One row per state. Blank cells mean the figure was not in the source file for that state —
not that the value is zero.
This table is wider than a phone screen — swipe it sideways to see the rest.
Everything in this section is a projection — a model's guess about a future that has not
happened. Projections of workforce shortages are especially sensitive to assumptions about immigration, pay
and retirement.
Nursing homes closed, Feb 2020 to Jul 2024
Measured
774 facilities
By AHCA Research Department from CMS QCOR certification data (trade-association compilation, not independently verified here); period Feb 2020 to Jul 2024.
Source: AHCA/NCAL Access to Care Report, August 2024 (analysis of CMS QCOR data, Feb 2020-Jul 2024) · 2024
Residents displaced by nursing home closures, Feb 2020 to Jul 2024
Measured
28,421 residents
By AHCA Research Department from CMS QCOR certification data (trade-association compilation, not independently verified here); period Feb 2020 to Jul 2024.
Source: AHCA/NCAL Access to Care Report, August 2024 (analysis of CMS QCOR data, Feb 2020-Jul 2024) · 2024
Net reduction in nursing home beds, Feb 2020 to Jul 2024
Measured
62,567 beds
By AHCA Research Department from CMS QCOR certification data (trade-association compilation, not independently verified here); period Feb 2020 to Jul 2024.
Source: AHCA/NCAL Access to Care Report, August 2024 (analysis of CMS QCOR data, Feb 2020-Jul 2024) · 2024
Additional US counties that became nursing home deserts (no nursing home), Feb 2020 to Jul 2024
Measured
40 counties
By AHCA Research Department from CMS QCOR certification data (trade-association compilation, not independently verified here); period Feb 2020 to Jul 2024. 34 of the 40 (85%) are rural.
Source: AHCA/NCAL Access to Care Report, August 2024 (analysis of CMS QCOR data, Feb 2020-Jul 2024) · 2024
New nursing homes opened in 2020
Measured
73 facilities
By AHCA Research Department from CMS QCOR certification data (trade-association compilation, not independently verified here); period Feb 2020 to Jul 2024. Chart 'A Steep Decline in New Facilities'.
Source: AHCA/NCAL Access to Care Report, August 2024 (analysis of CMS QCOR data, Feb 2020-Jul 2024) · 2020
New nursing homes opened in 2021
Measured
71 facilities
By AHCA Research Department from CMS QCOR certification data (trade-association compilation, not independently verified here); period Feb 2020 to Jul 2024. Chart 'A Steep Decline in New Facilities'.
Source: AHCA/NCAL Access to Care Report, August 2024 (analysis of CMS QCOR data, Feb 2020-Jul 2024) · 2021
New nursing homes opened in 2022
Measured
55 facilities
By AHCA Research Department from CMS QCOR certification data (trade-association compilation, not independently verified here); period Feb 2020 to Jul 2024. Chart 'A Steep Decline in New Facilities'.
Source: AHCA/NCAL Access to Care Report, August 2024 (analysis of CMS QCOR data, Feb 2020-Jul 2024) · 2022
New nursing homes opened in 2023
Measured
37 facilities
By AHCA Research Department from CMS QCOR certification data (trade-association compilation, not independently verified here); period Feb 2020 to Jul 2024. Chart 'A Steep Decline in New Facilities'.
Source: AHCA/NCAL Access to Care Report, August 2024 (analysis of CMS QCOR data, Feb 2020-Jul 2024) · 2023
New nursing homes opened, Jan-Jul 2024 (year to date)
Measured
7 facilities
By AHCA Research Department from CMS QCOR certification data (trade-association compilation, not independently verified here); period Feb 2020 to Jul 2024. Partial year (as of July 2024).
Source: AHCA/NCAL Access to Care Report, August 2024 (analysis of CMS QCOR data, Feb 2020-Jul 2024) · 2024
Average bed size of nursing homes that closed
Measured
77 beds
By AHCA Research Department from CMS QCOR certification data (trade-association compilation, not independently verified here); period Feb 2020 to Jul 2024. Closed facilities: 69% urban / 31% rural; 62% of residents on Medicaid; 36% were 4- or 5-star; 31% not-for-profit; average operating margin -19%.
