicts the Mendelian randomisation evidence. Infrequent drinkers were excluded, and non-drinkers include people who stopped for health reasons.

Incident dementia over a median 13.7 years cohort study 296,715 Low-moderate drinking HR 0.65 (95% CI 0.59-0.73) vs non-drinking European Journal of Epidemiology 2025
✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41014391
Smoking Alcohol, tobacco and cannabis Prevention Benefit
why

Direction is for QUITTING. Risk approached that of never-smokers and levelled off about seven years after quitting; weight gain after quitting narrowed the advantage. The authors flag residual confounding.

Incident dementia over a median 9.9 years cohort study 32,802 HR 0.84 (95% CI 0.73-0.95) for quitting during follow-up vs continuing to smoke Neurology 2026
✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 42160746
Birth cohort and calendar period (secular trend in dementia) All modifiable factors together Prevention Benefit
why

Direction is for later birth cohort: each successive cohort had a significantly lower incident dementia rate, independent of sex, education and age.

Incident dementia rate by decade of birth (1902-1941) cohort study 3,010 Compared to the earliest birth cohort (1902-1911), each subsequent cohort had a significantly lower incident dementia rate (1912-1921: incidence rate ratio [IRR] = 0.655, 95% confidence interval [95% CI] = 0.477-0.899; 1922-1931: IRR = 0.387, 95% CI = 0.265-0.564; 1932-1941: IRR = 0.233, 95% CI = 0.121-0.449) The Journals of Gerontology: Series A (Biological Sciences and Medical Sciences) 2019
✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 30312371
Birth cohort and calendar period (secular trend in dementia) All modifiable factors together Prevention Benefit
why

Direction is for later calendar epoch: incidence fell 44% from the first to the fourth epoch, but only among people with at least a high school diploma. The authors could not fully explain the decline.

5-year incidence of dementia across four epochs (late 1970s to early 2010s) cohort study 5,205 The 5-year age- and sex-adjusted cumulative hazard rates for dementia were 3.6 per 100 persons during the first epoch (late 1970s and early 1980s), 2.8 per 100 persons during the second epoch (late 1980s and early 1990s), 2.2 per 100 persons during the third epoch (late 1990s and early 2000s), and 2.0 per 100 persons during the fourth epoch (late 2000s and early 2010s). Relative to the incidence during the first epoch, the incidence declined by 22%, 38%, and 44% during the second, third, and fourth epochs, respectively. This risk reduction was observed only among persons who had at least a high school diploma (hazard ratio, 0.77; 95% confidence interval, 0.67 to 0.88) New England Journal of Medicine 2016
✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 26863354
Blood biomarker test (p-tau217 / amyloid ratio) Care, carers and services Prevention Benefit
why

Direction is for the test's accuracy against the reference standard; an accuracy result, not a health outcome. The estimated age at plasma %p-tau217 positivity predicted age at symptom onset (adjusted R2 0.337-0.612) with a median absolute error of 3.0-3.7 years, which the authors call acceptable for trials but not yet for individual clinical use.

Predicted age at onset of Alzheimer's symptoms from plasma %p-tau217 clock models cohort study 603 The estimated age at plasma %p-tau217 positivity was associated with the age at onset of AD symptoms (adjusted R2 of 0.337-0.612) with a median absolute error of 3.0-3.7 years Nature medicine 2026
✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41714746
Blood biomarker test (p-tau217 / amyloid ratio) Care, carers and services Prevention Benefit
why

Direction is for the test's accuracy against the reference standard; an accuracy result, not a health outcome. Combined plasma %p-tau217 and Aβ42/40 detected abnormal CSF amyloid status (AUC 0.949) and each predicted rising amyloid PET over time in people who started below the positivity threshold, replicated in two further cohorts; p-tau231 and GFAP added no clear independent value.