Source: AHCA/NCAL Access to Care Report, August 2024 (analysis of CMS QCOR data, Feb 2020-Jul 2024) · 2024
Share of closed nursing homes that had 4- or 5-star CMS ratings
Measured
36 percent
By AHCA Research Department from CMS QCOR certification data (trade-association compilation, not independently verified here); period Feb 2020 to Jul 2024.
Source: AHCA/NCAL Access to Care Report, August 2024 (analysis of CMS QCOR data, Feb 2020-Jul 2024) · 2024
Share of residents on Medicaid in nursing homes that closed
Measured
62 percent
By AHCA Research Department from CMS QCOR certification data (trade-association compilation, not independently verified here); period Feb 2020 to Jul 2024.
Source: AHCA/NCAL Access to Care Report, August 2024 (analysis of CMS QCOR data, Feb 2020-Jul 2024) · 2024
Share of nursing homes reporting they have limited new admissions
Measured
46 percent
57% have a waiting list; 20% closed a unit/wing/floor due to labor shortages.
Source: AHCA State of the Sector survey, March 2024 (as reported in AHCA Access to Care Report Aug 2024) · 2024
Residents displaced by nursing home closures since 2015 (to 2022)
Measured
44,459 residents
By AHCA from CMS QCOR (trade-association compilation). 31,684 in 2015-2019 and 12,775 during the pandemic to 2022.
Source: AHCA, Nursing Home Closures: By the Numbers (2022 fact sheet, CMS QCOR and CLA data) · 2022
Average operating margin of nursing homes that closed (2015-2019 and 2020-2022)
Measured
-12 percent
Industry-wide 2022 median operating margin -4.8%, median occupancy 77.3%.
Source: AHCA, Nursing Home Closures: By the Numbers (2022 fact sheet, CMS QCOR and CLA data) · 2022
Nursing homes whose Medicare/Medicaid certification terminated in 2015 (all termination codes)
Measured
121 facilities
Older terminated records may be purged from the snapshot, so pre-2020 counts are lower bounds.
Source: CMS Provider of Services File - Internet Quality Improvement and Evaluation System (POS-QIES), 2026 Q2 extract, provider type 20 (nursing homes) · 2015
Nursing homes whose Medicare/Medicaid certification terminated in 2016 (all termination codes)
Measured
126 facilities
Older terminated records may be purged from the snapshot, so pre-2020 counts are lower bounds.
Source: CMS Provider of Services File - Internet Quality Improvement and Evaluation System (POS-QIES), 2026 Q2 extract, provider type 20 (nursing homes) · 2016
Nursing homes whose Medicare/Medicaid certification terminated in 2017 (all termination codes)
Measured
145 facilities
Older terminated records may be purged from the snapshot, so pre-2020 counts are lower bounds.
Source: CMS Provider of Services File - Internet Quality Improvement and Evaluation System (POS-QIES), 2026 Q2 extract, provider type 20 (nursing homes) · 2017
Nursing homes whose Medicare/Medicaid certification terminated in 2018 (all termination codes)
Measured
162 facilities
Older terminated records may be purged from the snapshot, so pre-2020 counts are lower bounds.
Source: CMS Provider of Services File - Internet Quality Improvement and Evaluation System (POS-QIES), 2026 Q2 extract, provider type 20 (nursing homes) · 2018
Nursing homes whose Medicare/Medicaid certification terminated in 2019 (all termination codes)
Measured
220 facilities
Older terminated records may be purged from the snapshot, so pre-2020 counts are lower bounds.
Source: CMS Provider of Services File - Internet Quality Improvement and Evaluation System (POS-QIES), 2026 Q2 extract, provider type 20 (nursing homes) · 2019
Nursing homes whose Medicare/Medicaid certification terminated in 2020 (all termination codes)
Measured
150 facilities
Older terminated records may be purged from the snapshot, so pre-2020 counts are lower bounds.
Source: CMS Provider of Services File - Internet Quality Improvement and Evaluation System (POS-QIES), 2026 Q2 extract, provider type 20 (nursing homes) · 2020
Nursing homes whose Medicare/Medicaid certification terminated in 2021 (all termination codes)
Measured
189 facilities
Older terminated records may be purged from the snapshot, so pre-2020 counts are lower bounds.
Source: CMS Provider of Services File - Internet Quality Improvement and Evaluation System (POS-QIES), 2026 Q2 extract, provider type 20 (nursing homes) · 2021
Nursing homes whose Medicare/Medicaid certification terminated in 2022 (all termination codes)
Measured
194 facilities
Older terminated records may be purged from the snapshot, so pre-2020 counts are lower bounds.
Source: CMS Provider of Services File - Internet Quality Improvement and Evaluation System (POS-QIES), 2026 Q2 extract, provider type 20 (nursing homes) · 2022
Nursing homes whose Medicare/Medicaid certification terminated in 2023 (all termination codes)
Measured
207 facilities
Older terminated records may be purged from the snapshot, so pre-2020 counts are lower bounds.
Source: CMS Provider of Services File - Internet Quality Improvement and Evaluation System (POS-QIES), 2026 Q2 extract, provider type 20 (nursing homes) · 2023
Nursing homes whose Medicare/Medicaid certification terminated in 2024 (all termination codes)
Measured
138 facilities
Older terminated records may be purged from the snapshot, so pre-2020 counts are lower bounds.
Source: CMS Provider of Services File - Internet Quality Improvement and Evaluation System (POS-QIES), 2026 Q2 extract, provider type 20 (nursing homes) · 2024
Nursing homes whose Medicare/Medicaid certification terminated in 2025 (all termination codes)
Measured
87 facilities
Older terminated records may be purged from the snapshot, so pre-2020 counts are lower bounds.
Source: CMS Provider of Services File - Internet Quality Improvement and Evaluation System (POS-QIES), 2026 Q2 extract, provider type 20 (nursing homes) · 2025
Nursing homes whose certification terminated Jan-Jun 2026 (partial year)
Measured
19 facilities
Source: CMS Provider of Services File - Internet Quality Improvement and Evaluation System (POS-QIES), 2026 Q2 extract, provider type 20 (nursing homes) · 2026
Nursing home certification terminations coded 'Voluntary Merger/Closure' in 2015
Measured
99 facilities
Pre-2020 counts may be lower bounds if old records were purged.
Source: CMS Provider of Services File - Internet Quality Improvement and Evaluation System (POS-QIES), 2026 Q2 extract, provider type 20 (nursing homes) · 2015
Involuntary nursing home terminations (failure to meet health/safety or agreement) in 2015
Measured
18 facilities
Source: CMS Provider of Services File - Internet Quality Improvement and Evaluation System (POS-QIES), 2026 Q2 extract, provider type 20 (nursing homes) · 2015
Nursing home certification terminations coded 'Voluntary Merger/Closure' in 2016
Measured
90 facilities
Pre-2020 counts may be lower bounds if old records were purged.
Source: CMS Provider of Services File - Internet Quality Improvement and Evaluation System (POS-QIES), 2026 Q2 extract, provider type 20 (nursing homes) · 2016
Involuntary nursing home terminations (failure to meet health/safety or agreement) in 2016
Measured
14 facilities
Source: CMS Provider of Services File - Internet Quality Improvement and Evaluation System (POS-QIES), 2026 Q2 extract, provider type 20 (nursing homes) · 2016
Nursing home certification terminations coded 'Voluntary Merger/Closure' in 2017
Measured
125 facilities
Pre-2020 counts may be lower bounds if old records were purged.
Source: CMS Provider of Services File - Internet Quality Improvement and Evaluation System (POS-QIES), 2026 Q2 extract, provider type 20 (nursing homes) · 2017
Involuntary nursing home terminations (failure to meet health/safety or agreement) in 2017
Measured
17 facilities
Source: CMS Provider of Services File - Internet Quality Improvement and Evaluation System (POS-QIES), 2026 Q2 extract, provider type 20 (nursing homes) · 2017
Nursing home certification terminations coded 'Voluntary Merger/Closure' in 2018
Measured
147 facilities
Pre-2020 counts may be lower bounds if old records were purged.