Prediction of subsequent brain amyloid accumulation (PET/CSF) in cognitively unimpaired people with subthreshold amyloid cohort study 983 a combination of plasma %p-tau217 and Aβ42/40 showed better performance (area under the curve = 0.949; 95% CI, 0.929-0.970; P <.02) than individual biomarkers ... longitudinal Aβ-PET (%p-tau217: β = 0.67; 95% CI, 0.48-0.87; Aβ42/40: β = -0.33; 95% CI, -0.51 to -0.15; %p-tau217 × Aβ42/40: β = -0.31; 95% CI, -0.44 to -0.18; P < .001) JAMA Neurology 2024
✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 39068669
Blood biomarkers (GFAP, NfL, p-tau217) for staging and prognosis Care, carers and services Prevention Benefit
why

Direction is for the blood test's prognostic performance: plasma p-tau217 predicted cognitive decline and progression to MCI as well as tau PET (R2 0.33 vs 0.34; HR 1.57 vs 1.61), and using the blood test first cut the number needed to screen for a trial by 94%. A prognostic-performance result, not a health outcome.

Prediction of future cognitive decline and progression to MCI: plasma p-tau217 head-to-head with tau PET cohort study 1,474 plasma p-tau217 and medial temporal lobe tau-PET signal display similar associations with cognitive decline on a global cognitive composite test (R2PET = 0.34 versus R2plasma = 0.33, Pdifference = 0.653) and with progression to mild cognitive impairment (hazard ratio (HR)PET = 1.61 (1.48-1.76) versus HRplasma = 1.57 (1.43-1.72), Pdifference = 0.322) ... Sequential selection using plasma phosphorylated tau at threonine 217 (p-tau217) and then tau-PET reduced the number of participants required for a clinical trial by 94%, compared to a 76% reduction when using plasma p-tau217 alone Nature Aging 2025
✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 40155777
Coffee, tea and flavonoid-rich foods Diet and supplements Prevention Benefit
why

The association was strongest at moderate intake rather than the highest.

Incident dementia over a median 36.8 years cohort study 131,821 HR 0.82 (95% CI 0.76-0.89) for highest vs lowest quartile of caffeinated coffee JAMA 2026
✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41661604
Coffee, tea and flavonoid-rich foods Diet and supplements Prevention Benefit
why

882 cases across five quintiles and several interaction strata, so the subgroup estimates rest on small numbers.

Incident dementia over a mean 9.2 years cohort study 121,986 AHR 0.72 (95% CI 0.57-0.89) for highest vs lowest flavodiet quintile JAMA Network Open 2024
✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 39292460
Dietary pattern (general) Diet and supplements Prevention Benefit
why

The association is reported in people who already have elevated Alzheimer's blood markers, which is the point of the study.

Incident dementia over a mean 8.4 years cohort study 1,865 Dementia HR 0.71 (95% CI 0.58-0.88) per SD of anti-inflammatory diet adherence among participants with elevated p-tau217 JAMA Network Open 2026
✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 42348207
Dietary pattern (general) Diet and supplements Prevention Benefit
why

Independent of overall diet quality. Substituting olive oil for margarine or mayonnaise was also associated with lower risk; substituting for butter or other vegetable oils was not.

Dementia-related death over 28 years cohort study 92,383 HR 0.72 (95% CI 0.64-0.81) for dementia-related death with ≥7 g/day olive oil vs never/rarely JAMA Network Open 2024
✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 38709531
Dietary pattern (general) Diet and supplements Prevention Benefit
why

Significant on one adherence score (MEDAS, HR 0.77) but not the other (PYRAMID, HR 0.86, 95% CI 0.73-1.02).

Incident dementia over a mean 9.1 years cohort study 60,298 HR 0.77 (95% CI 0.65-0.91) for highest vs lowest MEDAS tertile BMC Medicine 2023
✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 36915130
Mediterranean diet Diet and supplements Prevention Benefit
why

Significant on one adherence score (MEDAS, HR 0.77) but not the other (PYRAMID, HR 0.86, 95% CI 0.73-1.02).

Incident dementia over a mean 9.1 years cohort study 60,298 HR 0.77 (95% CI 0.65-0.91) for highest vs lowest MEDAS tertile BMC Medicine 2023
✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 36915130
Physical activity (general / dose) Exercise and activity Prevention Benefit
why

Concentrating activity into one or two days worked about as well as spreading it across the week.