Source: CMS Provider of Services File - Internet Quality Improvement and Evaluation System (POS-QIES), 2026 Q2 extract, provider type 20 (nursing homes) · 2018
Involuntary nursing home terminations (failure to meet health/safety or agreement) in 2018
Measured
5 facilities
Source: CMS Provider of Services File - Internet Quality Improvement and Evaluation System (POS-QIES), 2026 Q2 extract, provider type 20 (nursing homes) · 2018
Nursing home certification terminations coded 'Voluntary Merger/Closure' in 2019
Measured
206 facilities
Pre-2020 counts may be lower bounds if old records were purged.
Source: CMS Provider of Services File - Internet Quality Improvement and Evaluation System (POS-QIES), 2026 Q2 extract, provider type 20 (nursing homes) · 2019
Involuntary nursing home terminations (failure to meet health/safety or agreement) in 2019
Measured
7 facilities
Source: CMS Provider of Services File - Internet Quality Improvement and Evaluation System (POS-QIES), 2026 Q2 extract, provider type 20 (nursing homes) · 2019
Nursing home certification terminations coded 'Voluntary Merger/Closure' in 2020
Measured
140 facilities
Pre-2020 counts may be lower bounds if old records were purged.
Source: CMS Provider of Services File - Internet Quality Improvement and Evaluation System (POS-QIES), 2026 Q2 extract, provider type 20 (nursing homes) · 2020
Involuntary nursing home terminations (failure to meet health/safety or agreement) in 2020
Measured
4 facilities
Source: CMS Provider of Services File - Internet Quality Improvement and Evaluation System (POS-QIES), 2026 Q2 extract, provider type 20 (nursing homes) · 2020
Nursing home certification terminations coded 'Voluntary Merger/Closure' in 2021
Measured
172 facilities
Pre-2020 counts may be lower bounds if old records were purged.
Source: CMS Provider of Services File - Internet Quality Improvement and Evaluation System (POS-QIES), 2026 Q2 extract, provider type 20 (nursing homes) · 2021
Involuntary nursing home terminations (failure to meet health/safety or agreement) in 2021
Measured
15 facilities
Source: CMS Provider of Services File - Internet Quality Improvement and Evaluation System (POS-QIES), 2026 Q2 extract, provider type 20 (nursing homes) · 2021
Nursing home certification terminations coded 'Voluntary Merger/Closure' in 2022
Measured
174 facilities
Pre-2020 counts may be lower bounds if old records were purged.
Source: CMS Provider of Services File - Internet Quality Improvement and Evaluation System (POS-QIES), 2026 Q2 extract, provider type 20 (nursing homes) · 2022
Involuntary nursing home terminations (failure to meet health/safety or agreement) in 2022
Measured
15 facilities
Source: CMS Provider of Services File - Internet Quality Improvement and Evaluation System (POS-QIES), 2026 Q2 extract, provider type 20 (nursing homes) · 2022
Nursing home certification terminations coded 'Voluntary Merger/Closure' in 2023
Measured
170 facilities
Pre-2020 counts may be lower bounds if old records were purged.
Source: CMS Provider of Services File - Internet Quality Improvement and Evaluation System (POS-QIES), 2026 Q2 extract, provider type 20 (nursing homes) · 2023
Involuntary nursing home terminations (failure to meet health/safety or agreement) in 2023
Measured
16 facilities
Source: CMS Provider of Services File - Internet Quality Improvement and Evaluation System (POS-QIES), 2026 Q2 extract, provider type 20 (nursing homes) · 2023
Nursing home certification terminations coded 'Voluntary Merger/Closure' in 2024
Measured
97 facilities
Pre-2020 counts may be lower bounds if old records were purged.
Source: CMS Provider of Services File - Internet Quality Improvement and Evaluation System (POS-QIES), 2026 Q2 extract, provider type 20 (nursing homes) · 2024
Involuntary nursing home terminations (failure to meet health/safety or agreement) in 2024
Measured
17 facilities
Source: CMS Provider of Services File - Internet Quality Improvement and Evaluation System (POS-QIES), 2026 Q2 extract, provider type 20 (nursing homes) · 2024
Nursing home certification terminations coded 'Voluntary Merger/Closure' in 2025
Measured
66 facilities
Pre-2020 counts may be lower bounds if old records were purged.