Incident dementia cohort study 91,512 HR 0.73 (95% CI 0.60-0.89) for >300 min/week concentrated in 1-2 days vs <150 min/week Journal of Prevention of Alzheimer's Disease 2025
✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 40514301
Physical activity (general / dose) Exercise and activity Prevention Benefit
why

Direction is for 12 weeks of cycle-ergometer exercise: putative glymphatic influx in the putamen and meningeal lymphatic vessel size and flow increased, and inflammation-related plasma proteins fell in step with the imaging changes. A mechanistic imaging result, not a cognitive outcome.

MRI measures of glymphatic influx and meningeal lymphatic vessel size and flow, and plasma inflammatory proteins, after 12 weeks of cycling in healthy volunteers cohort study not stated not established — pubmed abstract reports no numeric effect size. Nature Communications 2025
✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 40204790
Physical activity (general / dose) Exercise and activity Prevention Benefit
why

866 cases over a short follow-up for a disease with a long prodrome, so some of the association may be people already declining moving less.

Incident all-cause dementia over a median 6.9 years cohort study 78,430 HR 0.49 (95% CI 0.39-0.62) at 9,826 steps/day vs lowest activity JAMA Neurology 2022
✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 36066874
Physical activity (general / dose) Exercise and activity Prevention Benefit
why

The largest effect for physical activity anywhere in this table by a wide margin. On 678 cases over 6.3 years, in a disease with a long prodrome, reverse causation is the more likely explanation for an effect that size.

Incident dementia over a median 6.3 years cohort study 84,854 Trend across MVPA categories HR 0.66 (95% CI 0.62 to 0.70). "The lowest risk was identified in individuals who performed more than 1200 MET/min/week, those who had 84% (95% CI 0.12 to 0.21) lower risk of incident dementia compared to those who performed < 300 MET/min/week." BMC Medicine 2021
✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 34852818
APOE genotype Genes (not modifiable) Prevention Benefit
why

Direction is for carrying APOE2, which is associated with longer life irrespective of Alzheimer's status. The lifespan figures come from gene-targeted mice, not from the human cohort.

Lifespan / survival cohort study 24,661 Mice: "the median age at death was in the order of apoE2-TR (911 days) > apoE3 TR (825 days) > apoE4 TR (753 days) > Apoe KO (738 days)". In humans the abstract states only that "the association between APOE2 and longer lifespan persisted irrespective of AD status", without a numeric estimate. eLife 2020
✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 33074098
Rare protective or risk variant (APOE3 Christchurch, APOE R145C, RELN, FN1) Genes (not modifiable) Prevention Benefit
why

Direction is for one copy of the APOE3 Christchurch variant: median onset of cognitive impairment at 52 versus 47 years in matched PSEN1 E280A carriers without it, with preserved brain metabolism and fewer vascular amyloid features in the few imaged or autopsied. Not modifiable.

Age at onset of cognitive impairment in PSEN1 E280A carriers cohort study 1,077 the median age at the onset of cognitive impairment was 52 years (95% confidence interval [CI], 51 to 58), in contrast to a matched group of PSEN1 E280A carriers without the APOE3 Ch variant, among whom the median age at the onset was 47 years (95% CI, 47 to 49) New England Journal of Medicine 2024
✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 38899694
Hearing loss / hearing aids Hearing and vision Prevention Benefit
why

Confined to people who said the aid actually improved their hearing (HR 0.86); those reporting poor improvement showed nothing (HR 0.98).

Probable dementia over a mean 6.5 years cohort study 61,089 HR 0.91 (95% CI 0.88-0.94) for hearing aid use; HR 0.86 (0.80-0.93) with effective use Cell Reports Medicine 2026
✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 42127901
Herpes zoster / shingles vaccination Infection and vaccination Prevention Benefit New dementia diagnoses over 5.5 years cohort study 232,124 -2.0 percentage points (95% CI -3.5 to -0.4) absolute reduction in new dementia diagnoses over 5.5 years The Lancet Neurology 2026
✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41579903
Herpes zoster / shingles vaccination Infection and vaccination Prevention Benefit
why

Regression discontinuity across a birth-date eligibility threshold, which makes confounding by health-seeking behaviour less likely than in a plain cohort comparison. Eligibility did not change uptake of other preventive services or other chronic-disease diagnoses, which is the check that makes the design convincing.

New dementia diagnoses over 7.4 years cohort study 101,219 "eligibility for HZ vaccination (ie, being born shortly after vs shortly before November 2, 1936) decreased the probability of receiving a new dementia diagnosis during 7.4 years by 1.8 percentage points (95% CI, 0.4-3.3 percentage points; P = .01)"; vaccination uptake rose 16.4 percentage points (95% CI 13.2-19.5) across the threshold JAMA 2025
✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 40267506
Herpes zoster / shingles vaccination Infection and vaccination Prevention Benefit
why

Regression discontinuity across the 2 September 1933 eligibility threshold; stronger in women than men.

Probability of a new dementia diagnosis over 7 years cohort study not stated -3.5 percentage points (95% CI 0.6 to 7.1, P = 0.019) in 7-year dementia diagnosis probability; 20.0% relative reduction (95% CI 6.5-33.4) Nature 2025
✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 40175543
GLP-1 receptor agonist Medicines Prevention Benefit
why

Seven separate comparisons against seven other antidiabetic drugs, so the comparator is always another drug rather than no treatment.

First-time Alzheimer's diagnosis over 3 years cohort study 1,094,761 HR 0.33 (95% CI 0.21-0.51) vs. insulin; HR 0.59 (95% CI 0.37-0.95) vs. other GLP-1 agonists Alzheimer's & Dementia 2024
✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 39445596
Metformin / antidiabetic Medicines Prevention Benefit
why

Comparator is other oral antidiabetic drugs, not no treatment.

All-cause dementia and Parkinson's disease cohort study 358,862 All-cause dementia aHR 0.79 (95% CI 0.69-0.90) for SGLT2 inhibitor vs other oral antidiabetic drugs Neurology 2024
✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 39292986
Metformin / antidiabetic Medicines Prevention Benefit
why

The exposure actually studied is STOPPING metformin early, which carried 21% higher dementia incidence than staying on it. Read as indirect support for metformin, not as a trial of it.

Incident dementia cohort study 41,346 HR 1.21 (95% CI 1.12-1.30) for dementia after early metformin termination JAMA Network Open 2023
✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 37878309
SGLT2 inhibitor Medicines Prevention Benefit
why

For SGLT2 inhibitors specifically: HR 0.86 (95% CI 0.79-0.94) against DPP4 inhibitors, and HR 0.70 in the as-treated analysis.

Incident dementia cohort study not stated SGLT2i vs DPP4i HR 0.86 (95% CI 0.79-0.94); GLP1-RA vs DPP4i HR 0.95 (0.87-1.04) Alzheimer's Research & Therapy 2025
✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 41420258
Statins / lipid-lowering Medicines Prevention Benefit
why

Benefit was confined to APOE4 carriers (HR 0.60) and absent in non-carriers (HR 0.96). Observational, and it disagrees with the larger target-trial emulation that found nothing.

Incident clinical Alzheimer's disease and cognitive decline cohort study 4,807 Alzheimer's HR 0.81 (95% CI 0.70-0.94) overall; 0.60 (0.49-0.74) in APOE ε4 carriers; 0.96 (0.82-1.12) in non-carriers Neurology 2024
✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 38447103
Education / cognitive reserve Sleep, mood and social life Prevention Benefit
why

Direction is for MORE education. Up to a quarter of the effect ran through midlife vascular risk factors, and the authors say treating those factors would not close the educational gap.

Incident dementia cohort study 13,368 8-44% lower dementia risk with higher education vs grade school; up to 25% mediated by midlife vascular risk factors Annals of Neurology 2023
✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 36966451
Social isolation / loneliness Sleep, mood and social life Prevention Benefit
why

Significant only for contact measured at age 60, not at 50 or 70. The authors note that keeping up contact may itself be a marker of cognitive reserve rather than a cause of it.

Incident dementia over 28 years cohort study 10,228 HR 0.88 per SD higher social contact frequency at age 60 (95% CI 0.79-0.98) PLoS Medicine 2019
✓ Peer-reviewed PMID 31374073

How this table was built, and where it is weak →