Source: CMS Provider of Services File - Internet Quality Improvement and Evaluation System (POS-QIES), 2026 Q2 extract, provider type 20 (nursing homes) · 2025
Involuntary nursing home terminations (failure to meet health/safety or agreement) in 2025
Measured
10 facilities
Source: CMS Provider of Services File - Internet Quality Improvement and Evaluation System (POS-QIES), 2026 Q2 extract, provider type 20 (nursing homes) · 2025
Nursing home terminations coded 'Voluntary Merger/Closure', 2020-2025 total
Measured
819 facilities
All-code terminations 2020-2025 = 965. Compare AHCA's 774 closures Feb 2020-Jul 2024 from CMS QCOR.
Source: CMS Provider of Services File - Internet Quality Improvement and Evaluation System (POS-QIES), 2026 Q2 extract, provider type 20 (nursing homes) · 2025
Average annual nursing home closures, 2011-2017
Measured
118 facilities per year
Source: Rates of nursing home closures were relatively stable over the past decade. Health Affairs Scholar 2023 (PMID 38756237) · 2017
Nursing home closures in 2018
Measured
143 facilities
Source: Rates of nursing home closures were relatively stable over the past decade. Health Affairs Scholar 2023 (PMID 38756237) · 2018
Nursing home closures in 2019
Measured
200 facilities
Closure risk higher for smaller, urban, lower-occupancy, Medicaid-only facilities with lower inspection ratings and higher shares of non-White and Medicaid residents.
Source: Rates of nursing home closures were relatively stable over the past decade. Health Affairs Scholar 2023 (PMID 38756237) · 2019
Average annual nursing home closures, 2020-2021
Measured
133 facilities per year
Source: Rates of nursing home closures were relatively stable over the past decade. Health Affairs Scholar 2023 (PMID 38756237) · 2021
Nursing home closures 1999-2005 (state regulator lists linked to OSCAR)
Measured
1,789 facilities
Source: Castle NG et al. Factors associated with increasing nursing home closures. Health Serv Res 2009 (PMID 19674434) · 2005
Freestanding nursing homes closed 1999-2008
Measured
1,776 facilities
(abstract via Europe PMC; 11% of freestanding homes; plus 1,126 hospital-based closures (~50% of hospital-based); net loss >5% of beds; closures clustered in zip codes with higher Black/Hispanic shares and poverty).
Source: Feng Z et al. Geographic concentration and correlates of nursing home closures: 1999-2008. Arch Intern Med 2011 (PMID 21220642) · 2008
Extra 30-day rehospitalizations attributed to closure of 882 hospital-based SNFs, 1999-2006 (lower bound)
Modelled estimate
12,000 rehospitalizations
Effect concentrated among the most acutely ill patients.
Source: Rahman M et al. The impact of hospital-based SNF closures on rehospitalizations. Health Serv Res 2013 (PMID 23033808) · 2006
Extra 30-day rehospitalizations attributed to closure of 882 hospital-based SNFs, 1999-2006 (upper bound)
Modelled estimate
18,000 rehospitalizations
Source: Rahman M et al. The impact of hospital-based SNF closures on rehospitalizations. Health Serv Res 2013 (PMID 23033808) · 2006
Distance to closest nursing home providing long-term care for rural ZIP codes that experienced a closure (2008-2018)
Measured
7.2 miles
- Year: 2018
- US rural ZIP codes
Urban ZIPs with closure: 1.1 miles. For post-acute care: 6.4 vs 0.94 miles.
Source: Nursing home closures and access to post-acute care and long-term care services in rural areas. J Rural Health 2024 (PMID 38225679) · 2018
Distance to closest nursing home providing post-acute care for rural ZIP codes that experienced a closure
Measured
6.4 miles
- Year: 2018
- US rural ZIP codes
Urban comparator 0.94 miles.
Source: Nursing home closures and access to post-acute care and long-term care services in rural areas. J Rural Health 2024 (PMID 38225679) · 2018
Share of rural ZIP codes with a closure or no nursing home that had no post-acute or long-term care provider within 25 miles (upper bound)
Measured
15.7 percent
- Year: 2018
- US rural ZIP codes
Source: Nursing home closures and access to post-acute care and long-term care services in rural areas. J Rural Health 2024 (PMID 38225679) · 2018